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Orlovik vs Basket Zivinice Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 82-76
Projected total 157.6
Final 82-67
17-14 21-21 25-15 19-17
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game78.5
Orlovik 🏆
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
Vs
72%
28%
■ ORLO 72%■ BASK 28%
Pythia win probability
Basket Zivinice
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.5
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 7· KSC Don Bosco
Other2026-27
Meetings · Orlovik v Basket Zivinice
14 Nov 2026
ORLO82
BASK67
11 Jan 2026
ORLO85
BASK70
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Orlovik hosts Basket Zivinice on 14 November 2026 in the Prvenstvo BiH, with the model favouring Orlovik at 72% to 28%. Orlovik has gone 4-2 this season, averaging 81.5 points and conceding 78.5, while Basket Zivinice is 5-1, 76.2 points for and 71.5 against, the best record in the league. At home Orlovik is undefeated 2-0, 91.0 points per game, 76.0 allowed, and has won three of its last five, including a 75-55 win over Leotar Trebinje and an 83-68 victory at Promo. Basket Zivinice has won all three of its road games, 76.7 points scored and 68.7 allowed, and has won every one of its last five, most recently a 80-76 win over Borac Banja Luka. Their head-to-head record is even, 1-1, with the last meeting ending 82-77 for Basket Zivinice. Pythia projects a 82-76 score, 157.6 total points, and a 5% chance of overtime; the home team covers the spread with a 72% probability. The game will hinge on Orlovik's ability to maintain its home dominance against a road-winning Basket Zivinice.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlovik winWon
71.8%fair 1.39
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zivinice winLost
28.2%fair 3.54
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrlovikBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrlovik
Date
Competition
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
63avg 76
H29/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Student Igokea
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 76
A05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
91avg 76
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#11
L
77-82
77
82
-5
64avg 76
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
65avg 76
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#13
W
99-84
99
84
+15
100avg 76
H11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 76
A17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#11
W
83-68
83
68
+15
75avg 76
H24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#7
L
72-95
72
95
-23
no box
A02/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#5
W
75-55
75
55
+20
no box
A08/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
15-14
19-9
20-14
16-12
21-26
19-22
26-19
24-23
19-28
24-16
21-21
19-17
19-24
22-16
17-25
19-23
12-17
25-19
28-22
29-20
29-27
20-16
21-21
22-19
19-25
16-24
19-20
29-19
17-18
19-20
18-11
21-24
13-22
12-27
26-22
21-19
21-15
15-8
18-13
162.1Avg total
82.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.578.5160.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Season away (4)76.879.8156.5-3.050%
Last 10 (10)82.080.1162.1+1.960%
Last 5 (5)81.078.0159.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.382.7160.0-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.284.9166.2-3.742%
vs Weaker (15)84.473.5157.9+10.973%
This opponent (Basket Zivinice) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZiviniceBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZivinice
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#1
L
81-111
81
111
-30
73avg 68
A10/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 68
H18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
W
71-64
71
64
+7
51avg 68
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#4
L
82-95
82
95
-13
67avg 68
H09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zlatibor
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
69avg 68
A13/10
ABA League 2
Radnicki Gorazde
#13
W
78-77
78
77
+1
68avg 68
A17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#6
W
65-52
65
52
+13
60avg 68
H25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Cedevita Junior
#12
W
63-60
63
60
+3
56avg 68
H28/10
ABA League 2
Promo
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
81avg 68
A01/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H07/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
23-23
15-36
24-21
17-19
24-19
16-22
25-17
12-12
19-22
22-19
18-11
19-20
15-32
20-28
28-15
16-22
15-27
24-17
25-33
21-18
22-15
21-23
14-21
17-16
13-13
19-11
16-12
13-14
21-17
11-17
18-12
31-14
13-17
22-16
15-18
27-14
19-18
16-17
18-27
153.9Avg total
76.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.271.5147.7+4.783%
Season at home (3)75.774.3150.0+1.367%
Season away (3)76.768.7145.3+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.377.6153.9-1.370%
Last 5 (5)73.466.0139.4+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.990.1168.1-12.219%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.573.6150.1+2.873%
vs Weaker (3)76.768.7145.3+8.0100%
This opponent (Orlovik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153.5Actual: Under 153.5
Over 153.5
59.3%
Under 153.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158.5Actual: Under 158.5
Over 158.5
47.2%
Under 158.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.5Actual: Under 163.5
Over 163.5
35.5%
Under 163.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Orlovik total 77.5Actual: Orlovik over 77.5
Over 77.5
67.4%
Under 77.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orlovik total 81.5Actual: Orlovik over 81.5
Over 81.5
52.2%
Under 81.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orlovik total 85.5Actual: Orlovik under 85.5
Over 85.5
36.7%
Under 85.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Basket Zivinice total 73Actual: Basket Zivinice under 73
Over 73
59.6%
Under 73
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Basket Zivinice total 77Actual: Basket Zivinice under 77
Over 77
43.6%
Under 77
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Basket Zivinice total 81Actual: Basket Zivinice under 81
Over 81
28.9%
Under 81
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Orlovik -3Actual: Orlovik -3
ORLO -3
64.1%
BASK +3
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
ORLO
No market prices yet.
BASK
No market prices yet.
Spread Orlovik 0Actual: Orlovik 0
ORLO 0
71.8%
BASK 0
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
ORLO
No market prices yet.
BASK
No market prices yet.
Spread Orlovik +3Actual: Orlovik +3
ORLO +3
79.1%
BASK -3
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
ORLO
No market prices yet.
BASK
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
OrlovikBasket Zivinice
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrlovikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Student Igokea
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#13
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A02/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A08/11
Prvenstvo BiH
81.8Avg total
39.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.781.7+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.139.383.4+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.180.2+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.181.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.685.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.041.774.7-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.841.783.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker (15)43.937.781.6+6.167%-
This opponent (Basket Zivinice) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZiviniceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A10/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zlatibor
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A13/10
ABA League 2
Radnicki Gorazde
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#6
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Cedevita Junior
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H28/10
ABA League 2
Promo
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A01/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H07/11
Prvenstvo BiH
75.9Avg total
37.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.880.4-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.340.378.6-2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.943.382.2-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.375.9-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.270.6+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.146.586.6-6.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.237.573.7-1.445%-
vs Weaker (3)39.332.772.0+6.767%-
This opponent (Orlovik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orloviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlovik: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.4 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.9
56.9%
53.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.9
33.4%
32.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
73.9%
67.4%13.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zivinicetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zivinice: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.4 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.419.6
60.5%
53.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.6
29.6%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.012.2
67.8%
67.4%12.2
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlovik
WLWLWWLWWL
Basket Zivinice
WWWWWLLWWL
#2
League position
#3
+5.5
Net rating
-2.5
95.3
Offensive rating
93.2
89.8
Defensive rating
95.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.4%
3-point %
29.6%
56.6%
Assist %
47.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 93.2Defence89.8 · 95.7Shooting53.7% · 53.4%3-point %33.4% · 29.6%Ball care16.3% · 16.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Orlovik   ■ Basket Zivinice
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Orlovik wins
1
Basket Zivinice wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26Basket Zivinice v Orlovik82-77
11/01/26Orlovik v Basket Zivinice85-70
Orloviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ALeotar Trebinje75-55
02/11/26ABorac Banja Luka72-95
24/10/26HPromo83-68
17/10/26AZrinjski Mostar76-88
11/10/26HRadnicki Gorazde99-84
03/10/26ASloboda84-81
18/04/26ABasket Zivinice77-82
11/04/26HSloboda97-90 OT
05/04/26AStudent Igokea82-79
29/03/26HMrkonjic Grad75-79 OT
Basket Zivinicelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBorac Banja Luka80-76
01/11/26APromo81-65
28/10/26HCedevita Junior63-60
25/10/26HZrinjski Mostar65-52
17/10/26ARadnicki Gorazde78-77
13/10/26AZlatibor80-99
09/10/26HSloboda82-95
03/10/26AMrkonjic Grad71-64
18/04/26HOrlovik82-77
10/04/26ABorac Banja Luka81-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlovik
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game81.591.076.8
Allowed / game78.576.079.8
Point differential+3.0+15.0-3.0
Avg total160.0167.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zivinice
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game76.275.776.7
Allowed / game71.574.368.7
Point differential+4.7+1.3+8.0
Avg total147.7150.0145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Zivinice65183%76.271.5+4.7
2 Siroki Brijeg54180%85.272.4+12.8
3 Sloboda64267%87.076.0+11.0
4 Orlovik64267%81.578.5+3.0
5 Leotar Trebinje64267%69.771.7-2.0
6 Zrinjski Mostar74357%78.974.4+4.4
7 Borac Banja Luka74357%80.075.9+4.1
8 Slavija74357%84.682.6+2.0
9 Igman74357%86.785.9+0.9
10 Gradina Tesanj62433%75.080.3-5.3
11 Drina72529%75.481.0-5.6
12 Radnicki Gorazde61517%81.887.3-5.5
13 Promo61517%68.578.7-10.2
14 Mrkonjic Grad61517%72.785.8-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlovik1721251982
Basket Zivinice1421151767
← all games of the day
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