Bayreuth vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 88-78

12-27 27-16 17-14 32-21

Position#11

Record14-18

FormLLWLL

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game85.3

Bayreuth 🏆

Paderborn

Position#18

Record7-25

FormWLLLL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game85.8

Pro ARound 33· Oberfrankenhalle

Other2023-24

Meetings · Bayreuth v Paderborn

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paderborn winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bayreuth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

PS Karlsruhe

77-71

H18/02

Pro A

Bochum

#17

66-98

-32

A01/03

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

97-95 OT

A03/03

Pro A

Frankfurt

62-80

-18

H10/03

Pro A

Munster

111-116 OT

111

116

-5

A16/03

Pro A

Trier

76-99

-23

H23/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

67-87

-20

A30/03

Pro A

Dresden

86-80

H03/04

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#10

84-87

-3

H07/04

Pro A

Koblenz

#16

63-93

-30

A13/04

Pro A

25-17

17-19

9-15

26-20

21-26

16-31

17-17

12-24

18-24

17-17

20-18

17-13

12-21

18-19

17-18

15-22

21-27

24-26

20-26

30-16

21-23

14-21

20-32

18-16

12-28

18-27

19-16

17-22

14-17

26-19

29-22

25-16

21-21

14-29

24-21

17-27

20-21

19-17

7-28

169.5Avg total

78.9Scored

90.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	82.0	85.3	167.3	-3.3	44%
Season at home (16)	84.6	80.8	165.4	+3.8	69%
Season away (16)	79.4	89.8	169.2	-10.4	19%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	90.6	169.5	-11.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	89.2	164.4	-14.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	80.3	82.5	162.8	-2.2	57%
vs Similar (15)	84.1	90.2	174.3	-6.1	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	80.0	84.0	164.0	-4.0	0%

This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paderborn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dusseldorf

#15

88-71

+17

A17/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

70-71

-1

H01/03

Pro A

Giessen

70-92

-22

A03/03

Pro A

Vechta 2

#13

89-77

+12

H09/03

Pro A

Artland

#14

72-73

-1

A16/03

Pro A

Jena

77-73

H23/03

Pro A

Dresden

68-107

107

-39

A31/03

Pro A

Frankfurt

72-78

-6

H03/04

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

75-108

108

-33

A07/04

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#10

90-98

-8

H13/04

Pro A

16-13

25-25

25-15

22-18

18-18

18-22

16-19

18-12

18-22

20-28

13-21

19-21

25-15

26-14

18-24

20-24

25-13

28-19

11-21

8-20

16-16

23-18

20-22

18-17

22-28

16-27

16-20

14-32

17-21

20-15

12-21

23-21

25-21

18-30

18-23

14-34

26-26

26-19

20-26

18-27

161.9Avg total

77.1Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	77.6	85.8	163.3	-8.2	22%
Season at home (16)	81.1	83.3	164.4	-2.2	31%
Season away (16)	74.0	88.2	162.2	-14.2	12%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	84.8	161.9	-7.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	92.8	169.2	-16.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	77.5	89.6	167.1	-12.0	10%
vs Similar (10)	78.2	78.5	156.7	-0.3	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayreuthPaderborn

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.3	18.9	39.1	+1.4	64%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.5	23.1	43.7	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.9	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.3	17.1	39.4	+5.2	90%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.4	20.1	37.4	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.9	21.5	42.3	-0.6	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.7	41.1	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	24.3	43.0	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.1	22.2	41.2	-3.1	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

PS Karlsruhe

42-36

H18/02

Pro A

Bochum

#17

37-57

-20

A01/03

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

35-41

-6

A03/03

Pro A

Frankfurt

30-40

-10

H10/03

Pro A

Munster

45-53

-8

A16/03

Pro A

Trier

42-46

-4

H23/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

30-44

-14

A30/03

Pro A

Dresden

31-39

-8

H03/04

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#10

46-37

H07/04

Pro A

Koblenz

#16

37-48

-11

A13/04

Pro A

81.6Avg total

37.5Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.7	81.5	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	39.4	81.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	44.1	81.2	-6.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	44.1	81.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	42.8	80.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.6	38.9	76.6	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	41.4	44.6	86.0	-3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dusseldorf

#15

41-38

A17/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

36-40

-4

H01/03

Pro A

Giessen

38-50

-12

A03/03

Pro A

Vechta 2

#13

51-29

+22

H09/03

Pro A

Artland

#14

53-32

+21

A16/03

Pro A

Jena

39-34

H23/03

Pro A

Dresden

38-55

-17

A31/03

Pro A

Frankfurt

37-36

H03/04

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

43-51

-8

A07/04

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#10

52-45

H13/04

Pro A

83.8Avg total

42.8Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	41.8	81.9	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	39.5	80.1	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	44.1	83.7	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	41.0	83.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	44.2	86.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	38.8	43.9	82.7	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.6	37.7	80.3	+4.9	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.2	41.7	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.7	38.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	21.5	38.7	-4.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.2	38.1	-4.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.4	39.6	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.6	22.6	40.2	-5.1	15%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.5	19.2	35.7	-2.7	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	21.7	40.5	-3.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.8	43.6	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	22.2	21.1	43.4	+1.1	57%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.3	37.9	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	23.1	41.4	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	26.2	43.6	-8.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	42.5	83.1	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	42.9	82.7	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	42.1	79.4	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	46.4	84.4	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	41.7	42.0	83.7	-0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.9	42.7	82.6	-2.7	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	36.0	46.0	82.0	-10.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	42.2	78.3	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	40.0	77.1	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	44.3	79.6	-9.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	43.8	78.1	-9.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	48.6	83.2	-14.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.8	43.5	80.2	-6.7	10%	-
vs Similar (10)	34.9	39.6	74.5	-4.7	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	16.0	53.3%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	11.3	37.9%	-	33.9
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.1	71.2%	-	14.1

They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Paderborntheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	21.2	60.4%	-	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	12.8	42.2%	-	38.4
🏀 Free throws	16.7	13.1	78.4%	-	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	16.1	52.1%	-	32.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.6	37.6%	-	31.9
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.5	73.0%	-	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	21.2	57.5%	-	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	11.1	39.4%	-	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.9	74.3%	-	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayreuth wins

Paderborn wins

Date	Game	Score
13/01/24	Paderborn v Bayreuth	84-80

Bayreuthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/04/24	A	Koblenz	63-93
07/04/24	H	Bremerhaven	84-87
03/04/24	H	Dresden	86-80
30/03/24	A	Kirchheim	67-87
23/03/24	H	Trier	76-99
16/03/24	A	Munster	111-116 OT
10/03/24	H	Frankfurt	62-80
03/03/24	A	Nurnberger	97-95 OT
01/03/24	A	Bochum	66-98
18/02/24	H	PS Karlsruhe	77-71

Paderbornlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/04/24	H	Bremerhaven	90-98
07/04/24	A	PS Karlsruhe	75-108
03/04/24	H	Frankfurt	72-78
31/03/24	A	Dresden	68-107
23/03/24	H	Jena	77-73
16/03/24	A	Artland	72-73
09/03/24	H	Vechta 2	89-77
03/03/24	A	Giessen	70-92
01/03/24	H	Kirchheim	70-71
17/02/24	A	Dusseldorf	88-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth

Pro A 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	44%
Home	WLLWL	69%
Away	LWLLL	19%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	44%	69%	19%
Points / game	82.0	84.6	79.4
Allowed / game	85.3	80.8	89.8
Point differential	-3.3	+3.8	-10.4
Avg total	167.3	165.4	169.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	31%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	60% (5)	20% (5)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

Paderborn

Pro A 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	22%
Home	LWWLL	31%
Away	WLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	22%	31%	12%
Points / game	77.6	81.1	74.0
Allowed / game	85.8	83.3	88.2
Point differential	-8.2	-2.2	-14.2
Avg total	163.3	164.4	162.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	6%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (10)	29% (7)	0% (3)
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Trier	32	27	5	84%	89.2	79.3	+10.0
2	Frankfurt	32	23	9	72%	80.0	73.0	+7.0
3	Giessen	32	23	9	72%	86.0	81.1	+4.9
4	Jena	32	22	10	69%	85.0	78.5	+6.5
5	Phoenix Hagen	32	22	10	69%	87.5	83.0	+4.5
6	Kirchheim	32	21	11	66%	82.1	80.2	+1.8
7	PS Karlsruhe	32	18	14	56%	81.7	78.8	+2.9
8	Munster	32	18	14	56%	82.9	83.3	-0.4
9	Dresden	32	16	16	50%	86.3	81.7	+4.6
10	Bremerhaven	32	16	16	50%	84.2	84.7	-0.5
11	Bayreuth	32	14	18	44%	82.0	85.3	-3.3
12	Vechta 2	32	12	20	38%	82.5	86.0	-3.4
13	Nurnberger	32	11	21	34%	79.2	83.1	-3.8
14	Artland	32	10	22	31%	81.5	86.2	-4.7
15	Koblenz	32	10	22	31%	74.2	80.0	-5.8
16	Bochum	32	9	23	28%	83.7	89.1	-5.4
17	Dusseldorf	32	9	23	28%	78.2	84.9	-6.8
18	Paderborn	32	7	25	22%	77.6	85.8	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bayreuth	12	27	17	32	88
Paderborn	27	16	14	21	78

← all games of the day

Bayreuth vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature