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Osijek vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-72
18-17 20-23 16-15 23-17
Position#12
Record2-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game84.4
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#11
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game78.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 11· NSD Gradski vrt
Other2024-25
Meetings · Osijek v Dubrovnik
07 Dec 2024
OSIJ77
DUBR72
26 Apr 2023
OSIJ67
DUBR51
29 Oct 2022
OSIJ71
DUBR76
27 Apr 2013
OSIJ80
DUBR84
03 Nov 2012
OSIJ84
DUBR64
21 Apr 2012
OSIJ88
DUBR84
19 Nov 2011
OSIJ92
DUBR75
29 Mar 2011
OSIJ83
DUBR73
19 Feb 2011
OSIJ88
DUBR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
74avg 75
H05/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
65-79
65
79
-14
58avg 75
A12/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 75
A17/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
74avg 75
A27/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 75
H30/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
70avg 75
A02/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
92-81
92
81
+11
83avg 75
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
63-73
63
73
-10
50avg 75
H16/11
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 75
A27/11
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
L
55-111
55
111
-56
46avg 75
A28/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
12-22
26-19
22-17
15-15
16-18
18-19
16-27
10-14
22-26
6-19
25-16
25-24
15-29
15-10
19-21
17-19
25-22
21-12
12-20
14-24
15-17
17-19
24-24
22-12
25-19
23-22
22-28
8-18
15-13
13-24
27-18
21-26
17-20
18-20
17-22
13-32
13-25
15-23
14-31
154.5Avg total
70.8Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.584.4154.9-13.920%
Season at home (3)72.078.3150.3-6.333%
Season away (7)69.987.0156.9-17.114%
Last 10 (10)70.883.7154.5-12.920%
Last 5 (5)70.687.4158.0-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.382.4153.7-11.127%
vs Similar (1)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (13)85.274.5159.7+10.869%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
59-90
59
90
-31
48avg 66
A04/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
60avg 66
H13/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
63-84
63
84
-21
57avg 66
H19/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
74-62
74
62
+12
70avg 66
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
97-81
97
81
+16
89avg 66
H30/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
79-90
79
90
-11
67avg 66
A04/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
64-55
64
55
+9
61avg 66
H09/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 66
A17/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
73avg 66
H30/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#6
L
69-84
69
84
-15
57avg 66
H04/12
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-23
14-29
26-22
10-16
14-19
23-15
17-14
13-19
22-14
12-23
7-27
22-20
18-15
22-19
15-14
19-14
17-20
25-25
27-21
28-15
26-18
20-23
9-33
24-16
16-24
17-5
10-12
21-14
17-12
19-17
19-25
22-24
25-22
21-23
19-13
11-25
13-28
19-24
18-16
19-16
152.2Avg total
73.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.478.8153.2-4.430%
Season at home (6)75.878.0153.8-2.233%
Season away (4)72.280.0152.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)73.478.8152.2-5.430%
Last 5 (5)73.078.0151.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)70.182.7152.8-12.612%
vs Similar (10)71.469.1140.5+2.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)89.373.0162.3+16.3100%
This opponent (Osijek) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
OsijekDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H05/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A12/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A17/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A27/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A02/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H16/11
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A27/11
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A28/11
Premijer liga
76.4Avg total
33.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.478.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.537.277.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (18)37.042.579.5-5.522%-
Last 10 (10)33.842.676.4-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.641.273.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.842.876.6-9.020%-
vs Similar (1)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (13)44.037.381.3+6.769%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A04/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H09/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A17/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H30/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H04/12
Croatian Cup
76.7Avg total
36.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.973.9-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.738.276.9+0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)32.437.569.9-5.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.876.7-2.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.277.8-0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.840.173.8-6.331%-
vs Similar (10)34.433.868.2+0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)54.335.389.7+19.0100%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.6
51.8%
53.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.4
32.9%
34.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws14.810.0
67.6%
73.3%10.0
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.9
49.0%
53.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.811.3
67.3%
73.3%11.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osijek
LLLWLWLLLL
Dubrovnik
LLLWLWWLLL
#12
League position
#11
-18.3
Net rating
-6.8
93.5
Offensive rating
99.0
111.9
Defensive rating
105.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
48.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
21.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.9%
3-point %
32.4%
68.8%
Assist %
58.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 99.0Defence111.9 · 105.8Shooting50.9% · 48.9%3-point %32.9% · 32.4%Ball care21.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds19.2% · 25.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Osijek   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Osijek wins
5
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
26/04/23Osijek v Dubrovnik67-51
25/03/23Dubrovnik v Osijek81-70
31/01/23Dubrovnik v Osijek75-62
29/10/22Osijek v Dubrovnik71-76
27/04/13Osijek v Dubrovnik80-84
03/04/13Dubrovnik v Osijek68-77
16/02/13Dubrovnik v Osijek72-75
03/11/12Osijek v Dubrovnik84-64
21/04/12Osijek v Dubrovnik88-84
27/03/12Dubrovnik v Osijek81-56
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24ASplit55-111
27/11/24AKastela73-88
16/11/24HCibona63-73
09/11/24AKvarner92-81
02/11/24ADubrava70-84
30/10/24HZabok75-73
27/10/24AAlkar74-84
17/10/24AZadar63-75
12/10/24ADinamo Zagreb65-79
05/10/24HGKK Sibenka78-89
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HZabok69-84
30/11/24HDubrava76-83
17/11/24AZabok77-78
09/11/24HAlkar64-55
04/11/24AZadar79-90
30/10/24HDinamo Zagreb97-81
26/10/24AGKK Sibenka74-62
19/10/24HCedevita Junior63-84
13/10/24HKvarner76-81 OT
04/10/24ASplit59-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %20%33%14%
Points / game70.572.069.9
Allowed / game84.478.387.0
Point differential-13.9-6.3-17.1
Avg total154.9150.3156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game74.475.872.2
Allowed / game78.878.080.0
Point differential-4.4-2.2-7.8
Avg total153.2153.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar10100100%82.363.1+19.2
2 Split1110191%92.775.5+17.3
3 Cedevita Junior117464%82.173.9+8.2
4 Cibona117464%83.580.0+3.5
5 Kvarner105550%84.281.3+2.9
6 GKK Sibenka115645%76.882.5-5.6
7 Zabok115645%79.485.1-5.7
8 Dubrava114736%76.883.2-6.4
9 Dubrovnik103730%74.478.8-4.4
10 Dinamo Zagreb103730%82.186.9-4.8
11 Alkar102820%66.377.6-11.3
12 Osijek102820%70.584.4-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osijek1820162377
Dubrovnik1723151772
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