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Osaka vs Hiroshima D. Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Projected 72-94
Projected total 166.5
Scheduled
Position#26
Record1-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game90.4
Vs
97%
■ OSAK 3%■ HIRO 97%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record13-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game82.1
JapanB League· Ookini Arena Maishima
Other2026-27
Meetings · Osaka v Hiroshima D.
18 Nov 2026
OSAK v HIRO
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
OSAK83
HIRO73
25 Oct 2025
OSAK97
HIRO102
19 Mar 2025
OSAK93
HIRO80
27 Mar 2024
OSAK81
HIRO67
11 Jan 2023
OSAK74
HIRO86
04 Dec 2022
OSAK80
HIRO75
03 Dec 2022
OSAK69
HIRO78
05 Dec 2021
OSAK83
HIRO87
04 Dec 2021
OSAK86
HIRO78
14 Apr 2021
OSAK v HIRO
upcoming
04 Oct 2020
OSAK84
HIRO93
03 Oct 2020
OSAK94
HIRO83
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Osaka will face Hiroshima D. in the B League on 18 November 2026, with the model designating Hiroshima D. as the clear favourite because their 13-2 record and 90.4 points per game contrast sharply with Osaka's 1-15 record and 70.1 points per game. Osaka has struggled all season, allowing 90.9 points per game, and has gone 0-7 at home, scoring only 64.7 points per game; their last five games yielded five straight losses, including defeats to Toyama 77-91, Chiba 94-106 and Ibaraki Robots 68-86. Hiroshima D., meanwhile, has dominated the season, winning 13 of 15 games, averaging 90.4 points while conceding 80.9, and remaining unbeaten on the road with a 7-0 record, 89.6 points per game and 75.7 allowed. Their recent five games include four wins and one loss, with a 91-106 loss to Sendai at home but victories over Nagasaki 80-73 and Shimane 74-73. In head-to-head, Hiroshima D. leads 6-4, most recently beating Osaka 94-79 on 29 March 2026. The model projects a 3% chance for Osaka to win, 97% for Hiroshima D., a final score of 72-94, a total of 166.5 points, and a 1% probability that the game will go into overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka win
3.3%fair 29.99
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. win
96.7%fair 1.03
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
63-98
63
98
-35
48avg 70
A18/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
67-101
67
101
-34
54avg 70
A21/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
71-95
71
95
-24
54avg 70
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
65-87
65
87
-22
48avg 70
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
60-93
60
93
-33
49avg 70
A31/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
60-102
60
102
-42
48avg 70
A01/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
68-86
68
86
-18
no box
H07/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
94-106 OT
94
106
-12
no box
A10/11
B League
Toyama
#11
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A12/11
B League
Akita
#23
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
10-20
11-26
21-26
13-35
18-21
18-20
18-25
12-30
18-26
24-26
17-13
20-23
15-29
14-20
16-15
7-21
19-20
10-34
24-18
15-24
20-29
13-21
12-28
25-27
12-21
16-23
15-15
23-24
15-23
25-19
30-27
29-18
10-21
13-26
25-26
14-12
25-19
16-31
21-20
164.2Avg total
70.1Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.490.4160.8-20.06%
Season at home (7)64.787.7152.4-23.00%
Season away (10)74.492.3166.7-17.910%
Last 10 (10)70.194.1164.2-24.00%
Last 5 (5)75.093.4168.4-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.388.8160.1-17.45%
vs Similar (4)85.588.8174.2-3.225%
vs Weaker (6)88.783.7172.3+5.067%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 81
A17/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 81
H19/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
98-84
98
84
+14
90avg 81
H21/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 81
H24/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
90-64
90
64
+26
88avg 81
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#15
W
95-88
95
88
+7
90avg 81
A31/10
B League
Shimane
#15
W
74-73
74
73
+1
68avg 81
A01/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
91-106
91
106
-15
no box
H11/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
83-99
83
99
-16
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
22-17
19-21
18-12
22-26
30-14
10-20
15-15
22-25
33-25
26-11
17-23
27-14
16-26
28-23
22-33
24-21
26-11
21-18
19-14
23-24
22-23
23-16
27-25
25-19
16-21
15-22
18-11
20-18
16-23
21-18
23-14
24-29
24-31
26-25
17-21
17-27
24-20
22-26
20-26
169.9Avg total
87.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.982.1172.0+7.981%
Season at home (8)91.185.5176.6+5.675%
Season away (8)88.878.6167.4+10.188%
Last 10 (10)87.082.9169.9+4.170%
Last 5 (5)84.687.8172.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.286.4167.6-5.240%
vs Similar (9)86.791.4178.1-4.822%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.679.6168.1+9.081%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163
Over 163
58.6%
Under 163
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168
Over 168
45.9%
Under 168
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173
Over 173
33.7%
Under 173
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Osaka total 80.5
Over 80.5
20.5%
Under 80.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osaka total 84.5
Over 84.5
11.2%
Under 84.5
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osaka total 88.5
Over 88.5
5.5%
Under 88.5
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hiroshima D. total 79.5
Over 79.5
93.0%
Under 79.5
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hiroshima D. total 83.5
Over 83.5
85.9%
Under 83.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hiroshima D. total 87.5
Over 87.5
74.9%
Under 87.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Osaka -3
OSAK -3
2.1%
HIRO +3
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
OSAK
No market prices yet.
HIRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Osaka 0
OSAK 0
3.3%
HIRO 0
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
OSAK
No market prices yet.
HIRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Osaka +3
OSAK +3
4.8%
HIRO -3
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
OSAK
No market prices yet.
HIRO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -8.6-8.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -8.6-8.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
OsakaHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A18/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A21/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
30-56
30
56
-26
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A31/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A01/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A10/11
B League
Toyama
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A12/11
B League
Akita
#23
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A15/11
B League
81.0Avg total
34.1Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.083.1-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.845.884.6-6.925%-
Last 30 away (18)39.342.882.1-3.539%-
Last 10 (10)34.146.981.0-12.810%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.681.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.544.580.0-9.020%-
vs Similar (4)45.846.592.2-0.850%-
vs Weaker (6)46.840.587.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H19/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H21/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#15
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A31/10
B League
Shimane
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H11/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
B League
89.8Avg total
46.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.185.3+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.642.886.4+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.841.384.1+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)46.343.589.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.089.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.241.879.0-4.640%-
vs Similar (9)44.046.490.4-2.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.739.784.4+5.075%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.1
44.6%
53.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.0
29.2%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws13.68.6
63.2%
73.8%8.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.7
58.2%
53.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.3
31.0%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.617.7
72.0%
73.8%17.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
LLLLLLLLLL
Hiroshima D.
LLWWWWLWWW
#26
League position
#2
-31.9
Net rating
+10.1
77.5
Offensive rating
102.1
109.4
Defensive rating
92.0
44.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
59.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.2%
3-point %
31.0%
62.9%
Assist %
61.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence77.5 · 102.1Defence109.4 · 92.0Shooting44.3% · 53.6%3-point %29.2% · 31.0%Ball care15.6% · 13.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Osaka   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Osaka wins
6
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Hiroshima D. v Osaka94-79
28/03/26Hiroshima D. v Osaka88-92
26/10/25Osaka v Hiroshima D.83-73
25/10/25Osaka v Hiroshima D.97-102
20/04/25Hiroshima D. v Osaka76-90
19/04/25Hiroshima D. v Osaka85-78
19/03/25Osaka v Hiroshima D.93-80
06/11/24Hiroshima D. v Osaka93-91
21/04/24Hiroshima D. v Osaka83-71
20/04/24Hiroshima D. v Osaka91-77
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AAkita76-82
12/11/26AToyama77-91
10/11/26AChiba94-106 OT
07/11/26HIbaraki Robots68-86
01/11/26AGunma60-102
31/10/26AGunma60-93
25/10/26HChiba65-87
23/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers71-95
21/10/26ABrave Thunders67-101
18/10/26AIbaraki Robots63-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAlvark83-99
11/11/26HSendai91-106
06/11/26HNagasaki80-73
01/11/26AShimane74-73
31/10/26AShimane95-88
26/10/26AYokohama90-64
24/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido93-96
21/10/26HAkita98-84
19/10/26HNeoPhoenix77-75
17/10/26AAltiri Chiba89-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %6%0%10%
Points / game70.464.774.4
Allowed / game90.487.792.3
Point differential-20.0-23.0-17.9
Avg total160.8152.4166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %6%0%10%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL81%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%75%88%
Points / game89.991.188.8
Allowed / game82.185.578.6
Point differential+7.9+5.6+10.1
Avg total172.0176.6167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1312192%92.676.7+15.9
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1711665%89.980.3+9.6
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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