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Ottawa Blackjacks vs Guelph Nighthawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 101-112
30-26 18-34 27-26 26-26
Position#6
Record10-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game86.3
Ottawa Blackjacks
Canada
vs
Guelph Nighthawks 🏆
Canada
Position#2
Record13-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game87.9
CanadaCEBL· TD Place Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Ottawa Blackjacks v Guelph Nighthawks
02 Aug 2025
OTTA101
GUEL112
29 Jun 2024
OTTA90
GUEL100
16 Jun 2022
OTTA73
GUEL83
04 Aug 2021
OTTA71
GUEL96
28 Jun 2021
OTTA96
GUEL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ottawa Blackjacks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guelph Nighthawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ottawa BlackjacksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBlackjacks
Date
Competition
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
90-77
90
77
+13
80avg 86
H28/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
104-80
104
80
+24
104avg 86
H01/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
90-93
90
93
-3
85avg 86
A06/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
101-73
101
73
+28
107avg 86
A09/07
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 86
H17/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 86
H21/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 86
A23/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
96-97
96
97
-1
90avg 86
H26/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
100-93
100
93
+7
100avg 86
H29/07
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
W
96-93
96
93
+3
92avg 86
A31/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
27-17
23-17
18-15
29-16
25-25
24-23
26-16
23-20
18-19
31-19
18-35
20-19
22-26
32-13
27-15
27-16
11-19
27-28
20-24
31-30
23-13
22-21
15-13
25-25
26-25
15-22
13-15
23-24
28-27
19-23
26-23
24-20
34-27
20-31
22-15
26-19
18-23
20-30
32-21
178.9Avg total
93.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.086.3177.2+4.750%
Season at home (9)93.985.7179.6+8.256%
Season away (11)88.586.8175.4+1.745%
Last 10 (10)93.285.7178.9+7.560%
Last 5 (5)92.489.4181.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)92.499.1191.5-6.825%
vs Similar (12)88.686.7175.2+1.950%
vs Weaker (10)97.483.5180.9+13.980%
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guelph NighthawksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNighthawks
Date
Competition
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
100-83
100
83
+17
97avg 82
H22/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 82
A27/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
85avg 82
A03/07
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
90-113
90
113
-23
70avg 82
A06/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
107-91
107
91
+16
94avg 82
H10/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
103-81
103
81
+22
100avg 82
A16/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
93-89
93
89
+4
83avg 82
A18/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
98-96
98
96
+2
68avg 82
H26/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 82
H27/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
80avg 82
A31/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
33-13
23-20
19-19
28-21
23-28
20-23
18-24
27-11
25-26
20-19
22-29
17-24
26-16
21-42
26-31
29-26
20-36
39-15
19-14
22-24
29-19
24-12
28-26
22-21
22-25
27-21
22-22
22-25
28-24
21-18
27-29
18-22
23-20
19-18
18-19
20-21
18-23
26-26
25-23
184.7Avg total
94.1Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)93.887.9181.8+5.965%
Season at home (10)94.685.3179.9+9.370%
Season away (10)93.190.5183.6+2.660%
Last 10 (10)94.190.6184.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)92.287.6179.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.091.5183.5+0.550%
vs Similar (6)90.079.8169.8+10.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)92.988.3181.2+4.664%
This opponent (Ottawa Blackjacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
Ottawa BlackjacksGuelph Nighthawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ottawa BlackjacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H28/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H01/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A09/07
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H17/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H21/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A23/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H26/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H29/07
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A31/07
CEBL
92.0Avg total
48.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.646.393.8+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.147.497.5+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)45.645.491.1+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)48.243.892.0+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)51.646.698.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)45.650.896.4-5.10%-
vs Similar (12)47.744.892.4+2.967%-
vs Weaker (10)49.044.593.5+4.570%-
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guelph NighthawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H22/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A27/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A03/07
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H10/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A16/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A18/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H26/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H27/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A31/07
CEBL
93.3Avg total
47.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.444.290.5+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.644.191.6+3.564%-
Last 30 away (16)45.344.289.6+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)47.745.693.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.889.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.548.594.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.741.284.8+2.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.244.691.8+2.664%-
This opponent (Ottawa Blackjacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ottawa Blackjackstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ottawa Blackjacks: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.424.3
56.0%
50.7%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.0
37.3%
34.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.6
75.8%
72.4%11.6
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guelph Nighthawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guelph Nighthawks: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.223.9
52.9%
50.7%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
34.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.514.7
65.3%
72.4%14.7
They take 75.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ottawa Blackjacks
WWLLWLWLWW
Guelph Nighthawks
LLWWWWLWLW
#6
League position
#2
+10.4
Net rating
+3.8
114.9
Offensive rating
106.7
104.5
Defensive rating
103.0
56.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.3%
3-point %
34.0%
62.9%
Assist %
58.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 106.7Defence104.5 · 103.0Shooting56.0% · 52.1%3-point %37.3% · 34.0%Ball care14.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.3% · 26.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Ottawa Blackjacks   ■ Guelph Nighthawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ottawa Blackjacks wins
8
Guelph Nighthawks wins
DateGameScore
08/06/25Guelph Nighthawks v Ottawa Blackjacks107-93
29/06/24Ottawa Blackjacks v Guelph Nighthawks90-100
10/06/23Guelph Nighthawks v Ottawa Blackjacks86-79
16/06/22Ottawa Blackjacks v Guelph Nighthawks73-83
09/06/22Guelph Nighthawks v Ottawa Blackjacks86-79
06/08/21Guelph Nighthawks v Ottawa Blackjacks89-85
04/08/21Ottawa Blackjacks v Guelph Nighthawks71-96
12/07/21Guelph Nighthawks v Ottawa Blackjacks90-87
28/06/21Ottawa Blackjacks v Guelph Nighthawks96-79
Ottawa Blackjackslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/25ANiagara River96-93
29/07/25HScarborough Shooting Stars100-93
26/07/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers96-97
23/07/25AMontreal Alliance79-87
21/07/25HBrampton Honey Badgers91-77
17/07/25HEdmonton Stingers85-87
09/07/25ABrampton Honey Badgers101-73
06/07/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers90-93
01/07/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears104-80
28/06/25HMontreal Alliance90-77
Guelph Nighthawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/25AScarborough Shooting Stars89-93
27/07/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears78-79
26/07/25HFraser Valley Bandits98-96
18/07/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears93-89
16/07/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers103-81
10/07/25HMontreal Alliance107-91
06/07/25AEdmonton Stingers90-113
03/07/25ABrampton Honey Badgers94-85
27/06/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers89-96
22/06/25HFraser Valley Bandits100-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ottawa Blackjacks
CEBL 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayWLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %50%56%45%
Points / game91.093.988.5
Allowed / game86.385.786.8
Point differential+4.7+8.2+1.7
Avg total177.2179.6175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guelph Nighthawks
CEBL 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeLWWWL70%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%70%60%
Points / game93.894.693.1
Allowed / game87.985.390.5
Point differential+6.0+9.3+2.6
Avg total181.8179.9183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits2116576%96.987.7+9.2
2 Niagara River2014670%88.088.4-0.4
3 Guelph Nighthawks2013765%93.887.9+6.0
4 Edmonton Stingers2012860%94.092.0+1.9
5 Ottawa Blackjacks20101050%91.086.3+4.7
6 Scarborough Shooting Stars21101148%90.089.5+0.5
7 Winnipeg Sea Bears2091145%86.289.8-3.7
8 Montreal Alliance2081240%87.787.8-0.1
9 Saskatchewan Rattlers2051525%84.993.5-8.6
10 Brampton Honey Badgers2251723%81.490.3-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ottawa Blackjacks30182726101
Guelph Nighthawks26342626112
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