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Osaka vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 74-79
19-16 15-23 19-15 21-25
Position#18
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#10
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game74.0
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium (Osaka)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osaka v Brave Thunders
19 Apr 2026
OSAK103
BRAV93
18 Apr 2026
OSAK98
BRAV76
29 Oct 2023
OSAK92
BRAV72
28 Oct 2023
OSAK74
BRAV79
02 Apr 2023
OSAK88
BRAV80
01 Apr 2023
OSAK64
BRAV90
16 May 2021
OSAK73
BRAV84
15 May 2021
OSAK75
BRAV95
04 Nov 2018
OSAK80
BRAV83
03 Nov 2018
OSAK79
BRAV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A30/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
L
62-82
62
82
-20
no box
H06/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H07/05
B League
Toyama
#24
W
93-73
93
73
+20
87avg 84
H07/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
86-77
86
77
+9
86avg 84
H08/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
83-75
83
75
+8
71avg 84
H14/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
90-76
90
76
+14
83avg 84
H15/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
100-83
100
83
+17
98avg 84
A21/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
93-85
93
85
+8
89avg 84
A22/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 84
A25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
13-24
24-22
18-20
15-12
13-20
13-29
21-21
24-19
22-15
24-19
25-28
24-21
14-16
30-15
25-21
31-18
15-21
19-14
21-24
18-25
23-17
21-15
21-18
32-16
19-16
16-14
23-30
33-17
25-20
25-25
17-21
19-24
27-23
25-13
22-25
21-23
12-14
23-16
27-21
164.9Avg total
85.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.777.6167.3+12.1100%
Season at home (4)88.075.2163.2+12.8100%
Season away (3)92.080.7172.7+11.3100%
Last 10 (10)85.779.2164.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)89.878.6168.4+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.783.8160.5-7.131%
vs Similar (10)81.079.7160.7+1.350%
vs Weaker (7)91.178.1169.3+13.0100%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#13
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H07/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
L
86-91
86
91
-5
no box
H13/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
L
84-104
84
104
-20
no box
H14/05
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 77
H07/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 77
H08/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
87-85
87
85
+2
75avg 77
A14/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 77
A15/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
87-70
87
70
+17
83avg 77
H20/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
72-58
72
58
+14
67avg 77
H21/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
87-66
87
66
+21
78avg 77
A25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-25
21-21
14-23
29-21
21-22
16-25
20-23
15-34
26-23
14-23
29-24
25-24
21-28
8-12
21-22
21-21
23-10
28-17
12-23
21-16
25-23
19-26
22-20
19-14
27-26
23-15
24-27
24-19
22-18
21-20
20-13
14-10
22-14
16-16
20-18
29-23
21-8
20-27
17-8
162.7Avg total
82.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.674.0157.6+9.686%
Season at home (4)79.571.2150.8+8.275%
Season away (3)89.077.7166.7+11.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.680.1162.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)85.272.2157.4+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.578.5158.0+1.050%
vs Similar (9)83.080.7163.7+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.577.9164.4+8.679%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
OsakaBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A30/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H06/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/05
B League
Toyama
#24
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H07/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H14/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H15/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A21/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A25/10
B League
79.8Avg total
41.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.479.2+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.737.977.6+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.938.980.8+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.179.8+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.084.8+6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.040.879.8-1.846%-
vs Similar (10)40.834.875.6+6.070%-
vs Weaker (7)44.139.083.1+5.157%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#13
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H07/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H13/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H14/05
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H07/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A14/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H21/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A25/10
B League
83.9Avg total
44.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.080.3+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.937.779.6+4.272%-
Last 30 away (12)43.038.481.4+4.667%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.883.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.834.279.0+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.041.586.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (9)43.339.182.4+4.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.637.178.7+4.574%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.9 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.4
53.2%
50.9%46.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.3
38.7%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.4
68.2%
72.0%14.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.0
51.8%
50.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.0
33.2%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.113.7
71.6%
72.0%13.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
WWWWWWWWLL
Brave Thunders
WWWWWWLLLL
#18
League position
#10
+15.9
Net rating
+13.1
113.8
Offensive rating
109.8
97.9
Defensive rating
96.7
54.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.7%
3-point %
33.2%
64.6%
Assist %
63.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 109.8Defence97.9 · 96.7Shooting54.9% · 50.9%3-point %38.7% · 33.2%Ball care15.6% · 14.1%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Osaka   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Osaka wins
8
Brave Thunders wins
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23AKyoto83-74
22/10/23AIbaraki Robots93-85
21/10/23AIbaraki Robots100-83
15/10/23HSendai90-76
14/10/23HSendai83-75
08/10/23HToyama86-77
07/10/23HToyama93-73
07/05/23HIbaraki Robots95-81
06/05/23HIbaraki Robots62-82
30/04/23ARyukyu72-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23ARyukyu87-66
21/10/23HToyama72-58
20/10/23HToyama87-70
15/10/23ASeaHorses Mikawa93-82
14/10/23ASeaHorses Mikawa87-85
08/10/23HNeoPhoenix84-71
07/10/23HNeoPhoenix75-86
14/05/23HYokohama84-104
13/05/23HYokohama86-91
07/05/23HSun Rockers Shibuya71-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.788.092.0
Allowed / game77.675.280.7
Point differential+12.1+12.8+11.3
Avg total167.3163.2172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game83.679.589.0
Allowed / game74.071.277.7
Point differential+9.6+8.2+11.3
Avg total157.6150.8166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka770100%89.777.6+12.1
2 Alvark87188%77.260.4+16.9
3 Diamond Dolphins87188%85.178.8+6.4
4 NeoPhoenix76186%89.078.6+10.4
5 Brave Thunders76186%83.674.0+9.6
6 Nagasaki76186%88.081.0+7.0
7 Utsunomiya Brex86275%78.271.5+6.8
8 Shimane86275%79.474.0+5.4
9 Ryukyu75271%79.679.4+0.1
10 SeaHorses Mikawa74357%81.472.9+8.6
11 Chiba74357%86.385.4+0.9
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles74357%72.374.7-2.4
13 Yokohama84450%78.579.5-1.0
14 Sendai83538%80.184.9-4.8
15 Gunma83538%77.184.4-7.2
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya72529%79.180.1-1.0
17 Saga72529%70.778.0-7.3
18 Akita72529%70.478.7-8.3
19 Hiroshima D.82625%75.077.6-2.6
20 Shinshu82625%80.086.1-6.1
21 Kyoto81712%75.582.0-6.5
22 Hokkaido81712%73.082.6-9.6
23 Ibaraki Robots8080%79.188.4-9.2
24 Toyama7070%72.088.3-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka1915192174
Brave Thunders1623152579
← all games of the day
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