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Orlovik vs Mrkonjic Grad Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-79
20-15 32-29 20-14 19-21
Position#7
Record5-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game80.6
Orlovik 🏆
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
vs
Position#11
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game82.2
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 12· KSC Don Bosco
Other2024-25
Meetings · Orlovik v Mrkonjic Grad
09 Jan 2027
ORLO v MRKO
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
ORLO75
MRKO79
28 Dec 2024
ORLO91
MRKO79
30 Dec 2023
ORLO83
MRKO89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlovik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mrkonjic Grad winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrlovikBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrlovik
Date
Competition
Promo
#12
L
71-78
71
78
-7
62avg 76
A20/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
H26/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 76
A03/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
62avg 76
H09/11
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
67-96
67
96
-29
57avg 76
A16/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#6
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 76
H30/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
W
91-79
91
79
+12
89avg 76
H07/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Posusje
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
70avg 76
A11/12
Prvenstvo BiH
HKK Mostar
#13
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 76
H14/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
57avg 76
A22/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
18-15
22-22
8-15
14-27
24-21
23-24
16-24
13-10
16-18
20-29
24-22
25-37
12-11
15-20
15-22
14-30
20-18
14-29
19-19
24-16
20-16
31-24
16-15
25-19
23-20
23-15
20-25
22-19
21-19
12-12
15-13
23-23
20-19
27-24
24-17
17-22
18-8
20-23
18-25
158.7Avg total
77.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.580.6158.1-3.245%
Season at home (6)83.082.2165.2+0.867%
Season away (5)70.878.8149.6-8.020%
Last 10 (10)77.481.3158.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)83.874.8158.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.889.3160.2-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.084.7171.7+2.354%
vs Weaker (11)83.678.6162.3+5.064%
This opponent (Mrkonjic Grad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mrkonjic GradBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrad
Date
Competition
HKK Mostar
#13
W
97-87
97
87
+10
91avg 70
H20/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#10
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 70
A26/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
62avg 70
A03/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Spars Ilidza
#14
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 70
H09/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A16/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#12
L
78-87
78
87
-9
67avg 70
H30/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
69avg 70
A07/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
W
85-73
85
73
+12
81avg 70
H11/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#3
L
61-91
61
91
-30
50avg 70
A13/12
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
66avg 70
H22/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
15-21
20-24
28-21
20-26
23-20
12-25
22-15
14-26
20-18
14-19
17-14
25-22
20-17
18-18
21-18
25-21
23-18
19-25
12-22
30-17
15-23
15-20
18-27
24-16
20-22
17-22
16-31
21-15
26-13
19-15
19-30
5-21
19-20
21-27
16-23
20-28
21-16
17-17
17-20
161.2Avg total
77.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.782.2161.9-2.536%
Season at home (5)83.880.6164.4+3.260%
Season away (6)76.383.5159.8-7.217%
Last 10 (10)77.883.4161.2-5.630%
Last 5 (5)75.284.6159.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)72.486.1158.5-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.574.9156.4+6.675%
vs Weaker (4)90.578.0168.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Orlovik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -3.5-3.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -3.5-3.5
OrlovikMrkonjic Grad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrlovikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promo
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A20/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H26/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A03/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H09/11
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A16/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H30/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H07/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Posusje
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/12
Prvenstvo BiH
HKK Mostar
#13
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#10
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A22/12
Prvenstvo BiH
78.6Avg total
39.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.383.2+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.141.086.1+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.741.680.3-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.478.6-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.278.8+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.345.582.8-8.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.738.881.5+3.869%-
vs Weaker (11)43.541.985.4+1.545%-
This opponent (Mrkonjic Grad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mrkonjic GradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HKK Mostar
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H20/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A03/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Spars Ilidza
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H09/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A16/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H30/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H11/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#3
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A13/12
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H22/12
Prvenstvo BiH
82.1Avg total
42.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.381.8-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.679.1-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)41.543.084.5-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.182.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.278.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.643.981.4-6.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.036.680.6+7.462%-
vs Weaker (4)46.839.085.8+7.8100%-
This opponent (Orlovik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orloviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlovik: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.8
56.8%
53.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.4
30.5%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.615.2
70.4%
69.8%15.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mrkonjic Gradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mrkonjic Grad: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.9
55.6%
53.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.9
38.4%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.810.3
69.6%
69.8%10.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlovik
LWWWWLLLLL
Mrkonjic Grad
LLWLLLWLLW
#7
League position
#11
-1.1
Net rating
-3.3
103.6
Offensive rating
109.6
104.7
Defensive rating
113.0
51.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.7%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.5%
3-point %
38.4%
58.8%
Assist %
52.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 109.6Defence104.7 · 113.0Shooting51.8% · 56.3%3-point %30.5% · 38.4%Ball care16.8% · 17.7%Off. rebounds19.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Orlovik   ■ Mrkonjic Grad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Orlovik wins
1
Mrkonjic Grad wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Orlovik v Mrkonjic Grad83-89
15/10/23Mrkonjic Grad v Orlovik85-88
Orloviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24ARadnicki Gorazde73-78
14/12/24HHKK Mostar94-83
11/12/24APosusje70-63
07/12/24HSloboda91-79
30/11/24HJahorina91-71
16/11/24AKK Bosna67-96
09/11/24HSiroki Brijeg67-90
03/11/24ASlavija73-79
26/10/24HBorac Banja Luka77-96
20/10/24APromo71-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HKK Bosna75-81
13/12/24ASiroki Brijeg61-91
11/12/24HSlavija85-73
07/12/24ABorac Banja Luka77-91
30/11/24HPromo78-87
16/11/24ALeotar Trebinje79-86
09/11/24HSpars Ilidza84-75
03/11/24AJahorina65-77
26/10/24ARadnicki Gorazde77-86
20/10/24HHKK Mostar97-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlovik
Prvenstvo BiH 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL45%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game77.583.070.8
Allowed / game80.682.278.8
Point differential-3.2+0.8-8.0
Avg total158.1165.2149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mrkonjic Grad
Prvenstvo BiH 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game79.783.876.3
Allowed / game82.280.683.5
Point differential-2.5+3.2-7.2
Avg total161.9164.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Bosna1211192%89.972.9+17.0
2 Siroki Brijeg119282%86.969.3+17.6
3 Borac Banja Luka119282%85.072.1+12.9
4 Sloboda118373%88.179.9+8.2
5 Leotar Trebinje118373%83.575.6+7.9
6 Slavija116555%83.681.0+2.6
7 Radnicki Gorazde115645%73.674.4-0.7
8 Orlovik115645%77.580.6-3.2
9 Promo115645%76.880.6-3.8
10 Jahorina115645%76.580.4-3.9
11 Mrkonjic Grad114736%79.782.2-2.5
12 Spars Ilidza1221017%72.285.6-13.3
13 HKK Mostar111109%77.594.6-17.2
14 Posusje110110%66.588.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlovik2032201991
Mrkonjic Grad1529142179
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