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Rio Claro vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 60-78
20-18 6-29 17-13 17-18
Position#15
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#5
Record14-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game73.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Felipe Karam
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rio Claro v Brasilia
09 Jan 2026
RIO 60
BRAS78
20 Dec 2022
RIO 85
BRAS87
19 Dec 2021
RIO 80
BRAS58
30 Oct 2019
RIO 75
BRAS86
22 Dec 2015
RIO 84
BRAS69
27 Feb 2015
RIO 89
BRAS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rio Claro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClaro
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
L
61-74
61
74
-13
47avg 67
A20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 67
A22/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 67
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
73avg 67
H04/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 67
H06/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
101-109 OT
101
109
-8
92avg 67
H09/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
64-95
64
95
-31
46avg 67
A12/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 67
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
68-84
68
84
-16
66avg 67
A22/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 67
A29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
7-13
17-24
14-18
17-25
22-20
19-18
14-21
15-16
24-22
23-16
22-27
22-20
22-20
17-30
17-15
26-27
27-29
31-19
14-20
22-19
18-23
15-25
26-14
17-31
13-15
17-25
17-24
12-16
10-12
19-17
16-22
23-20
16-29
18-17
11-18
18-24
20-31
16-10
20-17
161.3Avg total
75.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.888.6165.5-11.821%
Season at home (8)91.094.1185.1-3.138%
Season away (11)66.584.6151.2-18.19%
Last 10 (10)75.785.6161.3-9.920%
Last 5 (5)72.887.4160.2-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)72.289.4161.7-17.210%
vs Similar (8)85.183.4168.5+1.850%
vs Weaker (2)100.599.5200.0+1.050%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
83avg 71
A20/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
81-59
81
59
+22
85avg 71
A23/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
105-90
105
90
+15
102avg 71
H04/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
84-81
84
81
+3
73avg 71
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
73-87
73
87
-14
58avg 71
A10/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
59avg 71
A12/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
68-57
68
57
+11
65avg 71
A16/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-66
71
66
+5
69avg 71
A29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
23-15
19-24
25-17
19-19
20-9
21-12
21-19
22-18
28-26
22-22
33-24
24-22
19-19
18-19
23-21
11-21
21-30
18-19
23-17
10-22
21-20
15-18
20-19
16-15
9-16
20-13
23-13
20-18
20-18
19-8
25-25
21-16
15-27
21-17
27-32
23-10
13-20
24-21
11-15
156.4Avg total
80.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.673.1154.7+8.574%
Season at home (9)84.070.8154.8+13.289%
Season away (10)79.475.2154.6+4.260%
Last 10 (10)80.176.3156.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)74.672.6147.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.385.7161.0-10.30%
vs Similar (14)72.975.7148.6-2.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.472.9159.3+13.585%
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
Rio ClaroBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H06/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A29/12
NBB
80.5Avg total
37.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.844.383.1-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.545.588.0-2.923%-
Last 30 away (17)35.943.479.4-7.524%-
Last 10 (10)37.443.180.5-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.844.077.8-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.845.583.2-7.815%-
vs Similar (8)38.638.877.4-0.150%-
vs Weaker (2)50.054.5104.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A23/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A10/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A12/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A16/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A29/12
NBB
76.1Avg total
37.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.577.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.378.6+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.138.675.7-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.876.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.470.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.745.078.7-11.30%-
vs Similar (14)35.538.674.1-3.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.336.880.1+6.585%-
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.8
46.2%
52.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.2
32.3%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.814.1
75.0%
72.8%14.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.5
56.3%
52.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.6
31.1%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.515.1
77.4%
72.8%15.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rio Claro
LLLLLWLWLL
Brasilia
WLWWLLWWWW
#15
League position
#5
-14.6
Net rating
+4.0
97.1
Offensive rating
105.6
111.7
Defensive rating
101.6
47.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
19.5%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.3%
3-point %
31.1%
61.5%
Assist %
63.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 105.6Defence111.7 · 101.6Shooting47.1% · 51.5%3-point %32.3% · 31.1%Ball care19.7% · 19.5%Off. rebounds27.6% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Rio Claro   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rio Claro wins
4
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Brasilia v Rio Claro109-57
30/03/23Brasilia v Rio Claro74-92
20/12/22Rio Claro v Brasilia85-87
26/03/22Brasilia v Rio Claro79-80
19/12/21Rio Claro v Brasilia80-58
20/01/20Brasilia v Rio Claro87-92
30/10/19Rio Claro v Brasilia75-86
25/03/16Brasilia v Rio Claro66-68
22/12/15Rio Claro v Brasilia84-69
27/02/15Rio Claro v Brasilia89-98
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25AFranca74-82
22/12/25ABauru68-84
15/12/25ACorinthians Paulista57-67
12/12/25ASao Jose64-95
09/12/25HPato101-109 OT
06/12/25HCearense98-95
04/12/25HUnifacisa78-85
25/11/25AVasco84-81
22/11/25AFlamengo72-84
20/11/25ABotafogo61-74
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25ABauru71-66
27/12/25AFranca84-92
23/12/25HPato84-69
16/12/25AMogi68-57
12/12/25ACorinthians Paulista66-79
10/12/25ASao Jose73-87
06/12/25HUnifacisa84-81
04/12/25HCearense105-90
23/11/25AVasco81-59
20/11/25AFlamengo85-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayWLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %21%38%9%
Points / game76.891.066.5
Allowed / game88.694.184.6
Point differential-11.8-3.1-18.1
Avg total165.5185.1151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%12%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW74%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game81.684.079.4
Allowed / game73.170.875.2
Point differential+8.5+13.2+4.2
Avg total154.7154.8154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros1917289%87.873.9+13.9
2 Franca2017385%87.973.2+14.7
3 Flamengo2017385%89.175.2+13.9
4 Minas2017385%87.278.0+9.2
5 Brasilia1914574%81.673.1+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista2013765%82.777.3+5.3
7 Sao Jose2013765%81.277.5+3.8
8 Paulistano2011955%80.075.9+4.2
9 Mogi1910953%76.168.9+7.2
10 Unifacisa20101050%82.081.3+0.7
11 Caxias do Sul20101050%72.877.2-4.3
12 Bauru1991047%73.775.1-1.4
13 Uniao Corinthians1991047%78.581.0-2.5
14 Cruzeiro1961332%77.984.7-6.8
15 Pato2051525%72.881.5-8.8
16 Cearense1941521%77.788.7-11.1
17 Rio Claro1941521%76.888.6-11.8
18 Osasco2041620%75.287.0-11.8
19 Botafogo1931616%71.183.7-12.6
20 Vasco1921711%68.680.4-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rio Claro206171760
Brasilia1829131878
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