Ovarense vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 68-61

23-10 21-16 17-19 7-16

Position#6

Record12-11

FormLLWWW

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game78.8

Ovarense 🏆

Maia

Position#12

Record4-19

FormLLLLW

Points / game74.3

Allowed / game86.2

LPBRound 2

Other2016-17

Meetings · Ovarense v Maia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Maia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

74-83

-9

H08/01

LPB

Lusitania

#10

78-73 OT

A14/01

LPB

Sampaense

#11

88-67

+21

H21/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-91

-15

A28/01

LPB

Galitos

94-90 OT

H10/02

LPB

FC Porto

73-89

-16

A12/02

LPB

Vitoria

95-102 OT

102

-7

H17/02

LPB

Maia

#12

72-62

+10

A19/02

LPB

Oliveirense

67-65

H25/02

LPB

Lusitania

#10

102-77

102

+25

H05/03

LPB

19-29

19-15

22-23

14-16

22-13

12-18

17-21

20-19

27-13

16-17

23-17

22-20

19-18

17-29

20-24

20-20

15-12

27-30

16-15

16-17

14-18

21-27

22-23

16-21

23-17

26-23

22-28

13-16

11-20

25-13

17-16

19-13

16-25

11-11

21-14

19-15

27-17

30-18

23-23

22-19

161.8Avg total

81.9Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	77.4	78.8	156.2	-1.3	52%
Season at home (12)	81.5	79.2	160.7	+2.3	58%
Season away (11)	73.0	78.4	151.4	-5.4	45%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	79.9	161.8	+2.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	79.0	160.8	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	74.1	84.1	158.2	-10.0	18%
vs Similar (4)	83.5	87.8	171.2	-4.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	74.3	69.8	144.1	+4.5	73%

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Maia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

98-84

+14

H07/01

LPB

Benfica

66-89

-23

A14/01

LPB

Lusitania

#10

82-89

-7

H21/01

LPB

Sampaense

#11

74-89

-15

A29/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

72-93

-21

H11/02

LPB

Vitoria

74-102

102

-28

A12/02

LPB

Galitos

55-94

-39

A18/02

LPB

Ovarense

62-72

-10

H19/02

LPB

FC Porto

60-110

110

-50

A25/02

LPB

Electrico FC

103-96

103

H04/03

LPB

25-21

25-15

19-20

29-28

13-27

14-11

12-28

27-23

19-20

17-27

30-21

16-21

21-22

11-23

16-21

26-23

20-13

19-27

16-25

17-28

11-29

21-29

25-23

17-21

10-25

20-27

13-22

12-20

20-11

13-25

16-17

13-19

18-35

15-18

15-25

12-32

29-26

27-10

27-31

20-29

166.4Avg total

74.6Scored

91.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	74.3	86.2	160.4	-11.9	17%
Season at home (12)	77.2	82.7	159.8	-5.5	25%
Season away (11)	71.1	90.0	161.1	-18.9	9%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	91.8	166.4	-17.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	94.8	165.6	-24.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	67.9	84.7	152.6	-16.9	0%
vs Similar (9)	85.6	83.8	169.3	+1.8	56%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OvarenseMaia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.2	34.9	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.7	20.5	37.2	-3.7	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.5	17.7	37.1	+1.8	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	19.6	39.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	22.6	39.5	-5.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	22.9	41.5	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	25.2	42.8	-7.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.0	21.3	38.3	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.4	20.5	37.9	-3.2	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	24.0	44.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.0	16.3	34.3	+1.7	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	20.6	40.2	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.5	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

38-44

-6

H08/01

LPB

Lusitania

#10

34-31

A14/01

LPB

Sampaense

#11

43-30

+13

H21/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

36-47

-11

A28/01

LPB

Galitos

42-42

H10/02

LPB

FC Porto

35-45

-10

A12/02

LPB

Vitoria

49-40

H17/02

LPB

Maia

#12

36-33

A19/02

LPB

Oliveirense

27-36

-9

H25/02

LPB

Lusitania

#10

57-35

+22

H05/03

LPB

78.0Avg total

39.7Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	37.9	74.5	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	37.8	76.4	+0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	38.0	72.5	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.3	78.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.8	78.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.1	41.0	75.1	-6.9	18%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	44.0	84.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	37.5	34.0	71.5	+3.5	53%	-

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

50-36

+14

H07/01

LPB

Benfica

27-38

-11

A14/01

LPB

Lusitania

#10

36-47

-11

H21/01

LPB

Sampaense

#11

32-45

-13

A29/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

39-40

-1

H11/02

LPB

Vitoria

32-58

-26

A12/02

LPB

Galitos

30-52

-22

A18/02

LPB

Ovarense

33-36

-3

H19/02

LPB

FC Porto

33-53

-20

A25/02

LPB

Electrico FC

56-36

+20

H04/03

LPB

80.9Avg total

36.8Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	42.0	79.2	-4.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	40.2	79.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.7	44.1	78.9	-9.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	44.1	80.9	-7.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	47.0	83.8	-10.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	34.9	42.8	77.7	-7.9	19%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.6	40.3	82.9	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.5	38.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.6	21.8	42.5	-1.2	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	16.9	18.2	35.1	-1.3	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	20.6	37.1	-4.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	21.5	37.9	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.3	42.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.6	42.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	15.4	20.6	36.0	-5.2	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.0	22%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.3	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	21.5	40.8	-2.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.5	17.5	36.9	+2.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	24.4	43.3	-5.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	24.2	39.0	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.5	21.3	38.9	-3.8	19%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.1	21.6	45.7	+2.6	78%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.3	76.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	37.9	76.3	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	38.7	75.7	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	38.0	76.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	37.6	76.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.0	41.5	80.5	-2.5	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.5	39.8	78.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	36.4	35.7	72.1	+0.7	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	42.4	78.4	-6.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.8	42.4	79.2	-5.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.0	42.4	77.4	-7.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	47.7	85.5	-9.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	47.8	81.8	-13.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	33.0	42.0	74.9	-9.0	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.0	43.4	86.4	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ovarense wins

Maia wins

Date	Game	Score
19/02/17	Maia v Ovarense	62-72
07/12/16	Ovarense v Maia	81-71
13/12/15	Ovarense v Maia	75-56
12/12/15	Maia v Ovarense	80-76
21/02/15	Maia v Ovarense	63-58
22/11/14	Ovarense v Maia	81-50
13/04/14	Ovarense v Maia	82-68
12/01/14	Maia v Ovarense	58-71

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/17	H	Lusitania	102-77
25/02/17	H	Oliveirense	67-65
19/02/17	A	Maia	72-62
17/02/17	H	Vitoria	95-102 OT
12/02/17	A	FC Porto	73-89
10/02/17	H	Galitos	94-90 OT
28/01/17	A	CAB Madeira	76-91
21/01/17	H	Sampaense	88-67
14/01/17	A	Lusitania	78-73 OT
08/01/17	H	Benfica	74-83

Maialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/17	H	Electrico FC	103-96
25/02/17	A	FC Porto	60-110
19/02/17	H	Ovarense	62-72
18/02/17	A	Galitos	55-94
12/02/17	A	Vitoria	74-102
11/02/17	H	CAB Madeira	72-93
29/01/17	A	Sampaense	74-89
21/01/17	H	Lusitania	82-89
14/01/17	A	Benfica	66-89
07/01/17	H	Electrico FC	98-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	52%
Home	WWLWW	58%
Away	WWLLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	52%	58%	45%
Points / game	77.4	81.5	73.0
Allowed / game	78.8	79.2	78.4
Point differential	-1.3	+2.3	-5.4
Avg total	156.2	160.7	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	25%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	13%	17%	9%

Maia

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	17%
Home	WLLLW	25%
Away	LLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	17%	25%	9%
Points / game	74.3	77.2	71.1
Allowed / game	86.2	82.7	90.0
Point differential	-11.9	-5.5	-18.9
Avg total	160.4	159.8	161.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	23	19	4	83%	85.3	68.2	+17.1
2	Benfica	23	18	5	78%	81.0	69.0	+12.0
3	Oliveirense	23	17	6	74%	72.2	64.7	+7.4
4	Vitoria	23	17	6	74%	81.5	75.5	+6.0
5	Galitos	23	14	9	61%	75.8	72.4	+3.3
6	CAB Madeira	23	12	11	52%	79.8	76.8	+3.0
7	Illiabum	23	12	11	52%	76.7	76.0	+0.7
8	Ovarense	23	12	11	52%	77.4	78.8	-1.3
9	Lusitania	23	6	17	26%	75.4	83.1	-7.7
10	Electrico FC	23	4	19	17%	74.8	86.5	-11.7
11	Maia	23	4	19	17%	74.3	86.2	-11.9
12	Sampaense	23	3	20	13%	70.2	87.1	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ovarense	23	21	17	7	68
Maia	10	16	19	16	61

← all games of the day

Ovarense vs Maia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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