Palencia vs Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 84-54

18-16 20-14 24-10 22-14

Position#8

Record7-4

FormWLWWL

Points / game73.4

Allowed / game64.5

Palencia 🏆

Burgos

Position#1

Record7-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game69.7

Primera FEBRound 13

Other2014-15

Meetings · Palencia v Burgos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Burgos winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

65-63

A17/10

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

89-66

+23

H24/10

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#15

73-68

A02/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

65-73

-8

H07/11

Primera FEB

Navarra

76-80

-4

A11/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#13

79-61

+18

H16/11

Primera FEB

Melilla

69-73

-4

A21/11

Primera FEB

Breogan

75-50

+25

H28/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

58-46

+12

H05/12

Primera FEB

Baloncesto Valladolid

67-70

-3

A10/12

Primera FEB

15-14

16-8

21-16

13-25

23-14

23-16

31-18

12-18

21-20

13-17

24-10

15-21

16-25

16-10

18-15

15-23

22-16

17-20

19-18

18-26

23-17

14-19

26-15

16-10

16-18

17-14

18-17

18-24

23-6

21-17

16-11

15-16

21-11

10-12

2-14

25-9

17-25

13-14

7-17

30-14

136.6Avg total

71.6Scored

65.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	73.4	64.5	137.8	+8.9	64%
Season at home (6)	76.2	59.2	135.3	+17.0	83%
Season away (5)	70.0	70.8	140.8	-0.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	71.6	65.0	136.6	+6.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	60.0	129.6	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	70.4	72.7	143.1	-2.3	43%
vs Similar (3)	74.3	70.7	145.0	+3.7	33%
vs Weaker (20)	72.4	63.1	135.6	+9.3	80%

This opponent (Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Burgos

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Huesca

#12

74-59

+15

H10/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#10

68-71

-3

A17/10

Primera FEB

Rincon

#14

80-59

+21

A01/11

Primera FEB

Ourense

91-95

-4

H07/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

88-93 OT

-5

A12/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#15

76-67

H16/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

79-59

+20

A22/11

Primera FEB

Navarra

88-60

+28

H28/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#13

89-68

+21

A05/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

89-68

+21

H10/12

Primera FEB

23-6

19-21

16-15

16-17

21-17

10-18

17-24

20-12

24-17

8-17

26-11

22-14

27-23

22-20

22-23

20-29

20-13

24-24

23-15

14-29

20-18

22-18

17-10

17-21

22-17

22-19

13-17

22-6

24-5

22-13

17-22

25-20

32-15

20-16

16-17

21-20

13-21

25-21

31-17

20-9

152.1Avg total

82.2Scored

69.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	79.7	69.7	149.5	+10.0	64%
Season at home (5)	83.6	69.8	153.4	+13.8	80%
Season away (6)	76.5	69.7	146.2	+6.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	69.9	152.1	+12.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	64.4	148.6	+19.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	91.0	84.0	175.0	+7.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	80.7	68.8	149.5	+12.0	76%

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaBurgos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	16.8	35.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	16.8	35.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	16.8	35.3	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.6	36.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.4	35.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	57%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.8	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	16.7	38.5	+5.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	16.7	37.6	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	16.8	39.5	+5.9	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	15.2	37.8	+7.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	15.2	37.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	21.9	16.6	38.6	+5.3	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	16.0	33.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	14.7	33.1	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	17.3	34.0	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	14.7	30.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	15.2	30.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.3	15.4	35.7	+4.9	71%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	16.4	15.7	32.0	+0.7	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.0	37.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	17.3	38.6	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	28.0	17.0	45.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	55%	-

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

31-22

A17/10

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

46-30

+16

H24/10

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#15

34-37

-3

A02/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

32-35

-3

H07/11

Primera FEB

Navarra

39-36

A11/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#13

37-36

H16/11

Primera FEB

Melilla

33-32

A21/11

Primera FEB

Breogan

44-23

+21

H28/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

31-23

H05/12

Primera FEB

Baloncesto Valladolid

30-39

-9

A10/12

Primera FEB

67.0Avg total

35.7Scored

31.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	32.8	68.8	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	31.5	68.3	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	34.1	69.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	31.3	67.0	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	30.6	65.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	38.1	32.4	70.6	+5.7	86%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	34.8	32.2	67.0	+2.5	55%	-

This opponent (Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Huesca

#12

42-27

+15

H10/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#10

31-35

-4

A17/10

Primera FEB

Rincon

#14

32-34

-2

A01/11

Primera FEB

Ourense

49-43

H07/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

44-37

A12/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#15

42-36

H16/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

44-36

A22/11

Primera FEB

Navarra

46-18

+28

H28/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#13

52-31

+21

A05/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

38-42

-4

H10/12

Primera FEB

75.9Avg total

42.0Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	34.7	76.1	+6.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	34.0	76.2	+8.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	35.4	75.9	+5.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	33.9	75.9	+8.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	32.6	77.0	+11.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	46.0	37.0	83.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	41.2	34.6	75.8	+6.6	62%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	16.6	34.9	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	15.9	35.6	+3.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	17.3	34.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	15.1	33.3	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	14.8	28.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	14.3	18.7	33.0	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	18.6	14.8	33.3	+3.8	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.2	36.8	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	16.1	37.1	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.8	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	16.7	34.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	14.7	31.5	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.6	36.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	14.6	35.4	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	13.3	19.1	32.4	-5.9	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	15.0	35.7	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+2.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	15.5	34.6	+3.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	15.2	36.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	27.0	22.0	49.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.7	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	33.4	69.5	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	30.6	67.1	+5.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	36.1	71.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	33.7	69.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	29.4	64.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	32.3	40.3	72.6	-8.0	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	35.0	33.7	68.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	37.6	30.9	68.5	+6.7	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	34.2	73.6	+5.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	34.6	76.1	+6.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	33.7	71.2	+3.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	34.8	74.3	+4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	31.8	71.6	+8.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	45.0	47.0	92.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	39.3	33.7	73.0	+5.6	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Burgos wins

Date	Game	Score
18/05/14	Burgos v Palencia	78-60
16/05/14	Burgos v Palencia	73-64
11/05/14	Palencia v Burgos	64-69
09/05/14	Palencia v Burgos	77-62
21/02/14	Burgos v Palencia	77-79
15/11/13	Palencia v Burgos	74-63
15/03/13	Burgos v Palencia	101-75
30/11/12	Palencia v Burgos	62-93
30/03/12	Palencia v Burgos	79-87
09/12/11	Burgos v Palencia	73-62

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/14	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	67-70
05/12/14	H	Forca Lleida	58-46
28/11/14	H	Breogan	75-50
21/11/14	A	Melilla	69-73
16/11/14	H	Clavijo	79-61
11/11/14	A	Navarra	76-80
07/11/14	H	Oviedo	65-73
02/11/14	A	Prat Joventut	73-68
24/10/14	H	Iberojet Palma	89-66
17/10/14	A	Ourense	65-63

Burgoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/14	H	Melilla	89-68
05/12/14	A	Clavijo	89-68
28/11/14	H	Navarra	88-60
22/11/14	A	Oviedo	79-59
16/11/14	H	Prat Joventut	76-67
12/11/14	A	Iberojet Palma	88-93 OT
07/11/14	H	Ourense	91-95
01/11/14	A	Rincon	80-59
17/10/14	A	Leyma Coruna	68-71
10/10/14	H	Huesca	74-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	64%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	WWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	64%	83%	40%
Points / game	73.4	76.2	70.0
Allowed / game	64.5	59.2	70.8
Point differential	+8.9	+17.0	-0.8
Avg total	137.8	135.3	140.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	83%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	-	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Burgos

Primera FEB 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	64%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	LWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	64%	80%	50%
Points / game	79.7	83.6	76.5
Allowed / game	69.7	69.8	69.7
Point differential	+10.0	+13.8	+6.8
Avg total	149.5	153.4	146.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	60%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ourense	12	8	4	67%	74.9	67.7	+7.2
2	Breogan	12	8	4	67%	73.3	71.9	+1.4
3	Navarra	12	8	4	67%	69.3	69.5	-0.2
4	Burgos	11	7	4	64%	79.7	69.7	+10.0
5	Palencia	11	7	4	64%	73.4	64.5	+8.9
6	Baloncesto Valladolid	11	7	4	64%	70.6	70.9	-0.3
7	Forca Lleida	11	6	5	55%	69.5	68.4	+1.1
8	Iberojet Palma	12	6	6	50%	78.2	77.0	+1.2
9	Melilla	12	6	6	50%	74.0	74.2	-0.2
10	Huesca	11	5	6	45%	73.8	74.2	-0.4
11	Oviedo	11	5	6	45%	72.1	73.0	-0.9
12	Leyma Coruna	12	5	7	42%	69.3	71.6	-2.2
13	Rincon	11	3	8	27%	63.8	76.9	-13.1
14	Prat Joventut	12	3	9	25%	70.0	73.2	-3.2
15	Clavijo	13	3	10	23%	67.8	76.1	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	18	20	24	22	84
Burgos	16	14	10	14	54

← all games of the day

Palencia vs Burgos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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