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Mogi vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 57-68
15-16 16-9 13-20 13-23
Position#8
Record9-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#5
Record11-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game73.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mogi v Brasilia
29 Dec 2026
MOGI v BRAS
upcoming
16 Dec 2025
MOGI57
BRAS68
13 Jan 2025
MOGI89
BRAS71
20 Mar 2024
MOGI104
BRAS61
19 Feb 2022
MOGI83
BRAS72
08 Apr 2021
MOGI97
BRAS77
02 Dec 2019
MOGI93
BRAS84
26 Oct 2018
MOGI97
BRAS82
07 Mar 2017
MOGI84
BRAS58
05 Mar 2016
MOGI78
BRAS75
12 Feb 2015
MOGI108
BRAS99
01 Feb 2014
MOGI85
BRAS90
04 Apr 2013
MOGI91
BRAS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 70
H03/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
74-63
74
63
+11
60avg 70
A06/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 70
A10/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-55
95
55
+40
99avg 70
H14/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
86-58
86
58
+28
84avg 70
H17/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
101-71
101
71
+30
99avg 70
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
67-70
67
70
-3
53avg 70
H23/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
93-68
93
68
+25
100avg 70
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
60avg 70
A10/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
58-62
58
62
-4
47avg 70
A12/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-14
16-17
14-14
26-24
16-14
14-18
16-21
28-10
17-21
27-16
13-19
23-20
24-11
32-24
22-11
17-9
32-13
15-19
18-10
21-16
34-26
20-13
30-15
17-17
17-23
16-18
18-16
16-13
31-18
16-11
26-16
20-23
16-21
12-27
27-14
14-22
19-25
18-9
9-13
12-15
146.6Avg total
79.0Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.767.2147.9+13.564%
Season at home (7)83.160.7143.9+22.471%
Season away (7)78.373.7152.0+4.657%
Last 10 (10)79.067.6146.6+11.460%
Last 5 (5)77.671.0148.6+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.184.8158.8-10.719%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.069.8139.8+0.233%
vs Weaker (8)90.564.2154.8+26.2100%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
79avg 71
A07/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
74avg 71
H10/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
79-65
79
65
+14
66avg 71
H14/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
82-70
82
70
+12
74avg 71
A18/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
83avg 71
A20/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
81-59
81
59
+22
85avg 71
A23/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
105-90
105
90
+15
102avg 71
H04/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
84-81
84
81
+3
73avg 71
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
73-87
73
87
-14
58avg 71
A10/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
59avg 71
A12/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
16-13
16-19
22-25
20-19
21-20
14-22
25-17
23-13
25-15
18-18
13-19
25-22
15-19
19-12
23-17
18-27
23-15
19-24
25-17
19-19
20-9
21-12
21-19
22-18
28-26
22-22
33-24
24-22
19-19
18-19
23-21
11-21
21-30
18-19
23-17
10-22
21-20
15-18
20-19
161.0Avg total
82.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.973.7156.5+9.273%
Season at home (8)84.071.0155.0+13.088%
Season away (7)81.676.7158.3+4.957%
Last 10 (10)82.378.7161.0+3.670%
Last 5 (5)81.879.2161.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.082.5153.5-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.776.3150.9-1.640%
vs Weaker (13)87.373.2160.5+14.185%
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
MogiBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H03/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A06/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A10/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H14/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H17/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H23/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A10/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/12
NBB
76.1Avg total
40.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.778.3+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.978.2+4.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.578.4-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.876.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.278.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.242.779.9-5.419%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.333.769.0+1.750%-
vs Weaker (8)47.534.582.0+13.088%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A07/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H14/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A18/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A23/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A10/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A12/12
NBB
79.7Avg total
40.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.678.4+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.838.579.3+2.459%-
Last 30 away (13)38.538.877.3-0.446%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.179.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.280.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.546.078.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.439.476.8-2.033%-
vs Weaker (13)43.736.680.3+7.185%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.4
51.4%
52.2%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.99.8
30.7%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.315.9
71.3%
72.8%15.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.9
53.0%
52.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.0
30.3%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
72.8%15.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LLWLWWWWWL
Brasilia
LLWWWWWWWL
#8
League position
#5
+15.0
Net rating
+3.9
104.3
Offensive rating
105.2
89.4
Defensive rating
101.3
48.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
43.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.7%
3-point %
30.3%
65.3%
Assist %
67.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 105.2Defence89.4 · 101.3Shooting48.7% · 49.3%3-point %30.7% · 30.3%Ball care19.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.8% · 29.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Mogi   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mogi wins
3
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
13/01/25Mogi v Brasilia89-71
26/10/24Brasilia v Mogi86-80
20/03/24Mogi v Brasilia104-61
30/11/23Brasilia v Mogi81-80
19/02/22Mogi v Brasilia83-72
19/11/21Brasilia v Mogi78-73 OT
08/04/21Mogi v Brasilia97-77
08/01/21Brasilia v Mogi86-90
05/02/20Brasilia v Mogi70-86
02/12/19Mogi v Brasilia93-84
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25ABauru58-62
10/12/25APinheiros69-84
04/12/25AOsasco93-68
23/11/25HCorinthians Paulista67-70
21/11/25HUniao Corinthians101-71
17/11/25HPato86-58
14/11/25HRio Claro95-55
10/11/25ACearense80-76
06/11/25AUnifacisa74-63
03/11/25HFlamengo67-69
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25ACorinthians Paulista66-79
10/12/25ASao Jose73-87
06/12/25HUnifacisa84-81
04/12/25HCearense105-90
23/11/25AVasco81-59
20/11/25AFlamengo85-83
18/11/25ABotafogo82-70
14/11/25HCruzeiro79-65
10/11/25HMinas80-78
07/11/25AUniao Corinthians88-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL64%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game80.783.178.3
Allowed / game67.260.773.7
Point differential+13.5+22.4+4.6
Avg total147.9143.9152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%71%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL73%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game82.984.081.6
Allowed / game73.771.076.7
Point differential+9.2+13.0+4.9
Avg total156.5155.0158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%87.673.8+13.8
2 Pinheiros1412286%84.575.0+9.5
3 Minas1412286%85.476.4+9.0
4 Franca1411379%86.973.7+13.2
5 Brasilia1511473%82.973.7+9.2
6 Corinthians Paulista1410471%82.174.5+7.6
7 Mogi149564%80.767.2+13.5
8 Sao Jose159660%79.676.6+3.0
9 Paulistano169756%80.275.1+5.1
10 Unifacisa147750%80.479.4+1.0
11 Bauru168850%73.975.1-1.2
12 Caxias do Sul147750%72.476.8-4.4
13 Uniao Corinthians136746%76.881.7-4.8
14 Cearense1441029%81.687.9-6.3
15 Pato1541127%72.180.1-8.0
16 Osasco1641225%75.686.2-10.7
17 Rio Claro1741324%77.589.3-11.8
18 Cruzeiro1431121%76.486.7-10.4
19 Botafogo1531220%70.881.7-10.9
20 Vasco141137%66.579.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1516131357
Brasilia169202368
← all games of the day
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