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Montana State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-69
32-38 43-31
Position#32
Record22-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game68.3
Montana State 🏆
USA
vs
Sacramento State
USA
Position#274
Record9-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Montana State v Sacramento State
28 Feb 2026
MONT82
SACR61
30 Jan 2025
MONT70
SACR58
12 Mar 2024
MONT74
SACR71
24 Feb 2024
MONT63
SACR66
23 Feb 2023
MONT60
SACR56
10 Mar 2022
MONT83
SACR61
03 Mar 2022
MONT75
SACR69
06 Mar 2021
MONT73
SACR74
05 Mar 2021
MONT77
SACR75
28 Dec 2019
MONT66
SACR51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#175
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A06/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A08/02
NCAA
Portland State
#232
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#326
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H12/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-25
43-40
29-24
41-40
37-29
41-28
35-23
37-31
40-33
37-41
39-33
33-37
38-41
36-33
33-32
43-39
33-44
41-36
31-20
38-33
141.9Avg total
74.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.468.3144.7+8.176%
Season at home (14)74.062.6136.6+11.493%
Season away (15)78.773.6152.3+5.160%
Last 10 (10)74.367.6141.9+6.780%
Last 5 (5)75.472.4147.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.578.0142.5-13.50%
vs Similar (8)74.568.5143.0+6.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)77.167.9145.0+9.284%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#339
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H28/01
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
59-79
59
79
-20
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#326
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Portland State
#232
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H11/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
L
57-83
57
83
-26
H12/02
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A18/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
83-51
83
51
+32
H25/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-25
32-35
25-40
34-39
21-28
40-34
30-35
35-38
32-38
29-41
22-43
35-40
35-34
15-31
33-37
47-38
34-25
49-26
35-37
46-38
136.0Avg total
65.8Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)65.670.1135.6-4.536%
Season at home (14)66.966.8133.6+0.143%
Season away (11)63.974.3138.2-10.427%
Last 10 (10)65.870.2136.0-4.440%
Last 5 (5)70.269.8140.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.173.9138.1-9.818%
vs Similar (11)69.870.6140.5-0.845%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
Montana StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#175
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H28/01
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A08/02
NCAA
Portland State
#232
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#326
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H02/03
NCAA
64.5Avg total
34.1Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.231.566.7+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.828.462.1+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)36.434.270.6+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)34.130.464.5+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.068.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.545.074.5-15.50%-
vs Similar (8)35.532.568.0+3.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)35.429.965.3+5.574%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#339
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#326
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Portland State
#232
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
L
22-43
22
43
-21
H12/02
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A18/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H25/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H27/02
NCAA
63.8Avg total
29.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.032.863.8-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.131.662.7-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)30.934.265.1-3.343%-
Last 10 (10)29.634.263.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.267.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.434.665.0-4.329%-
vs Similar (11)30.032.062.0-2.045%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Montana State wins
2
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
04/12/21Sacramento State v Montana State66-68
06/03/21Montana State v Sacramento State73-74
05/03/21Montana State v Sacramento State77-75
28/02/20Sacramento State v Montana State81-52
28/12/19Montana State v Sacramento State66-51
Montana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/22HSouthern Utah69-53
27/02/22AMontana74-80
19/02/22ASouthern Utah76-71
18/02/22AEast. Washington86-88 OT
12/02/22HNorthern Arizona72-70
11/02/22HPortland State77-74
08/02/22AIdaho State72-54
06/02/22AWeber State78-57
29/01/22HIdaho70-64
28/01/22HEast. Washington69-65
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/22HEast. Washington81-75
25/02/22HIdaho83-51
20/02/22AIdaho State80-75
18/02/22AWeber State50-65
12/02/22HSouthern Utah57-83
11/02/22HNorthern Colorado61-79
06/02/22APortland State65-73
04/02/22HNorthern Arizona61-62
30/01/22HWeber State59-79
28/01/22HIdaho State61-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW76%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %76%93%60%
Points / game76.474.078.7
Allowed / game68.362.673.6
Point differential+8.1+11.4+5.1
Avg total144.7136.6152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)100% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW36%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %36%43%27%
Points / game65.666.963.9
Allowed / game70.166.874.3
Point differential-4.5+0.1-10.4
Avg total135.6133.6138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana State2922776%76.468.3+8.1
2 Weber State30201067%77.070.5+6.5
3 Montana29181162%73.066.4+6.6
4 Northern Colorado30171357%78.676.8+1.8
5 East. Washington29151452%77.374.9+2.4
6 Portland State26111542%73.272.4+0.8
7 Sacramento State2591636%65.670.1-4.5
8 Northern Arizona2992031%67.473.2-5.8
9 Idaho2882029%73.780.8-7.1
10 Idaho State2872125%64.671.5-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State324375
Sacramento State383169
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