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Brave Thunders vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 89-69
13-14 20-14 33-21 23-20
Position#25
Record12-34
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#19
Record16-30
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game81.7
JapanB League· Kawasaki Todoroki Arena
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
53avg 70
H08/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
84avg 70
A14/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
88-104
88
104
-16
86avg 70
A15/02
B League
Shiga
#18
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 70
H07/03
B League
Shiga
#18
L
56-79
56
79
-23
45avg 70
H08/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
76-89
76
89
-13
74avg 70
H11/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
81avg 70
A14/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 70
A15/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
60-75
60
75
-15
54avg 70
A28/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 70
A29/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
12-17
20-26
16-15
28-27
10-19
23-29
25-18
24-26
22-20
19-23
23-35
19-18
28-8
15-27
22-19
11-22
15-19
12-21
18-17
10-37
21-16
20-20
25-16
27-17
20-19
13-21
13-16
14-14
16-22
30-15
22-23
12-15
20-15
18-27
10-18
15-22
20-24
17-20
20-18
158.1Avg total
75.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)75.483.5159.0-8.126%
Season at home (25)73.382.7156.0-9.420%
Season away (21)78.084.5162.5-6.533%
Last 10 (10)75.582.6158.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)75.080.2155.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.983.7158.6-8.820%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.576.2151.8-0.862%
vs Weaker (2)87.593.0180.5-5.550%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
L
67-76
67
76
-9
58avg 67
H08/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 67
H14/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
62-69
62
69
-7
61avg 67
H15/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
89-92
89
92
-3
85avg 67
A07/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
65-99
65
99
-34
50avg 67
A08/03
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-85
92
85
+7
89avg 67
H11/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
72-101
72
101
-29
68avg 67
H14/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
80-109
80
109
-29
74avg 67
H15/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 67
A28/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
89avg 67
A29/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
24-22
11-17
12-24
31-17
18-17
24-18
20-23
19-22
13-16
17-16
13-15
25-24
37-22
15-23
12-23
18-23
16-22
17-34
14-20
23-14
17-30
31-24
21-17
17-28
21-23
12-29
22-21
22-33
22-27
21-25
15-24
20-26
14-10
17-21
19-21
20-18
15-21
18-22
19-11
166.3Avg total
78.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)74.281.7155.9-7.535%
Season at home (24)73.880.4154.1-6.638%
Season away (22)74.683.1157.8-8.532%
Last 10 (10)78.388.0166.3-9.720%
Last 5 (5)81.493.8175.2-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)72.987.5160.4-14.723%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.478.2160.6+4.162%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
Brave ThundersKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A15/02
B League
Shiga
#18
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H07/03
B League
Shiga
#18
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H08/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H11/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A14/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A28/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A29/03
B League
75.8Avg total
36.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.177.9-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.439.676.9-2.235%-
Last 30 away (13)38.540.879.2-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.675.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.275.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.042.180.1-4.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.033.671.6+4.475%-
vs Weaker (2)36.046.082.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H14/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A07/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A08/03
B League
Toyama
#24
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H14/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H15/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/03
B League
84.0Avg total
41.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.981.1-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.941.680.5-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.744.081.7-6.325%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.884.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.084.2-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.744.080.8-7.323%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.539.682.1+2.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.2
53.2%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.710.5
71.4%
73.1%10.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.3
47.9%
53.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.7
39.4%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.312.2
70.5%
73.1%12.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brave Thunders
LLWWLLWLLL
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLLWLLLWL
#25
League position
#19
-8.7
Net rating
-11.6
89.4
Offensive rating
91.1
98.0
Defensive rating
102.7
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.2%
3-point %
39.4%
75.0%
Assist %
70.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 91.1Defence98.0 · 102.7Shooting50.4% · 52.3%3-point %31.2% · 39.4%Ball care15.9% · 15.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Brave Thunders   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brave Thunders wins
3
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ASeaHorses Mikawa72-84
28/03/26ASeaHorses Mikawa60-75
15/03/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles82-74
14/03/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles85-79 OT
11/03/26HGunma76-89
08/03/26HShiga56-79
07/03/26HShiga84-72
15/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex88-104
14/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex86-93
08/02/26HRyukyu66-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26AYokohama93-96 OT
28/03/26AYokohama70-78
15/03/26HDiamond Dolphins80-109
14/03/26HDiamond Dolphins72-101
11/03/26HToyama92-85
08/03/26AHiroshima D.65-99
07/03/26AHiroshima D.89-92
15/02/26HSun Rockers Shibuya62-69
14/02/26HSun Rockers Shibuya93-75
08/02/26HSendai67-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL26%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462521
Win %26%20%33%
Points / game75.473.378.0
Allowed / game83.582.784.5
Point differential-8.1-9.4-6.5
Avg total159.0156.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWLWLL38%
AwayWLLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %35%38%32%
Points / game74.273.874.6
Allowed / game81.780.483.1
Point differential-7.5-6.6-8.5
Avg total155.9154.1157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4637980%91.378.6+12.7
2 Diamond Dolphins46351176%83.973.2+10.7
3 Utsunomiya Brex46341274%85.981.0+4.9
4 Chiba46321470%82.775.6+7.1
5 SeaHorses Mikawa46321470%83.777.3+6.3
6 Ryukyu46311567%81.275.0+6.2
7 Hokkaido47311666%88.685.9+2.7
8 Gunma46301665%82.674.1+8.5
9 Alvark46301665%80.478.0+2.5
10 Hiroshima D.46271959%86.983.2+3.6
11 NeoPhoenix46271959%84.882.3+2.5
12 Sendai46271959%81.379.5+1.7
13 Shimane46232350%81.280.6+0.7
14 Saga46232350%82.282.6-0.4
15 Yokohama46192741%79.182.2-3.1
16 Osaka46182839%80.382.9-2.6
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya46182839%76.781.0-4.3
18 Shiga46172937%80.685.1-4.5
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles46163035%80.383.0-2.7
20 Altiri Chiba46163035%79.683.9-4.3
21 Koshigaya Alphas46163035%74.281.7-7.5
22 Kyoto46153133%72.280.1-7.9
23 Ibaraki Robots47143330%76.080.7-4.6
24 Brave Thunders46123426%75.483.5-8.1
25 Toyama46113524%81.889.8-8.0
26 Akita4683817%73.585.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brave Thunders1320332389
Koshigaya Alphas1414212069
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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