Orvieto W vs Lucca W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 39-62

Position#9

Record4-13

FormLLLLL

Points / game57.8

Allowed / game64.8

Orvieto W

Lucca W 🏆

Position#2

Record14-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game65.4

Allowed / game50.6

Serie A1 WRound 21

Women2012-13

Meetings · Orvieto W v Lucca W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orvieto W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lucca W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orvieto W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Umbertide W

49-64

-15

H05/12

Serie A1 W

Lucca W

44-52

-8

A16/12

Serie A1 W

Chieti W

66-74

-8

H19/12

Serie A1 W

Parma W

53-65

-12

A06/01

Serie A1 W

Pozzuoli W

#10

54-63

-9

A13/01

Serie A1 W

Taranto W

54-71

-17

H20/01

Serie A1 W

Umbertide W

66-68 OT

-2

A27/01

Serie A1 W

Schio W

58-71

-13

H10/02

Serie A1 W

Cagliari W

#11

60-73

-13

A17/02

Serie A1 W

Priolo W

60-61

-1

H10/03

Serie A1 W

13-18

14-26

14-10

8-10

13-10

12-15

10-18

9-9

27-27

15-15

10-17

14-15

14-21

20-18

8-5

11-21

–

6-26

18-16

14-12

16-17

16-19

9-18

19-14

17-10

14-21

10-13

13-17

21-20

15-23

16-19

14-16

15-15

21-17

10-16

16-12

13-16

122.6Avg total

56.4Scored

66.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	57.8	64.8	122.6	-7.1	24%
Season at home (7)	61.1	65.7	126.9	-4.6	29%
Season away (10)	55.4	64.2	119.6	-8.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	56.4	66.2	122.6	-9.8	0%
Last 5 (5)	59.6	68.8	128.4	-9.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	54.3	66.1	120.4	-11.8	9%
vs Similar (3)	61.7	57.7	119.3	+4.0	67%
vs Weaker (3)	66.7	67.3	134.0	-0.7	33%

This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lucca W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pozzuoli W

#10

61-45

+16

A09/12

Serie A1 W

Orvieto W

52-44

H16/12

Serie A1 W

Taranto W

50-55

-5

A19/12

Serie A1 W

Schio W

47-49

-2

H06/01

Serie A1 W

Priolo W

83-58

+25

H13/01

Serie A1 W

Cagliari W

#11

75-66

A20/01

Serie A1 W

Chieti W

94-48

+46

H03/02

Serie A1 W

Umbertide W

66-48

+18

A10/02

Serie A1 W

Parma W

51-48

H17/02

Serie A1 W

Pozzuoli W

#10

82-46

+36

H03/03

Serie A1 W

17-10

15-19

10-14

19-2

10-13

15-12

18-10

9-9

16-18

15-13

8-11

11-13

12-10

13-13

13-10

9-16

–

21-11

17-16

18-13

19-26

30-18

19-9

26-13

19-8

20-19

17-11

11-7

18-11

10-14

18-7

9-13

14-14

19-8

17-20

23-7

23-11

116.8Avg total

66.1Scored

50.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	65.4	50.6	116.1	+14.8	82%
Season at home (10)	66.2	50.5	116.7	+15.7	80%
Season away (7)	64.3	50.9	115.1	+13.4	86%
Last 10 (10)	66.1	50.7	116.8	+15.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	51.2	124.8	+22.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	58.5	66.3	124.8	-7.8	50%
vs Similar (5)	52.2	53.6	105.8	-1.4	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	67.6	50.9	118.5	+16.7	95%

This opponent (Orvieto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Orvieto WLucca W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	15.6	18.2	33.8	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.4	20.9	38.3	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (9)	14.1	16.2	30.3	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.4	20.2	35.7	-4.8	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	21.2	35.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	13.8	17.9	31.7	-4.1	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.0	17.3	33.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	21.5	46.0	+3.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.4	14.9	31.3	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	14.3	32.0	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.0	15.6	30.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.2	13.4	30.7	+3.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	14.0	34.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	14.5	17.3	31.8	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.8	15.2	31.0	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	17.2	14.1	31.2	+3.1	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	13.8	15.4	29.1	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	14.0	15.4	29.4	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (9)	13.6	15.3	28.9	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	13.8	17.3	31.1	-3.6	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.6	16.4	29.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	13.0	16.8	29.8	-3.8	36%	-
vs Similar (3)	12.7	10.7	23.3	+2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	14.5	34.0	+5.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	15.6	13.4	29.1	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	13.5	29.8	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.9	13.4	28.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.2	13.3	29.6	+2.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	12.6	30.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.2	15.2	28.3	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	13.2	14.4	27.6	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	17.1	12.6	29.7	+4.5	72%	-

Orvieto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Umbertide W

27-44

-17

H05/12

Serie A1 W

Lucca W

25-25

A16/12

Serie A1 W

Chieti W

42-42

H19/12

Serie A1 W

Parma W

34-39

-5

A06/01

Serie A1 W

Taranto W

24-42

-18

H20/01

Serie A1 W

Umbertide W

25-37

-12

A27/01

Serie A1 W

Schio W

24-34

-10

H10/02

Serie A1 W

Cagliari W

#11

31-42

-11

A17/02

Serie A1 W

Priolo W

31-33

-2

H10/03

Serie A1 W

66.8Avg total

29.2Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	29.3	33.6	62.9	-4.3	19%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	31.4	36.3	67.7	-4.9	14%	-
Last 30 away (9)	27.7	31.6	59.2	-3.9	22%	-
Last 10 (9)	29.2	37.6	66.8	-8.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	37.6	64.6	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	26.8	34.7	61.5	-7.9	9%	-
vs Similar (3)	28.7	28.0	56.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	36.0	80.0	+8.0	50%	-

This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pozzuoli W

#10

32-29

A09/12

Serie A1 W

Orvieto W

25-25

H16/12

Serie A1 W

Taranto W

31-31

A19/12

Serie A1 W

Schio W

25-23

H06/01

Serie A1 W

Cagliari W

#11

38-27

+11

A20/01

Serie A1 W

Chieti W

49-27

+22

H03/02

Serie A1 W

Umbertide W

37-30

A10/02

Serie A1 W

Parma W

28-21

H17/02

Serie A1 W

Pozzuoli W

#10

36-28

H03/03

Serie A1 W

60.2Avg total

33.4Scored

26.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	32.0	28.4	60.4	+3.6	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.9	27.9	61.8	+6.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	29.9	28.9	58.9	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (9)	33.4	26.8	60.2	+6.7	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	26.6	64.2	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	27.7	32.5	60.2	-4.8	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	29.0	29.6	58.6	-0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	34.3	26.7	60.9	+7.6	83%	-

This opponent (Orvieto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	14.2	14.8	29.0	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	13.9	14.0	27.9	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (9)	14.6	15.3	29.9	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	13.1	13.4	26.6	-0.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	14.2	29.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	14.1	14.4	28.5	-0.3	55%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.7	14.7	30.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	13.0	17.0	30.0	-4.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	14.4	10.6	25.0	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.8	9.6	25.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	12.9	11.6	24.5	+1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.1	10.9	26.0	+4.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	10.6	28.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	12.3	11.0	23.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	11.6	11.0	22.6	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	15.8	10.3	26.2	+5.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	14.1	16.1	30.2	-2.0	25%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	15.9	15.4	31.3	+0.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (9)	12.8	16.7	29.4	-3.9	22%	-
Last 10 (9)	13.8	14.8	28.6	-1.0	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	15.6	32.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	12.9	16.4	29.3	-3.5	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.3	15.0	32.3	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	15.5	14.7	30.2	+0.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.8	14.7	29.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	14.7	31.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.7	12.2	27.9	+3.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	14.0	32.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.3	19.8	35.2	-4.5	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	11.6	13.0	24.6	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	16.7	13.5	30.2	+3.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	28.4	30.9	59.2	-2.5	44%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	29.7	29.4	59.1	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (9)	27.3	32.0	59.3	-4.7	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	26.9	28.2	55.1	-1.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	29.8	61.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	27.0	30.7	57.7	-3.7	45%	-
vs Similar (3)	33.0	29.7	62.7	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	29.0	33.5	62.5	-4.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	29.9	25.3	55.2	+4.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.6	24.3	54.9	+6.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	29.1	26.4	55.5	+2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	30.8	23.1	53.9	+7.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	24.6	60.6	+11.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	27.7	30.8	58.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	32.5	23.8	56.3	+8.7	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Orvieto W wins

Lucca W wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/12	Lucca W v Orvieto W	52-44

Orvieto Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/13	H	Priolo W	60-61
17/02/13	A	Cagliari W	60-73
10/02/13	H	Schio W	58-71
27/01/13	A	Umbertide W	66-68 OT
20/01/13	H	Taranto W	54-71
13/01/13	A	Pozzuoli W	54-63
06/01/13	A	Parma W	53-65
19/12/12	H	Chieti W	66-74
16/12/12	A	Lucca W	44-52
05/12/12	H	Umbertide W	49-64

Lucca Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/13	H	Pozzuoli W	82-46
17/02/13	H	Parma W	51-48
10/02/13	A	Umbertide W	66-48
03/02/13	H	Chieti W	94-48
20/01/13	A	Cagliari W	75-66
13/01/13	H	Priolo W	83-58
06/01/13	H	Schio W	47-49
19/12/12	A	Taranto W	50-55
16/12/12	H	Orvieto W	52-44
09/12/12	A	Pozzuoli W	61-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orvieto W

Serie A1 W 2012-13

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	24%
Home	LLLLL	29%
Away	LLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	7	10
Win %	24%	29%	20%
Points / game	57.8	61.1	55.4
Allowed / game	64.8	65.7	64.2
Point differential	-7.1	-4.6	-8.8
Avg total	122.6	126.9	119.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	14%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	10%

Lucca W

Serie A1 W 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	82%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	WWLWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	82%	80%	86%
Points / game	65.4	66.2	64.3
Allowed / game	50.6	50.5	50.9
Point differential	+14.8	+15.7	+13.4
Avg total	116.1	116.7	115.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	50%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Schio W	18	17	1	94%	68.7	55.0	+13.7
2	Lucca W	17	14	3	82%	65.4	50.6	+14.8
3	Parma W	17	13	4	76%	66.1	59.4	+6.7
4	Taranto W	17	12	5	71%	69.8	56.7	+13.1
5	Umbertide W	17	9	8	53%	62.8	60.1	+2.7
6	Priolo W	18	7	11	39%	64.4	66.1	-1.7
7	Chieti W	18	6	12	33%	59.5	71.3	-11.8
8	Faenza W	10	3	7	30%	53.3	59.7	-6.4
9	Orvieto W	17	4	13	24%	57.8	64.8	-7.1
10	Pozzuoli W	17	4	13	24%	59.1	75.0	-15.9
11	Cagliari W	18	3	15	17%	59.2	69.3	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No quarter scores for this game.

← all games of the day

Orvieto W vs Lucca W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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