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Orvieto W vs Lucca W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 46-66
8-22 7-15 21-14 10-15
Position#12
Record6-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Lucca W 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record18-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game58.4
ItalySerie A1 WRound 19
Women2015-16
Meetings · Orvieto W v Lucca W
28 Feb 2016
ORVI46
LUCC66
19 Oct 2014
ORVI63
LUCC75
27 Oct 2013
ORVI62
LUCC81
17 Mar 2013
ORVI39
LUCC62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orvieto W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lucca W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orvieto WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dike Napoli W
#6
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#4
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H19/12
Serie A1 W
Umbertide W
#8
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A22/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H03/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#13
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#9
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A17/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H24/01
Serie A1 W
Cagliari W
#14
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A31/01
Serie A1 W
Parma W
#7
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H07/02
Serie A1 W
Umbertide W
#8
L
73-78 OT
73
78
-5
H13/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
18-8
14-16
20-30
4-13
15-12
10-19
12-13
13-17
18-10
14-20
19-11
15-20
10-20
14-17
23-25
26-13
22-10
14-20
12-19
16-23
24-25
16-24
20-19
22-14
10-21
21-11
21-24
24-28
20-15
10-22
16-14
22-11
10-19
26-15
15-18
18-24
14-19
26-16
11-10
138.4Avg total
67.1Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)63.269.3132.5-6.132%
Season at home (10)64.564.2128.7+0.350%
Season away (9)61.874.9136.7-13.111%
Last 10 (10)67.171.3138.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)73.276.2149.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)60.070.8130.8-10.726%
vs Similar (4)62.264.0126.2-1.825%
vs Weaker (3)68.364.3132.7+4.067%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H19/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#13
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H22/12
Serie A1 W
Cagliari W
#14
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A06/01
Serie A1 W
Umbertide W
#8
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Parma W
#7
W
81-64
81
64
+17
A17/01
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#10
W
75-49
75
49
+26
H24/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#9
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A31/01
Serie A1 W
Dike Napoli W
#6
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H08/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#13
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A13/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
16-16
21-5
8-14
20-26
15-20
18-15
14-12
19-19
21-6
20-14
12-12
26-19
30-13
12-19
18-19
21-19
20-17
12-20
22-12
30-26
21-18
14-8
16-12
25-12
20-17
14-9
16-11
15-14
12-19
26-16
18-12
15-4
25-20
13-22
17-11
27-20
14-21
22-11
11-19
134.5Avg total
73.4Scored
61.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.558.4132.9+16.195%
Season at home (9)74.960.3135.2+14.689%
Season away (10)74.156.7130.8+17.4100%
Last 10 (10)73.461.1134.5+12.390%
Last 5 (5)74.260.4134.6+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)53.662.9116.4-9.314%
vs Similar (3)75.775.3151.0+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)76.258.4134.7+17.995%
This opponent (Orvieto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Orvieto WLucca W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orvieto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dike Napoli W
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#4
L
19-25
19
25
-6
H19/12
Serie A1 W
Umbertide W
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A22/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H03/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#13
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A17/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H24/01
Serie A1 W
Cagliari W
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A31/01
Serie A1 W
Parma W
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H07/02
Serie A1 W
Umbertide W
#8
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/02
Serie A1 W
67.4Avg total
33.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.734.064.7-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.633.163.7-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)30.835.065.8-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)33.334.167.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.875.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.235.064.2-5.726%-
vs Similar (4)33.528.562.0+5.050%-
vs Weaker (3)38.034.072.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A13/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H19/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#13
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H22/12
Serie A1 W
Cagliari W
#14
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A06/01
Serie A1 W
Umbertide W
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Parma W
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A17/01
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H24/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A31/01
Serie A1 W
Dike Napoli W
#6
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H08/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/02
Serie A1 W
74.8Avg total
41.0Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.432.870.1+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.331.970.2+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)36.533.670.1+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)41.033.874.8+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.275.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.035.462.4-8.414%-
vs Similar (3)35.340.375.7-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.330.772.0+10.690%-
This opponent (Orvieto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Orvieto W wins
7
Lucca W wins
DateGameScore
08/11/15Lucca W v Orvieto W68-56
18/01/15Lucca W v Orvieto W66-50
19/10/14Orvieto W v Lucca W63-75
16/01/14Lucca W v Orvieto W82-58
27/10/13Orvieto W v Lucca W62-81
17/03/13Orvieto W v Lucca W39-62
16/12/12Lucca W v Orvieto W52-44
Orvieto Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/16HUmbertide W73-78 OT
07/02/16HParma W73-63
31/01/16ACagliari W70-79
24/01/16HSan Martino W74-70
17/01/16ABattipaglia W76-91
10/01/16HSan Giovanni W74-62
03/01/16HSchio W62-82
22/12/15AUmbertide W64-58
19/12/15HVenezia W41-57
13/12/15ADike Napoli W64-73
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/16ASan Giovanni W74-71
08/02/16HDike Napoli W70-57
31/01/16ABattipaglia W71-61
24/01/16HVigarano W75-49
17/01/16AParma W81-64
10/01/16HUmbertide W75-68
06/01/16ACagliari W86-70
22/12/15HSan Giovanni W72-51
19/12/15HRagusa W67-73
13/12/15ASchio W63-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orvieto W
Serie A1 W 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL32%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%50%11%
Points / game63.264.561.8
Allowed / game69.364.274.9
Point differential-6.1+0.3-13.1
Avg total132.5128.7136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %95%89%100%
Points / game74.574.974.1
Allowed / game58.460.356.7
Point differential+16.1+14.6+17.4
Avg total132.9135.2130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%78%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lucca W1918195%74.558.4+16.1
2 Ragusa W1917289%72.858.0+14.8
3 Schio W1916384%80.060.7+19.3
4 Venezia W1915479%68.755.3+13.5
5 San Martino W1910953%66.765.9+0.8
6 Parma W1991047%70.670.4+0.2
7 Umbertide W1981142%65.268.7-3.5
8 Fixi Piramis Torino W1971237%65.168.1-3.0
9 Battipaglia W1971237%69.174.5-5.4
10 Dike Napoli W1971237%62.769.3-6.6
11 Orvieto W1961332%63.269.3-6.1
12 Vigarano W1951426%58.871.2-12.3
13 San Giovanni W2051525%62.472.8-10.4
14 Cagliari W2041620%63.879.7-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orvieto W87211046
Lucca W2215141566
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