Ourense vs Caja 87 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 18:00

Projected 83-76

Projected total 159.1

Final 87-74

20-24 23-11 21-16 23-23

Position#6

Record4-3

FormLLLWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game83.1

Ourense 🏆

71%

29%

■ OURE 71%■ CAJA 29%

Pythia win probability

Caja 87

Position#11

Record3-4

FormWLLWL

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game76.4

Primera FEBRound 8

Other2026-27

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Ourense faces Caja 87 in the Primera FEB on 14 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side and predicting a decisive 83-76 outcome; Ourense's 4-3 season record and 85.0 points per game contrast with Caja 87's 3-4 record and 75.9 points per game, and the home team has allowed 83.1 points while the visitors have yielded 76.4, a difference that the model sees as significant. In the last five games each side has won twice and lost three, with Ourense's recent wins over Fuenlabrada 86-84 away and Fibwi Palma 83-73 at home, and a loss to Palencia 80-84 away, while Caja 87 beat Hestia Menorca 73-69 away but fell to Tizona Burgos 73-75 at home and Granada 81-84 at home. The projected total of 159.1 points sits just below the 160.5 line, giving a 46% chance of an over, and the home team's -4.0 line carries a 60% probability of covering; the model estimates a 71% chance of an Ourense win and a 29% chance for Caja 87, with a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winWon

70.9%fair 1.41

Best odds1.48

Implied64.2%

Edge+6.7pp

Caja 87 winLost

29.1%fair 3.43

Best odds2.70

Implied35.8%

Edge-6.7pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOurense

Date

Competition

Hestia Menorca

70-73

-3

59avg 69

A26/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#17

93-84

86avg 69

A03/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

70-74

-4

65avg 69

H08/05

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#16

91-71

+20

79avg 69

H26/09

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

#17

90-86

79avg 69

A04/10

Primera FEB

Estela

86-101

101

-15

76avg 69

H10/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

79-83

-4

70avg 69

H16/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

80-84

-4

64avg 69

A24/10

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

#18

83-73

+10

no box

H31/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#13

86-84

no box

A07/11

Primera FEB

16-22

21-19

14-10

19-22

24-19

24-31

25-18

20-16

13-20

22-27

19-15

16-12

31-15

18-24

22-17

20-15

20-29

30-16

20-21

20-20

28-21

13-31

20-27

25-22

16-16

22-16

22-24

19-27

25-13

20-22

16-25

19-24

23-20

18-20

26-11

16-22

19-17

25-19

19-20

23-28

164.1Avg total

82.8Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	85.0	83.1	168.1	+1.9	57%
Season at home (4)	84.8	82.0	166.8	+2.8	50%
Season away (3)	85.3	84.7	170.0	+0.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	81.3	164.1	+1.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	85.0	167.8	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	77.5	85.3	162.7	-7.8	13%
vs Similar (7)	78.7	82.4	161.1	-3.7	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	80.8	77.9	158.6	+2.9	62%

This opponent (Caja 87) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caja 87

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 Form87

Date

Competition

Spanish Basketball Academy

81-68

+13

no box

H16/05

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

91-72

+19

no box

H23/05

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

56-71

-15

no box

A30/05

Segunda FEB

Estudiantes

65-78

-13

50avg 65

A27/09

Primera FEB

Palmer Basket

81-72

68avg 65

H02/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#13

77-74

74avg 65

H11/10

Primera FEB

Cordoba

#15

81-83

-2

71avg 65

A17/10

Primera FEB

Granada

81-84 OT

-3

64avg 65

H25/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#14

73-69

no box

A31/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#16

73-75

-2

no box

H08/11

Primera FEB

19-16

25-6

17-21

20-25

21-13

30-21

22-25

18-13

15-27

20-13

5-15

16-16

9-12

24-18

16-26

16-22

17-22

16-22

23-10

25-18

18-22

29-19

14-16

16-17

21-21

20-16

18-27

22-19

11-23

20-18

28-19

14-13

24-11

13-26

21-16

15-16

21-11

20-16

7-18

25-30

150.5Avg total

75.9Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	75.9	76.4	152.3	-0.6	43%
Season at home (4)	78.0	76.2	154.2	+1.8	50%
Season away (3)	73.0	76.7	149.7	-3.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	74.6	150.5	+1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	77.0	154.0	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	65.0	78.0	143.0	-13.0	0%
vs Similar (14)	77.3	77.4	154.6	-0.1	43%
vs Weaker (15)	83.4	70.3	153.7	+13.1	87%

This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 153.5Actual: Over 153.5

Over 153.5

62.6%

@ 1.50+0.2pp

Under 153.5

37.4%

@ 2.50-0.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.47

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.42

Over/Under 158.75 · main lineActual: Over 158.75

Over 158.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 158.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 163.5Actual: Under 163.5

Over 163.5

38.7%

@ 2.50+0.2pp

Under 163.5

61.3%

@ 1.52-0.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.32

Under

Betano

1.52

Bet365

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Ourense total 77.5Actual: Ourense over 77.5

Over 77.5

69.4%

@ 1.42+4.5pp

Under 77.5

30.6%

@ 2.70-4.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.38

Under

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.39

Ourense total 81.5 · main lineActual: Ourense over 81.5

Over 81.5

54.4%

@ 1.85+4.4pp

Under 81.5

45.6%

@ 1.88-4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Betano

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

1xBet

1.72

Under

Betano

1.88

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.72

Ourense total 85.5Actual: Ourense over 85.5

Over 85.5

38.8%

@ 2.50+2.1pp

Under 85.5

61.2%

@ 1.50-2.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.50

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.38

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.38

Caja 87 total 72.5Actual: Caja 87 over 72.5

Over 72.5

64.3%

@ 1.35-0.8pp

Under 72.5

35.7%

@ 2.52+0.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.35

Under

1xBet

2.52

Caja 87 total 76.5 · main lineActual: Caja 87 under 76.5

Over 76.5

49.1%

@ 1.83-2.8pp

Under 76.5

50.9%

@ 2.00+2.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.76

Betano

1.75

WilliamHill

1.73

1xBet

1.66

Under

WilliamHill

2.00

Betano

1.91

Marathon Be

1.88

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.79

Caja 87 total 80.5Actual: Caja 87 under 80.5

Over 80.5

34.2%

@ 2.45-3.9pp

Under 80.5

65.8%

@ 1.47+3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.26

Under

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Ourense -7.5Actual: Ourense -7.5

OURE -7.5

45.8%

@ 2.22+4.2pp

CAJA +7.5

54.2%

@ 1.64-4.2pp

Best 5 market prices

OURE

1xBet

2.22

Betano

2.20

Bet365

2.12

CAJA

Bet365

1.64

Betano

1.57

Marathon Be

1.55

1xBet

1.47

Spread Ourense -4.5 · main lineActual: Ourense -4.5

OURE -4.5

57.2%

@ 1.93+7.1pp

CAJA +4.5

42.8%

@ 1.95-7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

OURE

SBO

1.93

Pinnacle

1.90

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.81

Marathon Be

1.81

CAJA

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.91

Betfair

1.91

Betano

1.88

BetVictor

1.88

Spread Ourense -1.5Actual: Ourense -1.5

OURE -1.5

68.3%

@ 1.55+7.3pp

CAJA +1.5

31.7%

@ 2.50-7.3pp

Best 5 market prices

OURE

Pinnacle

1.55

1xBet

1.53

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Marathon Be

1.49

CAJA

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

2.43

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.10

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurenseCaja 87

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.1	39.8	-0.3	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.6	38%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	57%	43%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.3	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.5	27%	33%
vs Similar (7)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.3	43%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.8	17.9	39.6	+3.9	88%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	47%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	20.1	40.1	+0.0	50%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	18.9	39.2	+1.5	43%	50%
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	9.0	12.0	21.0	-3.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (14)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	36%	50%
vs Weaker (15)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.25
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.9	47%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.6	44%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.0	50%	71%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.5	43.8	-1.2	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	60%	80%
vs Similar (7)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.4	43%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.8	20.8	40.5	-1.0	25%	62%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.25
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.3	38.1	+3.4	67%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	16.4	38.2	+5.5	75%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.4	37.9	+1.0	57%	50%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	17.5	39.2	+4.2	80%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	24.0	18.0	42.0	+6.0	100%	100%
vs Similar (14)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.4	57%	29%
vs Weaker (15)	22.2	16.1	38.3	+6.1	73%	47%

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hestia Menorca

37-41

-4

A26/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#17

48-50

-2

A03/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

35-47

-12

H08/05

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#16

49-39

+10

H26/09

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

#17

50-45

A04/10

Primera FEB

Estela

41-52

-11

H10/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

38-32

H16/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

45-35

+10

A24/10

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

#18

41-40

H31/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#13

44-36

A07/11

Primera FEB

84.5Avg total

42.8Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78
Last 30 (30)	40.1	41.3	81.4	-1.2	50%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	42.0	81.8	-2.2	44%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	40.5	81.0	+0.0	57%	57%
Last 10 (10)	42.8	41.7	84.5	+1.1	60%	80%
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.4	42.5	81.9	-3.1	40%	60%
vs Similar (7)	40.1	41.9	82.0	-1.7	43%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	41.5	38.6	80.1	+2.9	75%	62%

This opponent (Caja 87) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caja 87Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spanish Basketball Academy

44-22

+22

H16/05

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

51-34

+17

H23/05

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

35-40

-5

A30/05

Segunda FEB

Estudiantes

33-30

A27/09

Primera FEB

Palmer Basket

33-44

-11

H02/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#13

47-41

H11/10

Primera FEB

Cordoba

#15

41-37

A17/10

Primera FEB

Granada

31-41

-10

H25/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#14

37-37

A31/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#16

41-27

+14

H08/11

Primera FEB

74.6Avg total

39.3Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78
Last 30 (30)	40.9	36.8	77.8	+4.1	60%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	36.4	78.4	+5.5	62%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	39.8	37.3	77.1	+2.5	57%	43%
Last 10 (10)	39.3	35.3	74.6	+4.0	60%	20%
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.6	76.0	+2.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	33.0	30.0	63.0	+3.0	100%	0%
vs Similar (14)	38.4	38.3	76.7	+0.1	36%	29%
vs Weaker (15)	43.8	35.9	79.7	+7.9	80%	67%

This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Ourense win

OURE win

no forecast

@ 1.55

CAJA win

no forecast

@ 2.46

1st half Spread Ourense -2.5 · main lineActual: Ourense -2.5

OURE -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

CAJA +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 78 · main linePush

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

Ourense 1st half total 40 · main lineActual: Ourense over 40

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

Caja 87 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Caja 87 under 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half: OURE + total 78.5

OURE & over

no forecast

@ 3.00

OURE & under

no forecast

@ 3.05

1st half: Draw + total 78.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: CAJA + total 78.5

CAJA & over

no forecast

@ 4.75

CAJA & under

no forecast

@ 4.75

1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.67

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Under 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.17

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Ourense -3.5Actual: Ourense -3.5

OURE -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

CAJA +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread Ourense -1.5Actual: Ourense -1.5

OURE -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

CAJA +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Spread Ourense -4.5Actual: Ourense -4.5

OURE -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

CAJA +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.66

1st half Spread Ourense -0.5Actual: Ourense -0.5

OURE -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

CAJA +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Over 74.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.44

Under

no forecast

@ 2.62

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Ourense (regulation)

OURE

no forecast

@ 1.61

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.00

CAJA

no forecast

@ 2.45

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.4	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.2	44%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	22.4	40.9	-3.8	36%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.9	21.9	40.7	-3.0	40%	53%
vs Similar (7)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.6	29%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.4	20.8	41.1	-0.4	50%	38%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	47%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	62%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	20.2	37.5	-2.9	29%	36%
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.3	36.4	-2.2	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	16.0	26.0	42.0	-10.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (14)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	36%	36%
vs Weaker (15)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.6	60%	27%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.7	38.9	-0.4	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.0	69%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.1	36%	43%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.6	45.0	-4.2	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	47%	60%
vs Similar (7)	19.9	18.3	38.1	+1.6	71%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.4	50%	25%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.0	37.4	+1.5	57%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.4	56%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.6	57%	36%
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (14)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.9	57%	43%
vs Weaker (15)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	60%	47%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	38.5	41.3	79.8	-2.8	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	40.4	81.5	+0.8	56%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	35.5	42.4	77.9	-6.9	21%	50%
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.6	79.6	+0.4	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	46.0	87.0	-5.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.1	42.8	80.9	-4.7	33%	60%
vs Similar (7)	38.6	40.6	79.1	-2.0	43%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	39.2	39.2	78.5	+0.0	50%	38%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.3	74.7	+2.1	60%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	34.9	75.1	+5.2	69%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	37.8	74.2	-1.4	50%	50%
Last 10 (10)	35.8	38.2	74.0	-2.4	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	36.0	38.2	74.2	-2.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	32.0	48.0	80.0	-16.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (14)	37.6	37.5	75.1	+0.1	50%	36%
vs Weaker (15)	39.6	34.3	73.9	+5.3	73%	40%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

OURE win + total 158.5

🔒 Pro

CAJA win + total 158.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: OURE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CAJA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (OURE:CAJA): OURE wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Ourense +4.5	81.4%	1.25	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Ourense +3.5	78.9%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Ourense +2.5	76.5%	1.32	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Caja 87 under 82.5	72.5%	1.38	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Ourense win	70.9%	1.45	Pinnacle 1.48	SBO 1.46	1xBet 1.45	Betano 1.45	BetVictor 1.45	+6.7pp	Won
Ourense +14.5	95.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Ourense over 76.5	72.7%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Ourense +19.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Ourense over 71.5	86.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Ourense +9.5	90.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Ourense +1.5	73.2%	1.34	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Ourense over 73.5	81.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Ourense over 75.5	75.9%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Ourense over 72.5	84.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Ourense over 67.5	93.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Under 167.5	70.1%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Ourense over 69.5	90.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.4%	1.03	WilliamHill 1.04	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Caja 87 +20.5	89.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Ourense under 95.5	89.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Caja 87 under 91.5	92.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Ourense under 93.5	85.9%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Over 133.5	94.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Caja 87 under 87.5	85.6%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Caja 87 +15.5	79.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Caja 87 under 89.5	89.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Caja 87 under 85.5	81.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Under 183.5	92.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Ourense under 92.5	83.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Caja 87 under 86.5	83.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Caja 87 over 63.5	89.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Caja 87 over 66.5	83.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Caja 87 under 83.5	75.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Caja 87 over 65.5	85.5%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 138.5	89.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Ourense under 91.5	81.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Over 143.5	82.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Caja 87 over 67.5	80.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Under 173.5	81.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Ourense under 89.5	75.2%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Under 178.5	87.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Caja 87 over 69.5	74.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Over 148.5	73.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Under 168.5	72.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Caja 87 +12.5	71.2%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.2	51.9%	53.0%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	7.3	30.5%	32.9%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	25.7	18.3	71.2%	74.2%	18.3

They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Caja 87their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caja 87: 77.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	18.0	48.6%	53.0%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.0	34.1%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.0	69.3%	74.2%	14.0

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	19.7	55.3%	53.0%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.6	33.6%	32.9%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	24.6	19.1	77.6%	74.2%	19.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.6	18.8	56.0%	53.0%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.8	33.1%	32.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	21.0	14.2	67.6%	74.2%	14.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	19.2	46.4%	53.0%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	7.2	30.9%	32.9%	21.8
🏀 Free throws	24.1	17.3	71.8%	74.2%	17.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	19.2	55.6%	53.0%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	8.0	31.7%	32.9%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	25.4	20.0	78.6%	74.2%	20.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.6	18.8	56.0%	53.0%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.8	33.1%	32.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	21.0	14.2	67.6%	74.2%	14.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Ourense

WWLLLWWLWL

Caja 87

LWLLWWLLWW

League position

#11

-5.1

Net rating

-1.7

110.3

Offensive rating

108.7

115.4

Defensive rating

110.4

49.6%

Effective FG%

49.7%

53.3%

Opp. effective FG%

53.2%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.41

Free-throw rate

0.32

30.5%

3-point %

34.1%

53.1%

Assist %

45.9%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Ourense ■ Caja 87

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Caja 87 wins

No previous meetings.

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Fuenlabrada	86-84
31/10/26	H	Fibwi Palma	83-73
24/10/26	A	Palencia	80-84
16/10/26	H	Alicante	79-83
10/10/26	H	Estela	86-101
04/10/26	A	Gipuzkoa	90-86
26/09/26	H	Tizona Burgos	91-71
08/05/26	H	Oviedo	70-74
03/05/26	A	Melilla	93-84
26/04/26	A	Hestia Menorca	70-73

Caja 87last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	H	Tizona Burgos	73-75
31/10/26	A	Hestia Menorca	73-69
25/10/26	H	Granada	81-84 OT
17/10/26	A	Cordoba	81-83
11/10/26	H	Fuenlabrada	77-74
02/10/26	H	Palmer Basket	81-72
27/09/26	A	Estudiantes	65-78
30/05/26	A	Sant Antoni	56-71
23/05/26	H	Sant Antoni	91-72
16/05/26	H	Spanish Basketball Academy	81-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	57%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	57%	50%	67%
Points / game	85.0	84.8	85.3
Allowed / game	83.1	82.0	84.7
Point differential	+1.9	+2.8	+0.7
Avg total	168.1	166.8	170.0
Over 158.75	86%	75%	100%
Win by 10+	29%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Caja 87

Primera FEB 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	43%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	50%	33%
Points / game	75.9	78.0	73.0
Allowed / game	76.4	76.2	76.7
Point differential	-0.6	+1.8	-3.7
Avg total	152.3	154.2	149.7
Over 158.75	29%	25%	33%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	14%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alicante	7	7	0	100%	90.9	76.7	+14.1
2	Estudiantes	8	7	1	88%	89.8	77.4	+12.4
3	Palencia	7	6	1	86%	82.0	72.4	+9.6
4	Gran Canaria	8	6	2	75%	91.0	76.5	+14.5
5	Estela	7	5	2	71%	81.3	78.1	+3.1
6	Ourense	7	4	3	57%	85.0	83.1	+1.9
7	Palmer Basket	7	4	3	57%	87.4	86.4	+1.0
8	Oviedo	7	4	3	57%	80.9	84.4	-3.6
9	Granada	8	4	4	50%	79.1	80.8	-1.6
10	Caja 87	7	3	4	43%	75.9	76.4	-0.6
11	Zamora	7	3	4	43%	78.1	80.9	-2.7
12	Albacete	7	3	4	43%	79.4	84.0	-4.6
13	Gipuzkoa	7	2	5	29%	77.3	90.3	-13.0
14	Fuenlabrada	8	2	6	25%	77.9	80.4	-2.5
15	Cordoba	8	2	6	25%	71.0	76.6	-5.6
16	Tizona Burgos	8	2	6	25%	85.4	93.4	-8.0
17	Hestia Menorca	7	1	6	14%	68.9	76.0	-7.1
18	Fibwi Palma	7	1	6	14%	79.7	88.3	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	20	23	21	23	87
Caja 87	24	11	16	23	74

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Caja 87 Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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