Lusitania vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2019

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 106-79

29-22 29-17 23-18 25-22

Position#10

Record2-4

FormWWLLL

Points / game71.2

Allowed / game82.7

Lusitania 🏆

Illiabum

Position#12

Record3-3

FormWLWLL

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game70.8

LPBRound 7

Other2019-20

Meetings · Lusitania v Illiabum

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illiabum winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

90-82

A05/05

LPB

Ovarense

63-68

-5

A09/05

LPB

Ovarense

69-86

-17

A11/05

LPB

Ovarense

77-86

-9

H16/05

LPB

Esgueira

59-91

-32

H05/10

LPB

Vitoria

69-68

A12/10

LPB

Barreirense

#11

89-58

+31

H19/10

LPB

Oliveirense

70-92

-22

A26/10

LPB

FC Porto

75-96

-21

H02/11

LPB

Sporting CP

65-91

-26

A10/11

LPB

22-19

25-15

22-20

21-28

12-17

21-17

11-12

19-22

16-20

11-12

15-31

27-23

25-23

17-22

14-18

21-23

19-15

17-19

13-29

10-28

16-11

15-16

20-22

18-19

21-15

23-16

18-18

27-9

13-27

15-13

21-29

21-23

16-30

23-26

21-22

15-18

14-21

16-23

16-28

19-19

154.4Avg total

72.6Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	71.2	82.7	153.8	-11.5	33%
Season at home (3)	74.3	81.7	156.0	-7.3	33%
Season away (3)	68.0	83.7	151.7	-15.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.6	81.8	154.4	-9.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	81.0	154.6	-7.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	73.4	88.1	161.5	-14.7	16%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	88.0	81.5	169.5	+6.5	83%
vs Weaker (4)	87.0	72.2	159.2	+14.8	100%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

#10

83-78

A05/05

LPB

Oliveirense

68-90

-22

A09/05

LPB

Oliveirense

75-88

-13

A11/05

LPB

Oliveirense

69-92

-23

H16/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

69-66

A05/10

LPB

Terceira

#14

89-63

+26

H12/10

LPB

Galitos

78-81

-3

A19/10

LPB

Ovarense

76-67

H26/10

LPB

Maia

#13

72-76

-4

A02/11

LPB

Benfica

63-72

-9

H09/11

LPB

11-24

25-23

23-16

24-15

9-18

18-23

20-20

21-29

17-28

23-20

12-21

23-19

18-23

19-21

14-21

18-27

10-19

20-16

21-16

18-15

20-11

18-22

25-20

26-10

15-24

28-19

16-18

19-20

17-18

16-15

19-14

24-20

16-20

15-25

17-18

24-13

15-19

12-14

15-19

21-20

151.5Avg total

74.2Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	74.5	70.8	145.3	+3.7	50%
Season at home (3)	76.0	67.3	143.3	+8.7	67%
Season away (3)	73.0	74.3	147.3	-1.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	77.3	151.5	-3.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	71.8	147.4	+3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	75.1	86.2	161.3	-11.1	22%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	80.5	78.7	159.2	+1.8	65%
vs Weaker (3)	82.3	74.3	156.7	+8.0	67%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaIlliabum

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	19.6	42.6	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	21.9	39.8	-4.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.8	20.4	35.2	-5.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.4	35.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.7	22.7	42.3	-3.0	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	41%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	14.0	35.0	+7.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.5	38.5	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.9	36.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.2	21.4	38.5	-4.2	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	15.2	17.5	32.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	15.5	38.5	+7.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	20.2	37.7	-2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.3	20.6	37.9	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.6	19.5	38.1	-0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

47-34

+13

A05/05

LPB

Ovarense

33-34

-1

A09/05

LPB

Ovarense

27-32

-5

A11/05

LPB

Ovarense

42-45

-3

H16/05

LPB

Esgueira

36-34

H05/10

LPB

Vitoria

31-27

A12/10

LPB

Barreirense

#11

44-31

+13

H19/10

LPB

Oliveirense

28-40

-12

A26/10

LPB

FC Porto

39-56

-17

H02/11

LPB

Sporting CP

30-44

-14

A10/11

LPB

73.4Avg total

35.7Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	40.0	76.6	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	40.1	77.6	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	39.9	75.6	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	37.7	73.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	39.6	74.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	35.2	42.4	77.5	-7.2	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.0	37.7	76.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	33.8	74.8	+7.2	75%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

#10

36-47

-11

A05/05

LPB

Oliveirense

27-41

-14

A09/05

LPB

Oliveirense

40-48

-8

A11/05

LPB

Oliveirense

37-44

-7

H16/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

30-35

-5

A05/10

LPB

Terceira

#14

38-33

H12/10

LPB

Galitos

43-43

A19/10

LPB

Ovarense

33-33

H26/10

LPB

Maia

#13

31-45

-14

A02/11

LPB

Benfica

27-33

-6

H09/11

LPB

74.4Avg total

34.2Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	41.0	79.3	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	39.8	81.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.4	42.1	77.4	-6.7	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	40.2	74.4	-6.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	37.4	71.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.0	43.2	80.2	-6.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	39.1	40.9	79.9	-1.8	35%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.0	37.0	76.0	+2.0	67%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.7	41.5	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.8	42.5	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	22.9	40.0	-5.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.8	43.0	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.8	22.9	41.8	-4.1	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.5	59%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-3.1	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	24.0	21.2	45.2	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	15.5	36.5	+5.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	19.1	40.9	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.8	41.3	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.6	39.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.4	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	65%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	15.7	38.0	+6.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	42.5	82.6	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	42.1	82.2	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	42.8	83.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	44.1	81.0	-7.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.4	80.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.9	45.1	82.9	-7.2	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	46.0	42.2	88.2	+3.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.0	34.8	76.8	+7.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	38.9	78.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	38.1	78.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	39.6	78.9	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	37.1	77.1	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	34.4	75.6	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.1	43.0	81.1	-4.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.4	36.5	76.8	+3.9	65%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	37.3	80.7	+6.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Illiabum wins

Date	Game	Score
16/02/19	Lusitania v Illiabum	94-86 OT
17/11/18	Illiabum v Lusitania	85-78
13/01/18	Lusitania v Illiabum	92-97
21/10/17	Illiabum v Lusitania	95-98
28/01/17	Lusitania v Illiabum	78-82
12/11/16	Illiabum v Lusitania	79-54
07/03/15	Lusitania v Illiabum	72-62
06/12/14	Illiabum v Lusitania	62-75
26/03/11	Lusitania v Illiabum	96-91
18/12/10	Illiabum v Lusitania	73-78

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/19	A	Sporting CP	65-91
02/11/19	H	FC Porto	75-96
26/10/19	A	Oliveirense	70-92
19/10/19	H	Barreirense	89-58
12/10/19	A	Vitoria	69-68
05/10/19	H	Esgueira	59-91
16/05/19	H	Ovarense	77-86
11/05/19	A	Ovarense	69-86
09/05/19	A	Ovarense	63-68
05/05/19	A	Ovarense	90-82

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/19	H	Benfica	63-72
02/11/19	A	Maia	72-76
26/10/19	H	Ovarense	76-67
19/10/19	A	Galitos	78-81
12/10/19	H	Terceira	89-63
05/10/19	A	CAB Madeira	69-66
16/05/19	H	Oliveirense	69-92
11/05/19	A	Oliveirense	75-88
09/05/19	A	Oliveirense	68-90
05/05/19	A	Vitoria	83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	33%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	71.2	74.3	68.0
Allowed / game	82.7	81.7	83.7
Point differential	-11.5	-7.3	-15.7
Avg total	153.8	156.0	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Illiabum

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	50%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	74.5	76.0	73.0
Allowed / game	70.8	67.3	74.3
Point differential	+3.7	+8.7	-1.3
Avg total	145.3	143.3	147.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	100%	89.4	74.1	+15.3
2	Benfica	7	6	1	86%	85.3	68.4	+16.9
3	Sporting CP	6	5	1	83%	93.7	70.5	+23.2
4	Oliveirense	6	5	1	83%	82.0	65.2	+16.8
5	Galitos	6	4	2	67%	82.5	78.2	+4.3
6	Illiabum	6	3	3	50%	74.5	70.8	+3.7
7	Maia	6	3	3	50%	77.2	82.3	-5.2
8	Vitoria	7	3	4	43%	72.6	74.9	-2.3
9	Esgueira	6	2	4	33%	74.5	70.7	+3.8
10	CAB Madeira	6	2	4	33%	81.7	85.2	-3.5
11	Lusitania	6	2	4	33%	71.2	82.7	-11.5
12	Ovarense	6	1	5	17%	72.8	83.0	-10.2
13	Barreirense	6	1	5	17%	68.7	88.0	-19.3
14	Terceira	7	0	7	0%	66.0	97.7	-31.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	29	29	23	25	106
Illiabum	22	17	18	22	79

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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