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Ostrow Wielkopolski vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 99-62
31-20 23-12 25-11 20-19
Position#3
Record20-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#11
Record8-17
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game81.8
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 28
Other2021-22
Meetings · Ostrow Wielkopolski v Lublin
16 Apr 2027
OWI v LUB
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
OWI93
LUB78
04 May 2025
OWI82
LUB89
18 Apr 2024
OWI96
LUB93
11 Apr 2023
OWI86
LUB74
10 Feb 2023
OWI78
LUB74
01 Apr 2022
OWI99
LUB62
02 Apr 2021
OWI94
LUB100
31 Mar 2021
OWI106
LUB81
26 Sep 2020
OWI79
LUB74
04 Apr 2020
OWI v LUB
upcoming
21 Mar 2019
OWI87
LUB84
05 Nov 2017
OWI81
LUB63
17 Dec 2016
OWI85
LUB56
16 Jan 2016
OWI85
LUB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ostrow Wielkopolski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ostrow WielkopolskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torun
#7
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H08/02
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#6
W
114-84
114
84
+30
A13/02
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#7
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A18/02
Polish Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H19/02
Polish Cup
Lublin
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A20/02
Polish Cup
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#9
W
101-77
101
77
+24
A17/03
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#12
W
105-61
105
61
+44
A20/03
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#10
W
118-79
118
79
+39
A23/03
Energa Basket Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#16
W
108-84
108
84
+24
H27/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
21-22
28-17
23-20
29-20
21-19
29-26
35-19
21-9
21-23
21-20
21-26
23-24
31-24
22-24
18-15
10-20
24-21
28-14
21-21
22-23
20-20
24-14
12-20
20-21
28-16
27-23
26-17
34-20
28-16
26-16
17-9
36-18
29-23
25-15
28-23
35-20
21-15
26-30
26-19
175.8Avg total
98.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)92.881.9174.7+10.974%
Season at home (14)89.180.2169.3+8.986%
Season away (13)96.883.8180.6+13.162%
Last 10 (10)98.177.7175.8+20.4100%
Last 5 (5)102.075.6177.6+26.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.778.7154.3-3.033%
vs Similar (3)83.788.0171.7-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)94.982.1177.0+12.778%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zielona Gora
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A20/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H17/02
Polish Cup
Szczecin
#4
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A19/02
Polish Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H20/02
Polish Cup
Legia
#6
L
97-107 OT
97
107
-10
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#12
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A06/03
Energa Basket Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#16
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H12/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#13
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H17/03
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#7
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A23/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H28/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
19-21
13-20
24-27
18-16
16-15
21-18
16-22
25-19
12-14
16-14
24-23
20-10
21-24
14-28
21-21
20-25
27-16
31-19
12-30
18-24
21-21
21-21
21-14
21-21
18-17
20-20
20-20
31-13
19-17
22-21
18-25
6-25
14-16
18-17
17-23
12-16
25-15
24-18
16-19
159.3Avg total
78.4Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.181.8157.9-5.832%
Season at home (13)78.484.6163.0-6.223%
Season away (12)73.678.8152.4-5.242%
Last 10 (10)78.480.9159.3-2.560%
Last 5 (5)76.476.6153.0-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.885.1160.8-9.35%
vs Similar (9)80.378.4158.8+1.978%
vs Weaker (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Ostrow Wielkopolski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
Ostrow WielkopolskiLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ostrow WielkopolskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torun
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H08/02
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A13/02
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#7
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/02
Polish Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H19/02
Polish Cup
Lublin
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/02
Polish Cup
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A17/03
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#12
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A20/03
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#10
W
65-41
65
41
+24
A23/03
Energa Basket Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#16
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H27/03
Energa Basket Liga
88.7Avg total
49.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.140.887.9+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.541.185.6+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)49.340.689.9+8.869%-
Last 10 (10)49.838.988.7+10.980%-
Last 5 (5)54.638.493.0+16.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.337.073.3-0.733%-
vs Similar (3)45.043.388.3+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)49.041.490.3+7.670%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zielona Gora
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A20/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H17/02
Polish Cup
Szczecin
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A19/02
Polish Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/02
Polish Cup
Legia
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A06/03
Energa Basket Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H12/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H17/03
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#7
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A23/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H28/03
Energa Basket Liga
73.9Avg total
37.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.978.2-1.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.240.080.2+0.259%-
Last 30 away (13)36.039.775.7-3.746%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.273.9+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.074.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.642.180.7-3.547%-
vs Similar (9)38.236.274.4+2.056%-
vs Weaker (1)40.039.079.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Ostrow Wielkopolski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ostrow Wielkopolskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostrow Wielkopolski: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.7
47.5%
54.2%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.0
30.9%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.8
77.9%
72.5%15.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
54.2%37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.8
32.2%
33.6%23.5
🏀 Free throws14.39.8
68.6%
72.5%9.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ostrow Wielkopolski
WWWWWWWWWW
Lublin
WLWWWLLWWL
#3
League position
#11
-7.5
Net rating
-17.0
98.0
Offensive rating
92.8
105.5
Defensive rating
109.8
46.9%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
20.7%
Turnover %
22.2%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.9%
3-point %
32.2%
64.2%
Assist %
64.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 92.8Defence105.5 · 109.8Shooting46.9% · 49.6%3-point %30.9% · 32.2%Ball care20.7% · 22.2%Off. rebounds28.6% · 24.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Ostrow Wielkopolski   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ostrow Wielkopolski wins
2
Lublin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22HHydroTruck Radom108-84
23/03/22ASzczecin118-79
20/03/22ASpojnia Stargard105-61
17/03/22ATrefl Sopot101-77
13/03/22HGTK Gliwice78-77
20/02/22ALublin83-76
19/02/22HSlask Wroclaw94-87
18/02/22ATorun84-78
13/02/22ALegia114-84
08/02/22HTorun96-74
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/22HDabrowa Gornicza77-68
23/03/22ATorun55-81
17/03/22HGdynia90-76
12/03/22HHydroTruck Radom79-78
06/03/22ASpojnia Stargard81-80
02/03/22HLegia97-107 OT
20/02/22HOstrow Wielkopolski76-83
19/02/22ASzczecin77-70
17/02/22HZielona Gora82-81 OT
20/01/22AZielona Gora70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ostrow Wielkopolski
Energa Basket Liga 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%86%62%
Points / game92.889.196.8
Allowed / game81.980.283.8
Point differential+10.9+8.9+13.1
Avg total174.7169.3180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%43%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW32%
HomeLLWWW23%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %32%23%42%
Points / game76.178.473.6
Allowed / game81.884.678.8
Point differential-5.8-6.2-5.2
Avg total157.9163.0152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)25% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Czarni Slupsk2721678%83.378.6+4.7
2 Ostrow Wielkopolski2720774%92.881.9+10.9
3 Anwil Wloclawek2820871%85.779.2+6.5
4 Zielona Gora2819968%87.879.3+8.5
5 Slask Wroclaw2718967%85.478.4+7.0
6 Torun27161159%83.483.0+0.5
7 Legia28161257%82.280.4+1.8
8 Bydgoszcz26141254%84.283.0+1.2
9 Szczecin28141450%83.683.6+0.0
10 Trefl Sopot26121446%79.781.2-1.4
11 Gdynia28111739%76.382.1-5.8
12 Spojnia Stargard28101836%79.085.1-6.1
13 Dabrowa Gornicza2791833%82.787.9-5.2
14 Lublin2581732%76.181.8-5.8
15 HydroTruck Radom2752219%77.983.6-5.7
16 GTK Gliwice2742315%75.787.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ostrow Wielkopolski3123252099
Lublin2012111962
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