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Osasco vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 64-96
23-25 14-22 12-21 15-28
Position#18
Record4-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#5
Record16-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game72.1
BrazilNBB· Ginásio Galegão
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 69
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
79-70
79
70
+9
78avg 69
H02/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
68-93
68
93
-25
56avg 69
H04/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
82-89
82
89
-7
79avg 69
A09/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
70-89
70
89
-19
61avg 69
A12/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
71avg 69
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
67-82
67
82
-15
66avg 69
A20/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
73-92
73
92
-19
59avg 69
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-104
74
104
-30
63avg 69
A08/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
86-94
86
94
-8
86avg 69
A10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
18-18
15-25
16-19
23-15
21-20
16-22
19-13
18-31
11-16
16-26
23-20
14-19
25-23
22-22
21-25
20-18
17-27
20-21
13-23
24-19
21-24
12-21
23-17
20-21
15-19
15-22
17-20
12-32
21-17
21-23
19-20
23-20
11-34
17-20
23-30
18-22
20-19
24-23
24-30
162.8Avg total
75.8Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.787.3163.0-11.619%
Season at home (11)72.783.6156.4-10.927%
Season away (10)78.991.3170.2-12.410%
Last 10 (10)75.887.0162.8-11.220%
Last 5 (5)76.090.6166.6-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.090.1166.1-14.112%
vs Similar (4)74.275.2149.5-1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
105-90
105
90
+15
102avg 71
H04/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
84-81
84
81
+3
73avg 71
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
73-87
73
87
-14
58avg 71
A10/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
59avg 71
A12/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
68-57
68
57
+11
65avg 71
A16/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-66
71
66
+5
69avg 71
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 71
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 71
H12/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
28-26
22-22
33-24
24-22
19-19
18-19
23-21
11-21
21-30
18-19
23-17
10-22
21-20
15-18
20-19
16-15
9-16
20-13
23-13
20-18
20-18
19-8
25-25
21-16
15-27
21-17
27-32
23-10
13-20
24-21
11-15
18-20
29-6
13-17
18-17
7-15
19-12
34-22
17-16
153.6Avg total
79.0Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.272.1153.3+9.176%
Season at home (10)83.370.2153.5+13.190%
Season away (11)79.373.8153.1+5.564%
Last 10 (10)79.074.6153.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)78.870.4149.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.385.7161.0-10.30%
vs Similar (13)72.474.0146.4-1.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.671.6156.1+13.086%
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
OsascoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H04/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A08/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/01
NBB
81.0Avg total
38.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)39.344.383.6-5.024%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.942.580.4-4.527%-
Last 30 away (10)40.946.387.2-5.420%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.881.0-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.482.4-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.146.386.4-6.224%-
vs Similar (4)36.035.871.8+0.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A10/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A12/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A16/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H12/01
NBB
73.7Avg total
36.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.675.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.076.9+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.274.9+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.173.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.745.078.7-11.30%-
vs Similar (13)35.238.073.2-2.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.135.677.8+6.579%-
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.9
50.7%
52.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.4
31.6%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
72.8%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.617.3
54.7%
52.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.3
31.1%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.115.7
74.4%
72.8%15.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osasco
LLLLLLLLWW
Brasilia
WWWLWWLLWW
#18
League position
#5
-13.8
Net rating
+5.2
95.9
Offensive rating
101.0
109.7
Defensive rating
95.8
49.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.6%
3-point %
31.1%
67.7%
Assist %
63.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 101.0Defence109.7 · 95.8Shooting49.3% · 50.8%3-point %31.6% · 31.1%Ball care19.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds24.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Osasco   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Osasco wins
1
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
22/10/25Brasilia v Osasco77-74
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ABauru86-94
08/01/26AFranca74-104
29/12/25HSao Jose73-92
20/12/25APato67-82
17/12/25HCorinthians Paulista80-81
12/12/25AUnifacisa70-89
09/12/25ACearense82-89
04/12/25HMogi68-93
02/12/25HBotafogo79-70
23/11/25HUniao Corinthians79-76
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/26HCaxias do Sul77-65
09/01/26ARio Claro78-60
29/12/25ABauru71-66
27/12/25AFranca84-92
23/12/25HPato84-69
16/12/25AMogi68-57
12/12/25ACorinthians Paulista66-79
10/12/25ASao Jose73-87
06/12/25HUnifacisa84-81
04/12/25HCearense105-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWWLLL27%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %19%27%10%
Points / game75.772.778.9
Allowed / game87.383.691.3
Point differential-11.6-10.9-12.4
Avg total163.0156.4170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%90%64%
Points / game81.283.379.3
Allowed / game72.170.273.8
Point differential+9.1+13.1+5.5
Avg total153.3153.5153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%60%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2219386%89.376.0+13.3
2 Franca2118386%88.273.6+14.7
3 Pinheiros2117481%87.876.2+11.6
4 Minas2117481%86.778.6+8.1
5 Brasilia2116576%81.272.1+9.1
6 Sao Jose2114767%82.078.1+4.0
7 Corinthians Paulista2214864%83.578.3+5.1
8 Paulistano2112957%80.576.4+4.0
9 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
10 Unifacisa22121055%81.680.5+1.2
11 Bauru22111150%76.577.0-0.6
12 Uniao Corinthians20101050%78.680.5-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul21101148%72.577.1-4.7
14 Cruzeiro2161529%78.885.9-7.1
15 Pato2151624%72.781.4-8.7
16 Rio Claro2041620%76.088.1-12.1
17 Cearense2141719%77.688.2-10.6
18 Osasco2141719%75.787.3-11.6
19 Botafogo2031715%70.983.3-12.4
20 Vasco2131814%69.379.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osasco2314121564
Brasilia2522212896
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