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Palencia vs Albacete Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 07 May 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.0
Palencia
Spain
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Albacete
Spain
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game83.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 34
Other2026-27
Meetings · Palencia v Albacete
07 May 2027
PAL v ALBA
upcoming
02 Dec 2022
PAL101
ALBA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Albacete win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 78
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 78
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 78
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 78
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 78
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 78
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 78
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
13-25
22-20
25-16
24-19
19-17
19-14
24-21
23-21
13-7
16-18
22-12
21-19
27-20
16-19
26-14
17-24
154.4Avg total
81.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.573.0155.5+9.588%
Season at home (4)79.269.8149.0+9.5100%
Season away (4)85.876.2162.0+9.575%
Last 10 (10)81.772.7154.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
vs Similar (4)85.584.5170.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.869.6153.4+14.292%
This opponent (Albacete) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlbaceteSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlbacete
Date
Competition
Castello
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
no box
H24/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
68-66
68
66
+2
no box
A31/05
Segunda FEB
Palencia
#3
L
69-95
69
95
-26
47avg 75
H26/09
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
104-92
104
92
+12
97avg 75
A02/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
81avg 75
H10/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
75-97
75
97
-22
71avg 75
A17/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
81avg 75
H25/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
56-62
56
62
-6
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
no box
A15/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
14-13
17-19
12-10
14-21
21-8
10-13
23-24
20-25
14-27
23-23
12-20
22-30
32-18
22-20
28-24
23-18
20-16
15-15
23-22
25-27
12-28
15-15
23-27
20-23
23-19
19-19
20-20
18-15
24-25
15-29
32-21
14-18
11-16
20-14
11-14
19-13
22-22
15-21
15-24
156.3Avg total
76.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.483.5161.9-5.138%
Season at home (4)72.077.2149.2-5.250%
Season away (4)84.889.8174.5-5.025%
Last 10 (10)76.579.8156.3-3.350%
Last 5 (5)74.682.0156.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.689.8167.4-12.220%
vs Similar (17)75.574.1149.6+1.465%
vs Weaker (8)84.072.9156.9+11.1100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
PalenciaAlbacete
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/11
Primera FEB
73.9Avg total
40.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.575.4+6.487%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.134.176.2+8.186%-
Last 30 away (16)39.834.874.6+5.088%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.673.9+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.037.060.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (4)43.235.078.2+8.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.234.375.5+7.088%-
This opponent (Albacete) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlbaceteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Castello
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H24/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A31/05
Segunda FEB
Palencia
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H26/09
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A02/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A17/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A31/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H07/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/11
Primera FEB
79.9Avg total
39.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.878.6+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.837.176.9+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.280.0-0.556%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.479.9-0.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.278.8-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.047.086.0-8.040%-
vs Similar (17)39.136.775.8+2.465%-
vs Weaker (8)41.838.179.9+3.662%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
53.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.2%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Albacetetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Albacete: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.2
54.9%
53.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.818.6
75.0%
74.2%18.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 07 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWWLWWWLW
Albacete
LLLWLWWLWW
#3
League position
#12
+6.0
Net rating
-6.6
110.8
Offensive rating
108.9
104.8
Defensive rating
115.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.4%
3-point %
32.6%
58.9%
Assist %
63.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 108.9Defence104.8 · 115.5Shooting50.3% · 52.3%3-point %35.4% · 32.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Palencia   ■ Albacete
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Palencia wins
0
Albacete wins
DateGameScore
26/09/26Albacete v Palencia69-95
31/03/23Albacete v Palencia80-88
02/12/22Palencia v Albacete101-81
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AZamora86-77
06/11/26HGranada72-56
31/10/26AEstela85-73
24/10/26HOurense84-80
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51
Albacetelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26APalmer Basket71-80
07/11/26HHestia Menorca56-62
31/10/26AZamora89-90
25/10/26HEstela82-81
17/10/26AGran Canaria75-97
10/10/26HCordoba81-71
02/10/26ATizona Burgos104-92
26/09/26HPalencia69-95
31/05/26ACastello68-66
24/05/26HCastello70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.579.285.8
Allowed / game73.069.876.2
Point differential+9.5+9.5+9.5
Avg total155.5149.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Albacete
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game78.472.084.8
Allowed / game83.577.289.8
Point differential-5.1-5.2-5.0
Avg total161.9149.2174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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