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Osaka vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 103-93
30-18 24-28 28-19 21-28
Position#17
Record21-33
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game82.6
Osaka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#25
Record14-40
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game83.8
JapanB League· Ookini Arena Maishima
Other2025-26
Meetings · Osaka v Brave Thunders
19 Apr 2026
OSAK103
BRAV93
18 Apr 2026
OSAK98
BRAV76
29 Oct 2023
OSAK92
BRAV72
28 Oct 2023
OSAK74
BRAV79
02 Apr 2023
OSAK88
BRAV80
01 Apr 2023
OSAK64
BRAV90
16 May 2021
OSAK73
BRAV84
15 May 2021
OSAK75
BRAV95
04 Nov 2018
OSAK80
BRAV83
03 Nov 2018
OSAK79
BRAV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A28/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A29/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H01/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A04/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A05/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A08/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H11/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H12/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A15/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H18/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
22-26
17-20
29-19
18-31
22-19
25-16
14-28
22-20
18-28
12-11
19-21
20-17
26-15
18-23
20-23
18-22
13-17
18-20
28-25
19-20
18-12
17-15
17-27
28-20
23-23
21-13
19-25
20-25
20-24
25-21
26-26
19-15
15-25
19-14
24-26
26-19
25-21
20-15
27-21
166.2Avg total
83.1Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)80.682.6163.2-2.039%
Season at home (28)82.184.9167.0-2.836%
Season away (26)79.080.2159.2-1.242%
Last 10 (10)83.183.1166.2+0.040%
Last 5 (5)85.681.4167.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.584.9159.4-10.50%
vs Similar (8)83.179.9163.0+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.078.9161.9+4.155%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A28/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A29/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H01/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H04/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H05/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A08/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
77-97
77
97
-20
A11/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A12/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H15/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A18/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
20-15
18-27
10-18
15-22
20-24
17-20
20-18
13-14
20-14
33-21
23-20
18-16
14-25
22-26
17-18
13-27
22-17
24-14
23-17
20-33
13-13
20-16
20-25
25-26
24-24
8-23
20-24
16-25
22-24
12-29
14-9
21-19
11-25
13-16
18-24
19-26
21-25
15-20
21-27
156.8Avg total
72.7Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)75.383.8159.1-8.526%
Season at home (29)73.782.1155.8-8.424%
Season away (25)77.185.8162.9-8.628%
Last 10 (10)72.784.1156.8-11.420%
Last 5 (5)70.690.6161.2-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)74.284.6158.8-10.317%
vs Similar (5)79.274.6153.8+4.680%
vs Weaker (2)87.593.0180.5-5.550%
This opponent (Osaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
OsakaBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A28/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A29/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H01/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A04/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A05/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A08/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H11/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A15/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H18/04
B League
83.8Avg total
41.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.881.5-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.843.886.6-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)36.239.475.6-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.283.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.883.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.144.483.5-5.327%-
vs Similar (8)38.942.281.1-3.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.938.879.7+2.155%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A28/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A29/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H01/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A08/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A11/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A12/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H15/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A18/04
B League
78.8Avg total
35.9Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.878.7-4.920%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.139.674.7-4.425%-
Last 30 away (14)39.044.483.4-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)35.942.978.8-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.448.086.4-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.143.380.3-6.213%-
vs Similar (5)36.633.470.0+3.260%-
vs Weaker (2)36.046.082.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.4
55.1%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.8
32.0%
33.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
73.1%12.7
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.6
49.7%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.9
27.2%
33.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.211.6
67.4%
73.1%11.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
WLLWLLWLLW
Brave Thunders
LLLLLWLWLL
#17
League position
#25
-0.2
Net rating
-13.6
95.2
Offensive rating
86.5
95.4
Defensive rating
100.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
45.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.0%
3-point %
27.2%
72.5%
Assist %
74.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 86.5Defence95.4 · 100.1Shooting51.9% · 45.9%3-point %32.0% · 27.2%Ball care14.4% · 13.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Osaka   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Osaka wins
5
Brave Thunders wins
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HBrave Thunders98-76
15/04/26AUtsunomiya Brex77-80
12/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles91-96
11/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles91-81
08/04/26ARyukyu71-74
05/04/26AKoshigaya Alphas77-84
04/04/26AKoshigaya Alphas84-78
01/04/26HNagasaki71-80
29/03/26AHiroshima D.79-94
28/03/26AHiroshima D.92-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26AOsaka76-98
15/04/26HChiba63-84
12/04/26AGunma64-87
11/04/26AGunma77-97
08/04/26ASun Rockers Shibuya73-87
05/04/26HYokohama82-75
04/04/26HYokohama71-85
01/04/26HKoshigaya Alphas89-69
29/03/26ASeaHorses Mikawa72-84
28/03/26ASeaHorses Mikawa60-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW39%
HomeLLWLW36%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %39%36%42%
Points / game80.682.179.0
Allowed / game82.684.980.2
Point differential-2.0-2.8-1.2
Avg total163.2167.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)43% (7)40% (10)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLWLWL24%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542925
Win %26%24%28%
Points / game75.373.777.1
Allowed / game83.882.185.8
Point differential-8.5-8.4-8.6
Avg total159.1155.8162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki54421278%91.079.4+11.7
2 Diamond Dolphins54411376%84.073.8+10.2
3 Utsunomiya Brex54411376%86.180.4+5.7
4 Ryukyu54381670%81.974.5+7.4
5 SeaHorses Mikawa54381670%83.977.6+6.3
6 Gunma54371769%82.972.8+10.1
7 Chiba55371867%83.576.8+6.7
8 Alvark54361867%80.177.1+3.0
9 Hokkaido55342162%88.086.1+1.9
10 Sendai54332161%82.179.1+3.0
11 NeoPhoenix54322259%86.183.8+2.3
12 Hiroshima D.54302456%86.884.0+2.8
13 Saga54282652%81.982.2-0.3
14 Shimane54252946%79.780.7-1.0
15 Yokohama54252946%79.381.4-2.1
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya54223241%76.580.5-3.9
17 Osaka54213339%80.682.6-2.0
18 Shiga54213339%80.785.0-4.3
19 Kyoto54183633%73.780.7-7.0
20 Koshigaya Alphas54183633%74.981.9-7.0
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles54173731%80.484.1-3.7
22 Altiri Chiba54173731%79.184.1-5.0
23 Ibaraki Robots54153928%75.181.3-6.2
24 Brave Thunders54144026%75.383.8-8.5
25 Toyama54134124%80.788.9-8.2
26 Akita54104419%73.285.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka30242821103
Brave Thunders1828192893
← all games of the day
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