Ovarense vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 91-87 (OT)

23-13 16-26 14-21 20-13 18-14

Position#9

Record4-12

FormLLLWL

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game82.2

Ovarense 🏆

Illiabum

Position#12

Record5-11

FormLLLWL

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game80.7

LPBRound 17

Other2019-20

Meetings · Ovarense v Illiabum

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illiabum winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

76-81

-5

A16/11

LPB

Maia

#13

79-60

+19

H23/11

LPB

Lusitania

#10

76-70

H01/12

LPB

Benfica

70-74

-4

A04/12

LPB

Esgueira

59-87

-28

A07/12

LPB

Vitoria

71-75

-4

A14/12

LPB

Barreirense

#11

80-91

-11

A21/12

LPB

Oliveirense

69-87

-18

A29/12

LPB

FC Porto

88-84 OT

H05/01

LPB

Sporting CP

56-108

108

-52

A11/01

LPB

25-18

21-18

20-20

10-25

16-14

21-14

24-17

18-15

19-18

27-14

13-14

17-24

19-18

16-18

15-14

20-24

20-23

8-23

20-11

11-30

9-21

26-16

14-21

22-17

17-29

23-20

19-17

21-25

16-18

14-22

18-23

21-24

15-22

14-19

25-21

25-17

7-26

14-27

19-31

16-24

154.1Avg total

72.4Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	72.6	82.2	154.8	-9.6	25%
Season at home (6)	75.5	75.8	151.3	-0.3	67%
Season away (10)	70.8	86.0	156.8	-15.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.4	81.7	154.1	-9.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	89.0	161.8	-16.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	68.5	84.8	153.3	-16.4	12%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	73.0	75.7	148.7	-2.7	33%
vs Weaker (10)	82.8	73.8	156.6	+9.0	70%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

79-106

106

-27

A16/11

LPB

Esgueira

77-88

-11

H23/11

LPB

Barreirense

#11

69-82

-13

H01/12

LPB

Vitoria

81-89

-8

A04/12

LPB

Oliveirense

83-78

A08/12

LPB

FC Porto

63-84

-21

H14/12

LPB

Sporting CP

55-102

102

-47

A21/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

66-73

-7

H28/12

LPB

Terceira

#14

125-74

125

+51

A04/01

LPB

Galitos

85-90 OT

-5

H11/01

LPB

22-29

17-29

18-23

22-25

21-29

17-26

19-14

20-19

9-26

24-21

14-22

22-13

31-19

20-22

16-23

14-25

15-26

18-15

23-21

27-16

17-19

16-16

11-27

19-22

17-21

10-27

12-29

16-25

17-21

12-22

19-16

18-14

29-17

33-18

28-26

35-13

19-19

22-19

9-17

19-14

164.9Avg total

78.3Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	76.9	80.7	157.6	-3.8	31%
Season at home (8)	73.5	77.4	150.9	-3.9	25%
Season away (8)	80.2	84.0	164.2	-3.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	86.6	164.9	-8.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	84.6	163.4	-5.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	72.7	87.7	160.3	-15.0	8%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	78.3	80.9	159.2	-2.6	57%
vs Weaker (4)	88.8	73.8	162.5	+15.0	50%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OvarenseIlliabum

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.5	38.0	-3.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.5	21.7	38.2	-5.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.7	37.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	23.2	36.0	-10.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	15.9	22.4	38.2	-6.5	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	20.7	17.7	38.3	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	21.4	40.1	-2.8	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.6	42.3	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.3	16.8	36.2	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.5	20.2	37.8	-2.7	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.3	19.9	36.2	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.0	39.5	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.9	20.8	38.8	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.7	21.1	38.8	-3.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	-

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

46-36

+10

A16/11

LPB

Maia

#13

37-28

H23/11

LPB

Lusitania

#10

46-32

+14

H01/12

LPB

Benfica

35-36

-1

A04/12

LPB

Esgueira

28-46

-18

A07/12

LPB

Vitoria

35-37

-2

A14/12

LPB

Barreirense

#11

40-49

-9

A21/12

LPB

Oliveirense

30-40

-10

A29/12

LPB

FC Porto

29-41

-12

H05/01

LPB

Sporting CP

21-53

-32

A11/01

LPB

74.5Avg total

34.7Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	39.3	75.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.0	35.8	73.8	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.0	41.9	75.9	-7.9	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	39.8	74.5	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	44.0	75.0	-13.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	32.2	42.2	74.4	-10.1	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	41.7	33.7	75.3	+8.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.0	36.0	76.0	+4.0	70%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

39-58

-19

A16/11

LPB

Esgueira

38-55

-17

H23/11

LPB

Barreirense

#11

33-47

-14

H01/12

LPB

Vitoria

51-41

+10

A04/12

LPB

Oliveirense

33-41

-8

A08/12

LPB

FC Porto

33-35

-2

H14/12

LPB

Sporting CP

27-48

-21

A21/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

29-43

-14

H28/12

LPB

Terceira

#14

62-35

+27

A04/01

LPB

Galitos

41-38

H11/01

LPB

82.7Avg total

38.6Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	42.7	80.1	-5.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.1	41.6	78.7	-4.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.7	43.7	81.4	-6.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	44.1	82.7	-5.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	39.8	78.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.3	42.8	79.1	-6.4	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.4	43.4	80.8	-6.1	21%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.2	39.2	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-2.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.4	22.3	40.6	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	15.7	17.7	33.3	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	17.3	38.6	+4.0	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	19.1	36.4	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.8	38.7	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	23.0	38.8	-7.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	14.9	21.2	36.1	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	19.2	38.2	-0.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	21.7	39.9	-3.5	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	22.5	40.6	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	15.7	24.3	40.0	-8.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.8	12.2	39.0	+14.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	40.8	78.4	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.8	37.6	76.5	+1.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.8	43.2	79.9	-6.4	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	41.4	78.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	44.0	84.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	35.8	42.3	78.1	-6.5	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	31.3	42.0	73.3	-10.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.8	37.8	80.6	+5.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.1	78.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	37.6	75.8	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	40.4	80.4	-0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	40.4	78.5	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.6	77.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.0	43.2	78.2	-8.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.3	37.1	77.4	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.8	33.8	81.5	+14.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ovarense wins

Illiabum wins

Date	Game	Score
26/10/19	Illiabum v Ovarense	76-67
27/01/19	Ovarense v Illiabum	85-92
03/11/18	Illiabum v Ovarense	67-75
20/01/18	Illiabum v Ovarense	73-87
27/10/17	Ovarense v Illiabum	73-84
17/12/16	Ovarense v Illiabum	73-84
12/10/16	Illiabum v Ovarense	72-56
18/04/15	Ovarense v Illiabum	83-61
10/01/15	Illiabum v Ovarense	72-70
12/02/11	Ovarense v Illiabum	85-61

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/20	A	Sporting CP	56-108
05/01/20	H	FC Porto	88-84 OT
29/12/19	A	Oliveirense	69-87
21/12/19	A	Barreirense	80-91
14/12/19	A	Vitoria	71-75
07/12/19	A	Esgueira	59-87
04/12/19	A	Benfica	70-74
01/12/19	H	Lusitania	76-70
23/11/19	H	Maia	79-60
16/11/19	A	CAB Madeira	76-81

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/20	H	Galitos	85-90 OT
04/01/20	A	Terceira	125-74
28/12/19	H	CAB Madeira	66-73
21/12/19	A	Sporting CP	55-102
14/12/19	H	FC Porto	63-84
08/12/19	A	Oliveirense	83-78
04/12/19	A	Vitoria	81-89
01/12/19	H	Barreirense	69-82
23/11/19	H	Esgueira	77-88
16/11/19	A	Lusitania	79-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	25%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	6	10
Win %	25%	67%	0%
Points / game	72.6	75.5	70.8
Allowed / game	82.2	75.8	86.0
Point differential	-9.6	-0.3	-15.2
Avg total	154.8	151.3	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	100% (1)	0% (4)
Overtime %	6%	17%	0%

Illiabum

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	31%
Home	LLLLL	25%
Away	LLWLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	31%	25%	38%
Points / game	76.9	73.5	80.2
Allowed / game	80.7	77.4	84.0
Point differential	-3.8	-3.9	-3.8
Avg total	157.6	150.9	164.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	12%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	17	16	1	94%	93.8	68.5	+25.4
2	Benfica	17	16	1	94%	89.4	70.4	+19.0
3	FC Porto	17	14	3	82%	87.2	74.1	+13.2
4	Oliveirense	16	11	5	69%	84.3	74.2	+10.1
5	Vitoria	17	11	6	65%	81.5	77.1	+4.5
6	Galitos	16	8	8	50%	82.2	81.4	+0.9
7	Esgueira	16	7	9	44%	78.0	75.9	+2.1
8	Lusitania	16	6	10	38%	77.8	85.0	-7.2
9	Barreirense	16	6	10	38%	76.6	85.8	-9.1
10	CAB Madeira	17	6	11	35%	78.6	84.6	-5.9
11	Illiabum	16	5	11	31%	76.9	80.7	-3.8
12	Maia	17	5	12	29%	76.4	87.9	-11.5
13	Ovarense	16	4	12	25%	72.6	82.2	-9.6
14	Terceira	16	0	16	0%	69.3	99.9	-30.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Ovarense	23	16	14	20	18	91
Illiabum	13	26	21	13	14	87

← all games of the day

Ovarense vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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