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Orlovik vs Mrkonjic Grad Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-89
23-23 24-26 13-16 23-24
Position#7
Record7-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#9
Record5-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game80.6
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 13· KSC Don Bosco
Other2023-24
Meetings · Orlovik v Mrkonjic Grad
09 Jan 2027
ORLO v MRKO
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
ORLO75
MRKO79
28 Dec 2024
ORLO91
MRKO79
30 Dec 2023
ORLO83
MRKO89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlovik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mrkonjic Grad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrlovikBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrlovik
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
100avg 74
H21/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
57-78
57
78
-21
43avg 74
A28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
86avg 74
H04/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Prijedor
#12
L
81-87
81
87
-6
79avg 74
A11/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
79avg 74
H21/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Spars Ilidza
#6
L
76-94
76
94
-18
64avg 74
A28/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
69avg 74
H02/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
59-80
59
80
-21
49avg 74
A08/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#11
W
89-74
89
74
+15
86avg 74
H16/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Posusje
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 74
H23/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
36-16
12-19
28-33
14-23
13-14
15-18
15-23
28-24
16-18
22-12
20-22
23-19
19-19
23-31
16-18
17-14
25-23
20-18
19-18
22-18
13-25
17-30
24-21
21-26
21-18
21-16
19-24
12-27
16-17
18-16
13-20
24-21
20-16
19-11
26-26
20-8
26-15
18-26
14-20
159.5Avg total
78.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.482.5163.9-1.158%
Season at home (6)85.878.0163.8+7.883%
Season away (6)77.087.0164.0-10.033%
Last 10 (10)78.880.7159.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)76.880.2157.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.781.7161.3-2.067%
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.684.0161.6-6.440%
vs Weaker (4)87.581.2168.8+6.275%
This opponent (Mrkonjic Grad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mrkonjic GradBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrad
Date
Competition
Spars Ilidza
#6
L
92-99
92
99
-7
91avg 69
A21/10
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#3
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
no box
H30/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#10
L
66-76
66
76
-10
51avg 69
A06/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 69
H12/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
73avg 69
A22/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#8
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
no box
H26/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 69
A03/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Prijedor
#12
W
81-71
81
71
+10
76avg 69
H10/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Posusje
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 69
A16/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#4
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 69
H25/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
26-29
29-19
14-26
18-22
23-28
17-17
17-8
11-27
18-14
11-18
26-17
20-21
21-21
23-21
22-22
13-27
24-15
17-23
21-18
14-20
21-18
15-9
18-21
14-23
30-17
20-20
19-15
18-19
17-14
24-22
22-16
23-16
20-23
27-20
17-20
21-21
13-18
16-16
15-14
162.8Avg total
81.5Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.480.6160.0-1.242%
Season at home (6)82.881.5164.3+1.350%
Season away (6)76.079.7155.7-3.733%
Last 10 (10)81.581.3162.8+0.250%
Last 5 (5)78.874.6153.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.987.8164.7-10.825%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.882.7161.4-3.922%
vs Weaker (1)83.075.0158.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Orlovik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
OrlovikMrkonjic Grad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrlovikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#3
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H21/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H04/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Prijedor
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A11/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Spars Ilidza
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H02/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A08/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H16/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Posusje
#13
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H23/12
Prvenstvo BiH
79.4Avg total
40.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)42.239.982.2+2.358%-
Last 30 at home (6)46.237.283.3+9.083%-
Last 30 away (6)38.342.781.0-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.579.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.277.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.040.383.3+2.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.042.081.0-3.040%-
vs Weaker (4)45.837.082.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Mrkonjic Grad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mrkonjic GradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spars Ilidza
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A21/10
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H30/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#10
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A06/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H12/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A22/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Prijedor
#12
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Posusje
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H25/12
Prvenstvo BiH
80.6Avg total
38.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.743.180.8-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.641.980.4-3.336%-
Last 30 away (16)36.944.181.1-7.212%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.880.6-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.876.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.843.880.6-7.015%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.041.880.8-2.833%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Orlovik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orloviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlovik: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.4
58.1%
54.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.5
31.0%
33.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
69.0%15.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mrkonjic Gradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mrkonjic Grad: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.5
55.2%
54.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.0
36.3%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.610.6
63.9%
69.0%10.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlovik
WWLLLWLWLW
Mrkonjic Grad
LWWWLLWLWL
#7
League position
#9
-1.7
Net rating
-2.4
103.7
Offensive rating
107.7
105.4
Defensive rating
110.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
54.9%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.3%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.0%
3-point %
36.3%
50.9%
Assist %
48.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 107.7Defence105.4 · 110.1Shooting53.4% · 54.9%3-point %31.0% · 36.3%Ball care20.1% · 19.3%Off. rebounds22.7% · 29.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Orlovik   ■ Mrkonjic Grad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Orlovik wins
0
Mrkonjic Grad wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Mrkonjic Grad v Orlovik85-88
Orloviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HPosusje78-69
16/12/23HSlavija89-74
08/12/23ASiroki Brijeg59-80
02/12/23HPromo82-84
28/11/23ASpars Ilidza76-94
21/11/23HBorac Banja Luka81-73
11/11/23APrijedor81-87
04/11/23HLeotar Trebinje86-76
28/10/23ASloboda57-78
21/10/23HKK Bosna99-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/23HBorac Banja Luka65-69
16/12/23APosusje87-79
10/12/23HPrijedor81-71
03/12/23ASlavija83-75
26/11/23HLeotar Trebinje78-79 OT
22/11/23ASiroki Brijeg75-83
12/11/23HSloboda86-85
06/11/23APromo66-76
30/10/23HKK Bosna102-97 OT
21/10/23ASpars Ilidza92-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlovik
Prvenstvo BiH 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game81.485.877.0
Allowed / game82.578.087.0
Point differential-1.1+7.8-10.0
Avg total163.9163.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Mrkonjic Grad
Prvenstvo BiH 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL42%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game79.482.876.0
Allowed / game80.681.579.7
Point differential-1.2+1.3-3.7
Avg total160.0164.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)40% (5)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg1210283%82.366.7+15.7
2 KK Bosna129375%89.773.8+15.9
3 Spars Ilidza138562%86.687.1-0.5
4 Sloboda127558%86.180.4+5.7
5 Orlovik127558%81.482.5-1.1
6 Borac Banja Luka137654%71.767.6+4.1
7 Leotar Trebinje126650%80.182.6-2.5
8 Mrkonjic Grad125742%79.480.6-1.2
9 Prijedor124833%78.984.4-5.5
10 Promo124833%79.586.2-6.8
11 Slavija123925%75.887.8-11.9
12 Posusje123925%74.887.1-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlovik2324132383
Mrkonjic Grad2326162489
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