Osasco vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 23:00

Projected 73-85

Projected total 158.2

Final 75-93

25-27 12-20 16-27 22-19

Position#16

Record1-3

FormWLWLL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game86.0

Osasco

14%

86%

■ OSAS 14%■ MOGI 86%

Pythia win probability

Mogi 🏆

Position#2

Record5-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game73.7

NBB· Ginásio Geodésico

Other2026-27

Meetings · Osasco v Mogi

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Osasco will host Mogi in the NBB on 12 November 2026, with the model clearly favouring the visitors, rating them 86% to win against Osasco's 14%. Osasco's season record stands at 1-3, averaging 79.5 points scored and 86.0 allowed, while Mogi sits 5-1, scoring 81.5 and conceding 73.7, placing them third in the league. At home, Osasco has gone 0-2, averaging 77.5 points and 89.5 allowed, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, with a recent loss to São José 81-90 and a defeat by Pinheiros 74-89. Mogi's road record is 2-1, with 79.3 points scored and 73.7 allowed, and their last five games feature four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 85-70 victory over Pinheiros. The teams have split their two meetings, the most recent seeing Osasco edge Mogi 76-73 on 17 April 2026. Pythia projects a 73-85 score, a total of 158.2, and gives Mogi a 59% chance to cover the 15.0-point spread, while the over on 160.5 points has a 44% probability; overtime is unlikely at 3%. The game will hinge on whether Osasco can reverse its recent slump and keep the score close.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osasco winLost

13.6%fair 7.38

Best odds10.25

Implied15.7%

Edge-2.1pp

Mogi winWon

86.4%fair 1.16

Best odds1.11

Implied84.3%

Edge+2.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Osasco

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOsasco

Date

Competition

Flamengo

71-101

101

-30

57avg 66

A20/03

NBB

Minas

66-78

-12

55avg 66

H22/03

NBB

Unifacisa

#11

65-101

101

-36

57avg 66

H03/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

96-111

111

-15

87avg 66

A07/04

NBB

Pato

#17

77-68

56avg 66

H11/04

NBB

Mogi

76-73

68avg 66

A17/04

NBB

Unifacisa

70-96

-26

41avg 66

A17/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

93-69

+24

72avg 66

A20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

74-89

-15

45avg 66

H29/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#11

81-90

-9

no box

H05/11

NBB

13-18

20-26

19-30

19-27

20-31

19-12

18-18

9-17

16-29

15-26

18-23

16-23

19-32

18-22

26-28

33-29

14-19

21-20

23-14

19-15

12-23

26-23

17-17

21-10

20-21

21-20

17-26

12-29

32-17

22-23

18-13

21-16

21-25

18-24

19-26

16-14

16-31

17-19

13-28

35-12

164.5Avg total

76.9Scored

87.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	79.5	86.0	165.5	-6.5	25%
Season at home (2)	77.5	89.5	167.0	-12.0	0%
Season away (2)	81.5	82.5	164.0	-1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	87.6	164.5	-10.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	83.4	162.2	-4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	74.8	91.0	165.8	-16.2	5%
vs Similar (7)	80.0	81.6	161.6	-1.6	43%
vs Weaker (1)	93.0	69.0	162.0	+24.0	100%

This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mogi

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMogi

Date

Competition

Franca

65-97

-32

42avg 70

H08/05

NBB

Franca

70-88

-18

65avg 70

H10/05

NBB

Franca

102-90

102

+12

103avg 70

A13/05

NBB

Franca

77-78

-1

74avg 70

A15/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#13

84-73

+11

80avg 70

H17/10

NBB

Franca

74-90

-16

67avg 70

A21/10

NBB

Bauru

#10

79-61

+18

58avg 70

A23/10

NBB

Unifacisa

78-70

65avg 70

H26/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

89-78

+11

no box

H04/11

NBB

Pinheiros

85-70

+15

no box

A09/11

NBB

16-21

15-26

17-22

17-28

16-34

24-24

14-16

16-14

28-26

31-21

26-23

17-20

25-20

11-20

23-17

18-21

18-17

26-21

18-24

22-11

18-24

31-24

9-19

16-23

20-15

19-19

23-9

17-18

19-20

17-22

25-15

17-13

11-21

22-21

26-19

30-17

22-14

15-20

23-24

25-12

159.8Avg total

80.3Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	81.5	73.7	155.2	+7.8	83%
Season at home (3)	83.7	73.7	157.3	+10.0	100%
Season away (3)	79.3	73.7	153.0	+5.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	79.5	159.8	+0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	73.8	154.8	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	79.6	86.4	166.0	-6.9	29%
vs Similar (11)	77.6	73.4	151.0	+4.3	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	79.2	72.7	151.9	+6.6	75%

This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 159Actual: Over 159

Over 159

47.6%

@ 1.64-9.2pp

Under 159

52.4%

@ 2.22+9.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.64

Bet365

1.58

Marathon Be

1.53

Under

Bet365

2.22

Pinnacle

2.16

Over/Under 164 · main lineActual: Over 164

Over 164

35.5%

@ 2.00-14.3pp

Under 164

64.5%

@ 1.86+14.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.00

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.86

SBO

1.85

1xBet

1.79

Under

Pinnacle

1.86

SBO

1.83

Marathon Be

1.79

Bet365

1.71

1xBet

1.71

Over/Under 169Actual: Under 169

Over 169

24.7%

@ 2.62-10.7pp

Under 169

75.3%

@ 1.44+10.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.62

Under

Bet365

1.44

📊 3. Team Totals

Osasco total 69.5Actual: Osasco over 69.5

Over 69.5

62.4%

@ 1.42-2.1pp

Under 69.5

37.6%

@ 2.57+2.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.36

Under

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.47

Osasco total 73.5 · main lineActual: Osasco over 73.5

Over 73.5

46.8%

@ 1.83-3.8pp

Under 73.5

53.2%

@ 1.91+3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

Marathon Be

1.79

BetVictor

1.78

1xBet

1.70

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Osasco total 77.5Actual: Osasco under 77.5

Over 77.5

31.8%

@ 2.52-5.0pp

Under 77.5

68.2%

@ 1.45+5.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.36

Under

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.39

Mogi total 85.5Actual: Mogi over 85.5

Over 85.5

49.6%

@ 1.52-14.0pp

Under 85.5

50.4%

@ 2.52+14.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.43

Bet365

2.40

Mogi total 89.5 · main lineActual: Mogi over 89.5

Over 89.5

34.0%

@ 1.83-16.5pp

Under 89.5

66.0%

@ 1.91+16.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

BetVictor

1.78

1xBet

1.71

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.85

Betano

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Mogi total 93.5Actual: Mogi under 93.5

Over 93.5

no forecast

@ 2.65

Under 93.5

no forecast

@ 1.45

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.36

Under

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.43

1xBet

1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Osasco +13Actual: Mogi -13

OSAS +13

51.8%

@ 2.37+12.7pp

MOGI -13

48.2%

@ 1.60-12.7pp

Best 5 market prices

OSAS

Pinnacle

2.37

Bet365

2.20

MOGI

Bet365

1.60

Pinnacle

1.52

Marathon Be

1.50

Spread Osasco +16 · main lineActual: Mogi -16

OSAS +16

62.7%

@ 1.85+12.3pp

MOGI -16

37.3%

@ 1.88-12.3pp

Best 5 market prices

OSAS

Pinnacle

1.85

SBO

1.84

Marathon Be

1.80

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.80

MOGI

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.86

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.85

Spread Osasco +19Actual: Osasco +19

OSAS +19

72.4%

@ 1.54+12.0pp

MOGI -19

27.6%

@ 2.35-12.0pp

Best 5 market prices

OSAS

Bet365

1.54

MOGI

Bet365

2.35

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OsascoMogi

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	18.9	22.9	41.7	-4.0	27%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	24.5	42.6	-6.4	21%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	31%	31%
Last 10 (10)	18.3	24.6	42.9	-6.3	10%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.5	24.0	42.5	-5.6	23%	55%
vs Similar (7)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	29%	14%
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	17.0	49.0	+15.0	100%	100%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	63%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.6	69%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	57%	50%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.4	24.7	47.1	-2.3	57%	71%
vs Similar (11)	18.6	17.7	36.4	+0.9	55%	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.9	17.6	38.5	+3.3	75%	33%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-1.9	43%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.8	44%	62%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.4	21.3	39.7	-2.9	36%	45%
vs Similar (7)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	71%	71%
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	0%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.6	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.6	38%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.6	36%	36%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.3	14%	71%
vs Similar (11)	19.1	17.5	36.5	+1.6	55%	18%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.8	33%	50%

OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

33-44

-11

A20/03

NBB

Minas

39-43

-4

H22/03

NBB

Unifacisa

#11

31-55

-24

H03/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

37-54

-17

A07/04

NBB

Pato

#17

35-39

-4

H11/04

NBB

Mogi

38-46

-8

A17/04

NBB

Unifacisa

41-41

A17/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

54-40

+14

A20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

39-49

-10

H29/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#11

33-50

-17

H05/11

NBB

84.1Avg total

38.0Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.25
Last 30 (30)	38.2	44.0	82.2	-5.9	23%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	36.1	44.4	80.4	-8.3	21%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	43.8	83.8	-3.8	25%	50%
Last 10 (10)	38.0	46.1	84.1	-8.1	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	45.2	86.2	-4.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	36.9	45.4	82.2	-8.5	14%	45%
vs Similar (7)	40.0	40.4	80.4	-0.4	43%	29%
vs Weaker (1)	54.0	40.0	94.0	+14.0	100%	100%

This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

31-47

-16

H08/05

NBB

Franca

40-58

-18

H10/05

NBB

Franca

59-47

+12

A13/05

NBB

Franca

36-40

-4

A15/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#13

44-38

H17/10

NBB

Franca

49-48

A21/10

NBB

Bauru

#10

39-34

A23/10

NBB

Unifacisa

36-42

-6

H26/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

33-42

-9

H04/11

NBB

Pinheiros

37-34

A09/11

NBB

83.4Avg total

40.4Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.25
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.1	78.6	+0.5	60%	23%
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	38.1	77.2	+0.9	69%	19%
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	40.1	80.3	+0.0	50%	29%
Last 10 (10)	40.4	43.0	83.4	-2.6	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	38.8	40.0	78.8	-1.2	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.7	46.3	88.0	-4.6	29%	57%
vs Similar (11)	37.7	35.2	72.9	+2.5	82%	9%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	58%	17%

This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Mogi win

OSAS win

no forecast

@ 5.11

MOGI win

no forecast

@ 1.20

1st half Spread Osasco +9 · main lineActual: Mogi -9

OSAS +9

no forecast

@ 1.83

MOGI -9

no forecast

@ 1.92

1st half Over/Under 83.25 · main lineActual: Over 83.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.81

Osasco 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Osasco over 36.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

Mogi 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: Mogi over 46.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half: OSAS + total 82.5

OSAS & over

no forecast

@ 7.50

OSAS & under

no forecast

@ 8.00

1st half: Draw + total 82.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 36.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 36.00

1st half: MOGI + total 82.5

MOGI & over

no forecast

@ 2.35

MOGI & under

no forecast

@ 2.40

1st half Over/Under 82Actual: Over 82

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.12

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Spread Osasco +8Actual: Mogi -8

OSAS +8

no forecast

@ 2.00

MOGI -8

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half Spread Osasco +10.5Actual: Osasco +10.5

OSAS +10.5

no forecast

@ 1.60

MOGI -10.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 80.75Actual: Over 80.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.73

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Under 86.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.55

Under

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Osasco +7Actual: Mogi -7

OSAS +7

no forecast

@ 2.13

MOGI -7

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Mogi (regulation)

OSAS

no forecast

@ 6.50

Draw

no forecast

@ 21.00

MOGI

no forecast

@ 1.25

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	18.7	22.3	41.1	-3.6	17%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	22.1	39.5	-4.8	14%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.6	19%	69%
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.3	41.1	-3.5	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.5	23.7	42.1	-5.2	9%	68%
vs Similar (7)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	29%	43%
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	13.0	31.0	+5.0	100%	0%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	53%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	19.9	38.6	-1.3	38%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	16.8	37.1	+3.5	71%	36%
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	57%	57%
vs Similar (11)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.6	36%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.8	15.8	35.5	+4.0	67%	33%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.25
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.0	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	64%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	23.2	41.3	-5.1	19%	44%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.2	37.2	+4.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.5	22.0	41.4	-2.5	36%	50%
vs Similar (7)	18.3	19.9	38.1	-1.6	43%	43%
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.25
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.0	57%	23%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	16.9	35.5	+1.8	69%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	43%	21%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.6	37.6	+4.4	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.6	18.6	35.1	-2.0	43%	14%
vs Similar (11)	19.7	16.8	36.5	+2.9	73%	18%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	38.0	43.6	81.6	-5.6	20%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	41.2	79.1	-3.4	14%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	45.7	83.8	-7.6	25%	56%
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.5	80.4	-2.6	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	37.8	38.2	76.0	-0.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	37.9	45.6	83.5	-7.7	14%	59%
vs Similar (7)	38.0	39.3	77.3	-1.3	29%	43%
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	29.0	68.0	+10.0	100%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.4	74.7	+1.9	53%	30%
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	36.8	74.1	+0.4	44%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	35.9	75.4	+3.6	64%	36%
Last 10 (10)	39.9	36.5	76.4	+3.4	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	42.2	33.8	76.0	+8.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.9	40.1	78.0	-2.3	29%	43%
vs Similar (11)	37.5	36.3	73.8	+1.3	64%	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	39.2	34.2	73.5	+5.0	58%	25%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

OSAS win + total 163.5

🔒 Pro

MOGI win + total 163.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: OSAS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MOGI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (OSAS:MOGI): split

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (OSAS:MOGI): OSAS wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Mogi under 91.5	73.1%	1.58	Betano 1.62	Bet365 1.57	1xBet 1.54	-	-	+16.4pp	Lost
Mogi under 92.5	76.3%	1.49	Betano 1.52	1xBet 1.46	-	-	-	+16.3pp	Lost
Osasco +22.5	81.0%	1.35	Betano 1.36	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Won
Osasco +23.5	83.3%	1.29	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Osasco +21	78.1%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Osasco +19.5	73.3%	1.49	Betano 1.53	Bet365 1.52	1xBet 1.41	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Osasco +19	72.4%	1.54	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Osasco +20	75.4%	1.47	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Osasco +18.5	70.3%	1.55	Betano 1.60	Bet365 1.58	Marathon Bet 1.52	1xBet 1.49	-	+11.9pp	Won
Osasco +20.5	76.0%	1.42	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.45	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Osasco +21.5	78.6%	1.35	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Osasco +22	80.6%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Osasco +23	82.9%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
Under 167.5	71.8%	1.54	Marathon Bet 1.56	Betano 1.53	Bet365 1.52	-	-	+11.2pp	Lost
Under 167	71.2%	1.56	Marathon Bet 1.58	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Lost
Under 168	73.3%	1.51	Marathon Bet 1.52	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Push
Under 169	75.3%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Under 170.5	77.6%	1.38	Betano 1.38	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Under 168.5	73.8%	1.46	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Under 169.5	75.8%	1.41	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Under 170	77.2%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Under 172.5	81.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Under 177.5	88.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Under 182.5	92.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Osasco under 79.5	74.7%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Osasco under 78.5	71.6%	1.36	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Osasco under 92.5	96.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Osasco under 82.5	82.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Osasco under 80.5	77.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Osasco under 90.5	95.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Osasco under 83.5	85.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Overtime: no	97.2%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Osasco under 93.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Osasco under 88.5	93.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Osasco under 84.5	87.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Osasco under 94.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Osasco under 86.5	90.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Mogi over 68.5	95.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Mogi (regulation)	84.7%	1.08	Betano 1.11	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Mogi over 67.5	96.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Mogi over 69.5	94.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Mogi over 71.5	91.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Mogi win	86.4%	1.07	SBO 1.11	WilliamHill 1.10	Betano 1.10	Betfair 1.08	Pinnacle 1.08	+2.1pp	Won
Mogi over 73.5	88.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Over 137.5	89.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Mogi over 75.5	84.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Osasco over 66.5	73.1%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Mogi over 77.5	78.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Won
Mogi over 78.5	75.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.8pp	Won
Over 142.5	83.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Won
Mogi over 79.5	72.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Won
Over 147.5	74.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-6.3pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 72.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	16.6	49.3%	49.8%	33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	8.9	28.3%	31.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	18.6	12.9	69.4%	71.3%	12.9

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 79.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.7	51.0%	49.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	10.5	33.0%	31.6%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	14.0	10.6	75.7%	71.3%	10.6

They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	20.7	54.9%	49.8%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	11.1	37.5%	31.6%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	15.5	11.6	74.8%	71.3%	11.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	18.0	54.1%	49.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	10.0	34.1%	31.6%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.2	12.9	79.6%	71.3%	12.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.0	49.6%	49.8%	35.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	8.7	29.8%	31.6%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	18.6	13.3	71.5%	71.3%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	17.2	49.8%	49.8%	34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.9	10.2	30.9%	31.6%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.5	71.3%	71.3%	12.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.5	54.9%	49.8%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	10.0	36.2%	31.6%	29.9
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.4	72.4%	71.3%	13.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	17.9	51.5%	49.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	8.9	30.1%	31.6%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	16.6	12.4	74.3%	71.3%	12.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Osasco

LLWLWWLLLL

Mogi

WWWWLWLWLL

#16

League position

-15.4

Net rating

+0.7

83.1

Offensive rating

96.5

98.5

Defensive rating

95.8

46.0%

Effective FG%

50.3%

55.5%

Opp. effective FG%

52.7%

15.6%

Turnover %

12.2%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.20

28.3%

3-point %

33.0%

61.6%

Assist %

62.7%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Osasco ■ Mogi

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Osasco wins

Mogi wins

Date	Game	Score
17/04/26	Mogi v Osasco	73-76
04/12/25	Osasco v Mogi	68-93

Osascolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/26	H	Sao Jose	81-90
29/10/26	H	Pinheiros	74-89
20/10/26	A	Cearense	93-69
17/10/26	A	Unifacisa	70-96
17/04/26	A	Mogi	76-73
11/04/26	H	Pato	77-68
07/04/26	A	Corinthians Paulista	96-111
03/04/26	H	Unifacisa	65-101
22/03/26	H	Minas	66-78
20/03/26	A	Flamengo	71-101

Mogilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	A	Pinheiros	85-70
04/11/26	H	Cearense	89-78
26/10/26	H	Unifacisa	78-70
23/10/26	A	Bauru	79-61
21/10/26	A	Franca	74-90
17/10/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	84-73
15/05/26	A	Franca	77-78
13/05/26	A	Franca	102-90
10/05/26	H	Franca	70-88
08/05/26	H	Franca	65-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osasco

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLL	25%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	0%	50%
Points / game	79.5	77.5	81.5
Allowed / game	86.0	89.5	82.5
Point differential	-6.5	-12.0	-1.0
Avg total	165.5	167.0	164.0
Over 164	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	25%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Mogi

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	83%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	83%	100%	67%
Points / game	81.5	83.7	79.3
Allowed / game	73.7	73.7	73.7
Point differential	+7.8	+10.0	+5.7
Avg total	155.2	157.3	153.0
Over 164	17%	33%	0%
Win by 10+	67%	67%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	7	7	0	100%	86.3	65.7	+20.6
2	Mogi	6	5	1	83%	81.5	73.7	+7.8
3	Pinheiros	7	5	2	71%	84.4	72.3	+12.1
4	Flamengo	7	5	2	71%	80.9	73.4	+7.4
5	Unifacisa	7	5	2	71%	79.4	75.1	+4.3
6	Franca	7	4	3	57%	78.3	73.3	+5.0
7	Brasilia	8	4	4	50%	80.6	79.8	+0.9
8	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
9	Paulistano	6	3	3	50%	70.3	73.0	-2.7
10	Uniao Corinthians	6	3	3	50%	73.2	76.8	-3.7
11	Bauru	7	3	4	43%	76.7	77.7	-1.0
12	Corinthians Paulista	5	2	3	40%	79.4	77.6	+1.8
13	Botafogo	5	2	3	40%	80.0	83.0	-3.0
14	Sao Jose	6	2	4	33%	80.5	84.5	-4.0
15	Pato	7	2	5	29%	74.1	83.6	-9.4
16	Osasco	4	1	3	25%	79.5	86.0	-6.5
17	Cearense	6	1	5	17%	66.0	84.8	-18.8
18	Caxias do Sul	7	0	7	0%	64.7	79.6	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Osasco	25	12	16	22	75
Mogi	27	20	27	19	93

← all games of the day

Osasco vs Mogi Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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