Kastela vs Osijek Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 88-73

26-21 20-17 20-18 22-17

Position#8

Record-

FormLWWWW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Kastela 🏆

Osijek

Position#14

Record-

FormLWLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Croatian Cup· Sportska dvorana Sokolana

Other2024-25

Meetings · Kastela v Osijek

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Osijek winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKastela

Date

Competition

Podstrana

#14

84-72

+12

76avg 74

A23/03

Prva Liga

Marsonia

85-79

88avg 74

H27/03

Prva Liga

KK Zagreb

65-81

-16

56avg 74

A06/04

Prva Liga

Skrljevo

65-72

-7

62avg 74

A12/10

Prva Liga

Crikvenica

#11

68-64

63avg 74

H20/10

Prva Liga

Jazine

76-82

-6

68avg 74

A27/10

Prva Liga

Sonik Puntamika

75-65

+10

76avg 74

H02/11

Prva Liga

Marsonia

88-64

+24

88avg 74

A10/11

Prva Liga

Omis

#10

83-63

+20

91avg 74

H16/11

Prva Liga

Dakovo

#12

99-80

+19

102avg 74

A23/11

Prva Liga

29-17

18-16

19-17

18-22

28-19

16-19

17-24

24-17

17-22

9-29

15-13

9-16

13-17

21-20

22-19

13-11

12-14

24-14

19-25

5-17

26-23

26-18

19-24

18-17

18-20

20-15

19-13

18-11

21-9

24-23

25-21

18-8

17-18

20-17

28-20

28-30

20-9

31-21

20-20

151.0Avg total

78.8Scored

72.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	78.8	72.2	151.0	+6.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	70.8	155.0	+13.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	63.0	74.0	137.0	-11.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	70.6	72.4	143.0	-1.8	25%
vs Weaker (19)	84.8	73.4	158.2	+11.5	89%

Osijek

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOsijek

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

#12

109-85

109

+24

110avg 77

H08/05

Premijer liga

Cedevita Junior

70-95

-25

63avg 77

A28/09

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

#10

78-89

-11

74avg 77

H05/10

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

65-79

-14

58avg 77

A12/10

Premijer liga

Zadar

63-75

-12

56avg 77

A17/10

Premijer liga

Alkar

74-84

-10

74avg 77

A27/10

Premijer liga

Zabok

75-73

75avg 77

H30/10

Premijer liga

Dubrava

70-84

-14

70avg 77

A02/11

Premijer liga

Kvarner

92-81

+11

83avg 77

A09/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

63-73

-10

50avg 77

H16/11

Premijer liga

23-23

27-21

35-18

24-23

19-22

14-27

19-24

18-22

18-31

12-22

26-19

22-17

15-15

16-18

18-19

16-27

10-14

22-26

6-19

25-16

25-24

15-29

15-10

19-21

17-19

25-22

21-12

12-20

14-24

15-17

17-19

24-24

22-12

25-19

23-22

22-28

8-18

15-13

13-24

27-18

157.7Avg total

75.9Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	75.9	81.8	157.7	-5.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	79.0	153.8	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	72.4	80.4	152.8	-7.9	29%
vs Similar (1)	88.0	81.0	169.0	+7.0	100%
vs Weaker (15)	88.3	76.3	164.7	+12.0	73%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KastelaOsijek

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.4	39.7	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	17.5	38.9	+3.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	16.3	35.3	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.7	21.3	35.0	-7.7	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	17.1	36.8	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (19)	23.4	17.7	41.1	+5.7	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	20.9	39.1	-2.8	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.2	37.3	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	15.4	21.1	36.6	-5.7	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	26.0	48.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.3	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	17.2	34.1	-0.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	17.9	37.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	16.7	34.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.8	36.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	18.3	36.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.2	16.9	33.1	-0.6	12%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.4	17.7	37.2	+1.7	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.3	40.2	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	17.8	39.8	+4.3	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.9	20.6	39.6	-1.7	36%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	12.0	25.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.4	18.5	41.9	+4.9	80%	-

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Podstrana

#14

47-33

+14

A23/03

Prva Liga

Marsonia

44-38

H27/03

Prva Liga

KK Zagreb

41-39

A06/04

Prva Liga

Skrljevo

22-33

-11

A12/10

Prva Liga

Crikvenica

#11

25-25

H20/10

Prva Liga

Jazine

31-40

-9

A27/10

Prva Liga

Sonik Puntamika

36-37

-1

H02/11

Prva Liga

Marsonia

39-20

+19

A10/11

Prva Liga

Omis

#10

35-26

H16/11

Prva Liga

Dakovo

#12

48-39

A23/11

Prva Liga

69.8Avg total

36.8Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	35.5	75.3	+4.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	35.6	73.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	35.4	76.6	+5.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	33.0	69.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	32.4	70.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.3	39.7	71.0	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.9	34.0	69.9	+1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (19)	42.8	35.4	78.2	+7.4	68%	-

OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

#12

50-44

H08/05

Premijer liga

Cedevita Junior

33-49

-16

A28/09

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

#10

30-53

-23

H05/10

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

31-33

-2

A12/10

Premijer liga

Zadar

32-40

-8

A17/10

Premijer liga

Alkar

40-53

-13

A27/10

Premijer liga

Zabok

42-41

H30/10

Premijer liga

Dubrava

29-41

-12

A02/11

Premijer liga

Kvarner

47-31

+16

A09/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

23-31

-8

H16/11

Premijer liga

77.3Avg total

35.7Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.6	79.2	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.4	37.2	78.6	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.2	41.4	79.6	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	41.6	77.3	-5.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	39.4	75.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	34.4	41.8	76.1	-7.4	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	35.0	38.0	73.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	44.8	37.6	82.4	+7.2	73%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.2	38.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	18.8	43.0	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.3	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.1	21.0	38.1	-3.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.8	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.5	15.6	39.2	+7.9	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.1	19.5	36.6	-2.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.5	16.9	38.4	+4.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	18.1	39.1	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	14.7	29.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.9	19.8	39.6	+0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.3	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.5	76.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	36.9	75.4	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	38.1	76.9	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	39.2	81.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	38.4	84.8	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.7	34.3	66.0	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	34.8	38.4	73.1	-3.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	41.5	37.6	79.2	+3.9	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.3	78.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.3	34.0	77.3	+9.3	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.0	41.6	79.6	-3.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	40.2	80.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	39.6	78.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.1	38.6	76.6	-0.5	43%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	37.0	77.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.4	38.2	80.6	+4.2	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.3	53.2%	52.0%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.9	33.3%	32.1%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.9	75.4%	71.8%	12.9

They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 74.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.9	55.7%	52.0%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	8.1	35.2%	32.1%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	15.6	10.8	69.2%	71.8%	10.8

They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	18.4	46.7%	52.0%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.6	30.9%	32.1%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.4	70.5%	71.8%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	22.2	55.8%	52.0%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	8.9	33.6%	32.1%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	14.6	10.1	69.2%	71.8%	10.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	19.5	51.9%	52.0%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.2	34.2%	32.1%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	14.6	11.3	77.4%	71.8%	11.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	23.2	56.9%	52.0%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.9	7.3	32.0%	32.1%	22.0
🏀 Free throws	15.3	10.7	69.9%	71.8%	10.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	19.5	49.7%	52.0%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.6	31.0%	32.1%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	14.8	11.1	75.0%	71.8%	11.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	19.3	50.2%	52.0%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.9	33.0%	32.1%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	15.4	10.9	70.9%	71.8%	10.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Kastela

WWWWLWLLWW

Osijek

LWLWLLLLLW

League position

#14

+8.2

Net rating

-8.4

103.1

Offensive rating

100.2

94.9

Defensive rating

108.6

51.8%

Effective FG%

54.6%

46.6%

Opp. effective FG%

53.6%

18.8%

Turnover %

19.9%

24.4%

Off. rebound %

18.3%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.27

33.3%

3-point %

35.2%

78.4%

Assist %

67.5%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Kastela ■ Osijek

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kastela wins

Osijek wins

Date	Game	Score
28/01/24	Osijek v Kastela	65-60
21/10/23	Kastela v Osijek	74-79
07/05/23	Kastela v Osijek	74-72 OT
12/04/23	Osijek v Kastela	79-92
11/01/23	Osijek v Kastela	87-76
09/10/22	Kastela v Osijek	80-83
14/04/18	Osijek v Kastela	87-67
16/12/17	Kastela v Osijek	96-100
03/05/16	Osijek v Kastela	87-78
16/04/16	Kastela v Osijek	68-72

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/24	A	Dakovo	99-80
16/11/24	H	Omis	83-63
10/11/24	A	Marsonia	88-64
02/11/24	H	Sonik Puntamika	75-65
27/10/24	A	Jazine	76-82
20/10/24	H	Crikvenica	68-64
12/10/24	A	Skrljevo	65-72
06/04/24	A	KK Zagreb	65-81
27/03/24	H	Marsonia	85-79
23/03/24	A	Podstrana	84-72

Osijeklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/24	H	Cibona	63-73
09/11/24	A	Kvarner	92-81
02/11/24	A	Dubrava	70-84
30/10/24	H	Zabok	75-73
27/10/24	A	Alkar	74-84
17/10/24	A	Zadar	63-75
12/10/24	A	Dinamo Zagreb	65-79
05/10/24	H	GKK Sibenka	78-89
28/09/24	A	Cedevita Junior	70-95
08/05/24	H	Skrljevo	109-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela

Croatian Cup 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Osijek

Croatian Cup 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kastela	26	20	20	22	88
Osijek	21	17	18	17	73

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Kastela vs Osijek Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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