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Ostrow Wielkopolski vs Lublin Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 16 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game84.0
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 27· Hala Sportowa Stal
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ostrow Wielkopolski v Lublin
16 Apr 2027
OWI v LUB
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
OWI93
LUB78
04 May 2025
OWI82
LUB89
18 Apr 2024
OWI96
LUB93
11 Apr 2023
OWI86
LUB74
10 Feb 2023
OWI78
LUB74
01 Apr 2022
OWI99
LUB62
02 Apr 2021
OWI94
LUB100
31 Mar 2021
OWI106
LUB81
26 Sep 2020
OWI79
LUB74
04 Apr 2020
OWI v LUB
upcoming
21 Mar 2019
OWI87
LUB84
05 Nov 2017
OWI81
LUB63
17 Dec 2016
OWI85
LUB56
16 Jan 2016
OWI85
LUB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ostrow Wielkopolski win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ostrow WielkopolskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWielkopolski
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 72
A17/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
73-83
73
83
-10
62avg 72
H25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 72
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
76avg 72
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
75avg 72
A08/05
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
74avg 72
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
52avg 72
H12/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
87-84
87
84
+3
82avg 72
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#9
L
74-84
74
84
-10
68avg 72
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#7
L
82-83
82
83
-1
80avg 72
A30/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-20
18-18
12-20
14-15
22-11
18-27
17-24
16-21
29-21
23-19
16-19
18-29
28-25
15-14
22-23
21-12
27-24
15-21
22-21
22-28
20-13
8-26
24-17
20-16
25-12
19-21
11-25
10-23
25-20
24-17
19-24
19-23
26-22
17-21
11-23
20-18
22-25
17-19
25-22
18-17
162.3Avg total
80.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.482.2160.6-3.840%
Season at home (1)65.081.0146.0-16.00%
Season away (4)81.882.5164.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)80.082.3162.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)78.482.2160.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.883.1161.9-4.330%
vs Similar (14)82.681.8164.4+0.857%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
no box
A11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 73
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 73
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
80-101
80
101
-21
69avg 73
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
100-105
100
105
-5
101avg 73
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#12
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
73avg 73
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 73
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 73
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
54-70
54
70
-16
43avg 73
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
H01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
21-26
19-19
18-27
20-19
23-18
24-25
19-19
13-31
27-24
22-11
24-16
19-21
18-27
21-22
22-31
27-22
24-35
23-23
26-25
13-20
26-8
17-24
16-20
10-23
13-31
26-22
28-21
21-19
27-15
16-20
12-19
14-14
16-21
9-15
15-20
22-22
23-20
23-23
21-31
171.6Avg total
82.4Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.084.0159.0-9.020%
Season at home (3)81.384.3165.7-3.033%
Season away (2)65.583.5149.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)82.489.2171.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)75.084.0159.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)80.989.0169.9-8.127%
vs Similar (4)91.892.0183.8-0.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ostrow Wielkopolski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
Ostrow WielkopolskiLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ostrow WielkopolskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A17/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/05
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H12/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A30/10
Energa Basket Liga
82.7Avg total
43.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.584.1+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.439.383.7+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.684.5+1.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.682.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.279.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.137.882.9+7.380%-
vs Similar (14)44.241.886.0+2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.041.881.8-1.833%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#12
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H01/11
Energa Basket Liga
83.1Avg total
40.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.845.085.8-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.846.687.3-5.825%-
Last 30 away (14)40.943.184.1-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.883.1-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.675.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)40.543.884.2-3.335%-
vs Similar (4)43.252.896.0-9.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ostrow Wielkopolski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ostrow Wielkopolskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostrow Wielkopolski: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.9
54.1%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.3
28.2%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.218.1
71.8%
71.5%18.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.6
56.9%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.8
29.2%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.516.6
77.2%
71.5%16.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ostrow Wielkopolski
LLWLWLWLLW
Lublin
LLWLLLLWWL
#12
League position
#14
-2.2
Net rating
-10.8
90.8
Offensive rating
89.6
93.0
Defensive rating
100.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.2%
3-point %
29.2%
60.3%
Assist %
66.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 89.6Defence93.0 · 100.4Shooting49.2% · 50.6%3-point %28.2% · 29.2%Ball care16.2% · 16.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Ostrow Wielkopolski   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ostrow Wielkopolski wins
3
Lublin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AAnwil Wloclawek82-83
25/10/26ALegia74-84
19/10/26ACzarni Slupsk87-84
12/10/26HGornik Walbrzych65-81
03/10/26ALublin84-79 OT
08/05/26ADabrowa Gornicza86-94
06/05/26HGornik Walbrzych86-74
02/05/26ATrefl Sopot86-88
25/04/26HDziki Warszawa73-83
17/04/26ASlask Wroclaw77-73
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HDabrowa Gornicza89-96
24/10/26ASzczecin54-70
17/10/26HGdynia76-73
11/10/26ADziki Warszawa77-97
03/10/26HOstrow Wielkopolski79-84 OT
06/05/26ADabrowa Gornicza100-105
03/05/26HGdynia80-101
26/04/26HGTK Gliwice86-82
18/04/26AGornik Walbrzych86-81
11/04/26ATrefl Sopot97-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ostrow Wielkopolski
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeL0%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game78.465.081.8
Allowed / game82.281.082.5
Point differential-3.8-16.0-0.8
Avg total160.6146.0164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %20%0%25%
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game75.081.365.5
Allowed / game84.084.383.5
Point differential-9.0-3.0-18.0
Avg total159.0165.7149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dabrowa Gornicza550100%91.482.4+9.0
2 Dziki Warszawa54180%90.674.4+16.2
3 Szczecin54180%85.877.6+8.2
4 Gdynia53260%87.279.0+8.2
5 Gornik Walbrzych53260%84.681.4+3.2
6 Slask Wroclaw53260%85.684.4+1.2
7 Anwil Wloclawek53260%79.879.6+0.2
8 Zielona Gora53260%86.486.4+0.0
9 Legia53260%80.083.6-3.6
10 GTK Gliwice52340%80.682.4-1.8
11 Torun52340%86.889.6-2.8
12 Ostrow Wielkopolski52340%78.482.2-3.8
13 Bydgoszcz52340%88.493.4-5.0
14 Lublin51420%75.084.0-9.0
15 Czarni Slupsk5050%78.284.0-5.8
16 Trefl Sopot5050%79.093.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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