Chiba faces Osaka on 10 November 2026 in the B League, and the Pythia model names Chiba the clear favourite with a 91% chance of winning, driven by their 6-9 record and 91.8 points per game against 96.7 allowed, while Osaka struggles at 1-13 and 67.9 points per game for 89.9 allowed; Chiba's home form is 2-6 with 87.8 points scored and 98.9 allowed, yet they have won three of their last five games, including a 111-103 victory over Saga away on 8 November and an 89-87 win at home on 6 November, whereas Osaka's road record is 1-6 and they have lost all five of their most recent outings, most recently a 60-93 defeat to Gunma on 31 October. Historically, Chiba has dominated the rivalry with nine wins to Osaka's one, the last meeting ending 87-65 for Chiba on 25 October. Pythia projects a 94-78 score, 172.2 total points, and a 37% probability that Chiba covers the -19.5 spread; the over on 173.5 points has a 46% chance, and the game has a 2% chance of overtime. Osaka's lone win last season and their current slump suggest they will struggle to keep pace.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (15) | 91.8 | 96.7 | 188.5 | -4.9 | 40% |
| Season at home (8) | 87.8 | 98.9 | 186.6 | -11.1 | 25% |
| Season away (7) | 96.4 | 94.3 | 190.7 | +2.1 | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.3 | 93.6 | 184.9 | -2.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.6 | 87.6 | 179.2 | +4.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 89.4 | 99.5 | 188.9 | -10.1 | 30% |
| vs Similar (8) | 84.6 | 88.2 | 172.9 | -3.6 | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 92.2 | 79.3 | 171.6 | +12.9 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 67.9 | 89.9 | 157.7 | -22.0 | 7% |
| Season at home (7) | 64.7 | 87.7 | 152.4 | -23.0 | 0% |
| Season away (7) | 71.0 | 92.0 | 163.0 | -21.0 | 14% |
| Last 10 (10) | 67.9 | 92.8 | 160.7 | -24.9 | 0% |
| Last 5 (5) | 64.8 | 92.6 | 157.4 | -27.8 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 69.5 | 87.6 | 157.1 | -18.1 | 6% |
| vs Similar (6) | 85.5 | 89.5 | 175.0 | -4.0 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 88.7 | 83.7 | 172.3 | +5.0 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 47.3 | 42.8 | 90.1 | +4.6 | 60% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 45.0 | 41.9 | 86.9 | +3.1 | 56% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 50.8 | 44.0 | 94.8 | +6.8 | 67% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.3 | 46.4 | 92.7 | -0.1 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.2 | 43.4 | 90.6 | +3.8 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 46.4 | 48.9 | 95.3 | -2.5 | 30% | 70% |
| vs Similar (8) | 42.5 | 45.0 | 87.5 | -2.5 | 38% | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 51.3 | 36.2 | 87.5 | +15.2 | 100% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.4 | 45.0 | 84.4 | -5.5 | 30% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 38.9 | 45.9 | 84.8 | -7.0 | 23% | 46% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 39.8 | 44.2 | 84.1 | -4.4 | 35% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.5 | 49.1 | 81.6 | -16.6 | 0% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.6 | 50.0 | 82.6 | -17.4 | 0% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 35.2 | 45.6 | 80.8 | -10.4 | 17% | 22% |
| vs Similar (6) | 44.8 | 47.5 | 92.3 | -2.7 | 33% | 100% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 46.8 | 40.5 | 87.3 | +6.3 | 67% | 67% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osaka +24 | 77.5% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| Osaka +22 | 71.8% | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | - | +14.5pp | Won |
| Osaka +23 | 74.8% | 1.54 | 1.56 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Osaka +24.5 | 78.1% | 1.34 | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.29 | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Chiba under 99.5 | 71.3% | 1.45 | 1.54 | 1.42 | 1.39 | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Osaka over 69.5 | 80.4% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Osaka over 70.5 | 77.5% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 72.0% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Lost |
| Osaka +23.5 | 75.5% | 1.42 | 1.58 | 1.53 | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Osaka over 71.5 | 74.4% | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Chiba (regulation) | 90.1% | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | +5.4pp | Lost |
| Osaka over 68.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Chiba over 75.5 | 96.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Under 188.5 | 84.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Lost |
| Chiba over 76.5 | 96.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Osaka over 72.5 | 71.1% | 1.38 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.29 | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Osaka +22.5 | 72.7% | 1.44 | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.33 | 1.31 | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Chiba over 77.5 | 95.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 76.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Lost |
| Chiba win | 91.4% | 1.04 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | +4.5pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 90.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Lost |
| Chiba over 79.5 | 92.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Osaka under 97.5 | 96.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Osaka under 96.5 | 95.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Osaka under 95.5 | 95.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Osaka under 98.5 | 97.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Osaka under 94.5 | 94.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 92.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Osaka under 83.5 | 70.5% | 1.32 | 1.39 | 1.31 | 1.27 | - | - | +3.0pp | Lost |
| Chiba over 81.5 | 89.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Osaka under 92.5 | 91.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Lost |
| Osaka under 93.5 | 93.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Lost |
| Osaka under 90.5 | 88.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Lost |
| Osaka under 87.5 | 82.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Lost |
| Osaka under 91.5 | 90.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Lost |
| Chiba over 83.5 | 85.4% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Osaka under 88.5 | 84.7% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Lost |
| Osaka under 84.5 | 73.8% | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Lost |
| Chiba over 85.5 | 80.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Osaka under 86.5 | 79.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Lost |
| Over 153.5 | 87.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 79.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Osaka under 89.5 | 86.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Lost |
| Chiba over 86.5 | 77.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Chiba over 87.5 | 74.3% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Over 163.5 | 70.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| Osaka under 85.5 | 76.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -2.0pp | Lost |
| Chiba -9.5 | 71.2% | 1.25 | 1.30 | 1.20 | - | - | - | -2.9pp | Won |
| Chiba -4.5 | 84.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
| Chiba -6.5 | 79.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -7.0pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.4 | 19.8 | 53.6% | 39.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.1 | 10.3 | 32.9% | 30.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.4 | 16.3 | 73.8% | 16.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.3 | 17.1 | 53.6% | 34.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.4 | 8.0 | 32.9% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 13.6 | 8.6 | 73.8% | 8.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | Osaka v Chiba | 65-87 |
| 08/03/26 | Osaka v Chiba | 78-94 |
| 07/03/26 | Osaka v Chiba | 82-90 |
| 22/12/24 | Osaka v Chiba | 81-89 |
| 21/12/24 | Osaka v Chiba | 88-76 |
| 04/02/24 | Osaka v Chiba | 77-89 |
| 03/02/24 | Osaka v Chiba | 77-97 |
| 02/10/22 | Chiba v Osaka | 89-88 |
| 01/10/22 | Chiba v Osaka | 77-67 |
| 24/04/22 | Chiba v Osaka | 82-66 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Saga | 111-103 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 89-87 OT |
| 01/11/26 | H | Toyama | 78-83 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Toyama | 93-100 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Osaka | 87-65 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Kyoto | 79-102 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 64-107 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Shimane | 97-78 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Yokohama | 106-108 OT |
| 10/10/26 | A | Levanga Hokkaido | 109-103 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 68-86 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Gunma | 60-102 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Gunma | 60-93 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Chiba | 65-87 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 71-95 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Brave Thunders | 67-101 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Ibaraki Robots | 63-98 |
| 12/10/26 | H | Alvark | 78-103 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Altiri Chiba | 90-97 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Yokohama | 57-66 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWW | 40% |
| Home | LLLLW | 25% |
| Away | LWLWW | 57% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 8 | 7 |
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 57% |
| Points / game | 91.8 | 87.8 | 96.4 |
| Allowed / game | 96.7 | 98.9 | 94.3 |
| Point differential | -4.9 | -11.1 | +2.1 |
| Avg total | 188.5 | 186.6 | 190.7 |
| Over 174.5 | 67% | 62% | 71% |
| Win by 10+ | 13% | 12% | 14% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 7% |
| Home | LLLLL | 0% |
| Away | LLLLL | 14% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 7 | 7 |
| Win % | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Points / game | 67.9 | 64.7 | 71.0 |
| Allowed / game | 89.9 | 87.7 | 92.0 |
| Point differential | -22.0 | -23.0 | -21.0 |
| Avg total | 157.7 | 152.4 | 163.0 |
| Over 174.5 | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Win by 10+ | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 93% | 90.4 | 79.1 | +11.2 | |
| 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 91.2 | 75.2 | +15.9 | |
| 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 93.2 | 82.9 | +10.4 | |
| 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 90.3 | 80.2 | +10.1 | |
| 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 87.6 | 79.8 | +7.9 | |
| 6 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73% | 82.7 | 73.7 | +8.9 | |
| 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 85.3 | 81.4 | +3.9 | |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 15 | 10 | 5 | 67% | 89.5 | 79.8 | +9.7 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 14 | 9 | 5 | 64% | 96.5 | 94.6 | +1.9 |
| 10 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 84.4 | 78.5 | +5.9 | |
| 11 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53% | 82.9 | 87.7 | -4.8 | |
| 12 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.6 | 78.4 | +5.1 | |
| 13 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 83.6 | 81.9 | +1.7 | |
| 14 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 78.5 | 83.4 | -4.9 | |
| 15 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 85.6 | 88.8 | -3.2 | |
| 16 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 81.1 | 84.6 | -3.5 | |
| 17 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 84.4 | 86.6 | -2.2 | |
| 18 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 91.8 | 96.7 | -4.9 | |
| 19 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 83.2 | 82.2 | +1.1 | |
| 20 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 38% | 77.4 | 81.9 | -4.6 | |
| 21 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 38% | 80.8 | 85.8 | -4.9 | |
| 22 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 79.5 | 84.9 | -5.4 | |
| 23 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 78.8 | 84.0 | -5.2 | |
| 24 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 82.7 | 90.1 | -7.4 | |
| 25 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 78.2 | 95.2 | -17.0 | |
| 26 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 67.9 | 89.9 | -22.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 23 | 19 | 27 | 13 | 106 | |
| 23 | 15 | 25 | 30 | 1 | 94 |
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