Burgos vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 May 2014

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 73-64

9-16 22-17 28-17 14-14

Position#2

Record25-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game70.5

Burgos 🏆

Palencia

Position#3

Record26-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game73.2

Allowed / game66.7

Primera FEBLEB Oro - Final

Other2013-14

Meetings · Burgos v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Burgos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Burgos

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona B

#13

95-62

+33

H21/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

81-53

+28

A28/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

91-84

H04/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

91-70

+21

H11/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

84-70

+14

A20/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

68-64

H25/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

94-54

+40

H27/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

80-58

+22

A02/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

62-77

-15

A09/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

69-64

A11/05

Primera FEB

16-20

33-10

22-12

24-20

18-16

22-19

17-5

24-13

18-20

28-17

18-25

27-22

32-15

16-19

22-16

21-20

20-18

25-22

19-12

22-16

16-14

14-21

16-13

29-9

27-15

24-11

14-19

29-15

20-13

18-9

13-21

17-12

12-30

18-19

15-16

23-16

12-13

18-25

16-10

147.1Avg total

81.5Scored

65.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	79.8	70.5	150.3	+9.3	76%
Season at home (16)	82.4	70.3	152.7	+12.1	81%
Season away (17)	77.4	70.6	148.1	+6.8	71%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	65.6	147.1	+15.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	63.4	138.0	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	82.0	82.5	164.5	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	80.2	70.0	150.2	+10.2	75%

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#11

62-54

H28/03

Primera FEB

Navarra

#14

72-68

A04/04

Primera FEB

Rincon

#10

62-61

H11/04

Primera FEB

Rincon

#10

74-60

+14

A19/04

Primera FEB

Oviedo

87-47

+40

H25/04

Primera FEB

Oviedo

69-65

H27/04

Primera FEB

Oviedo

76-79

-3

A02/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

63-51

+12

A04/05

Primera FEB

Burgos

77-62

+15

H09/05

Primera FEB

Burgos

64-69

-5

H11/05

Primera FEB

15-13

21-18

14-16

12-7

9-20

20-16

22-24

21-8

17-15

9-13

20-15

16-18

22-17

16-19

16-10

20-14

28-14

10-4

23-18

26-11

15-18

20-19

16-12

18-16

22-12

18-19

20-20

16-28

11-15

14-13

9-5

29-18

12-17

30-12

19-18

16-15

16-23

13-12

25-18

10-16

132.2Avg total

70.6Scored

61.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	73.2	66.7	139.9	+6.6	76%
Season at home (18)	71.9	64.6	136.5	+7.3	78%
Season away (16)	74.8	69.0	143.8	+5.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	70.6	61.6	132.2	+9.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	65.2	135.0	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.3	71.5	145.8	+2.8	50%
vs Similar (2)	77.0	84.5	161.5	-7.5	0%
vs Weaker (22)	73.4	64.5	137.9	+9.0	91%

This opponent (Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BurgosPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	19.0	41.9	+3.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	15.7	38.1	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	13.6	37.6	+10.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.4	36.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	17.9	35.6	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	16.4	33.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	17.0	32.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.3	21.0	37.3	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	21.5	38.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (22)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	16.3	36.5	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	17.3	35.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	24.5	16.0	40.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	19.1	16.9	35.9	+2.2	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	16.5	35.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	15.2	34.1	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.1	37.6	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	14.5	31.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.3	15.5	36.8	+5.8	83%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	18.4	16.4	34.7	+2.0	59%	-

BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona B

#13

49-30

+19

H21/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

40-35

A28/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

46-37

H04/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

48-34

+14

H11/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

40-36

A20/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

38-30

H25/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

56-24

+32

H27/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

49-28

+21

A02/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

29-42

-13

A09/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

35-29

A11/05

Primera FEB

75.5Avg total

43.0Scored

32.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	34.8	76.4	+6.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	33.3	75.0	+8.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	36.3	77.8	+5.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	32.5	75.5	+10.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	30.6	72.0	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	43.5	39.0	82.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	41.5	34.5	76.0	+7.0	71%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#11

36-31

H28/03

Primera FEB

Navarra

#14

29-36

-7

A04/04

Primera FEB

Rincon

#10

26-28

-2

H11/04

Primera FEB

Rincon

#10

38-36

A19/04

Primera FEB

Oviedo

38-18

+20

H25/04

Primera FEB

Oviedo

35-37

-2

H27/04

Primera FEB

Oviedo

40-31

A02/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

25-28

-3

A04/05

Primera FEB

Burgos

42-29

+13

H09/05

Primera FEB

Burgos

29-35

-6

H11/05

Primera FEB

64.7Avg total

33.8Scored

30.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	35.0	72.1	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.6	33.1	69.7	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	37.1	74.9	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	30.9	64.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	32.0	66.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.7	36.5	74.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.0	43.0	82.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (22)	36.9	33.8	70.7	+3.0	64%	-

This opponent (Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.1	38.0	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.1	36.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.5	36.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	18.5	24.5	43.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.5	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	16.6	34.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	16.2	35.2	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.8	17.1	32.9	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	15.6	34.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	14.6	32.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	16.7	15.8	32.5	+0.9	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	16.3	34.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.6	35.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	15.8	30.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	15.6	34.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	15.6	33.1	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	15.6	36.8	+5.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	15.1	33.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	19.9	14.9	34.7	+5.0	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	36.1	74.8	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	37.7	79.2	+3.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	34.5	70.4	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	33.1	71.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	32.8	66.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	38.5	43.5	82.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	38.8	35.5	74.3	+3.2	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	32.2	68.9	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	31.9	68.2	+4.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	32.6	69.6	+4.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	30.7	67.5	+6.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	33.2	68.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.7	35.0	71.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.0	41.5	79.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (22)	36.5	30.6	67.2	+5.9	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Burgos wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
11/05/14	Palencia v Burgos	64-69
09/05/14	Palencia v Burgos	77-62
21/02/14	Burgos v Palencia	77-79
15/11/13	Palencia v Burgos	74-63
15/03/13	Burgos v Palencia	101-75
30/11/12	Palencia v Burgos	62-93
30/03/12	Palencia v Burgos	79-87
09/12/11	Burgos v Palencia	73-62
25/02/11	Burgos v Palencia	81-62
12/11/10	Palencia v Burgos	59-69

Burgoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/14	A	Palencia	69-64
09/05/14	A	Palencia	62-77
02/05/14	A	Breogan	80-58
27/04/14	H	Breogan	94-54
25/04/14	H	Breogan	68-64
20/04/14	A	Clavijo	84-70
11/04/14	H	Clavijo	91-70
04/04/14	H	MoraBanc Andorra	91-84
28/03/14	A	Leyma Coruna	81-53
21/03/14	H	Barcelona B	95-62

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/14	H	Burgos	64-69
09/05/14	H	Burgos	77-62
04/05/14	A	Oviedo	63-51
02/05/14	A	Oviedo	76-79
27/04/14	H	Oviedo	69-65
25/04/14	H	Oviedo	87-47
19/04/14	A	Rincon	74-60
11/04/14	H	Rincon	62-61
04/04/14	A	Navarra	72-68
28/03/14	H	Melilla	62-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Burgos

Primera FEB 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	76%
Home	WWWWW	81%
Away	WWWLW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	76%	81%	71%
Points / game	79.8	82.4	77.4
Allowed / game	70.5	70.3	70.6
Point differential	+9.3	+12.1	+6.8
Avg total	150.3	152.7	148.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	44%	47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	60% (5)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	76%
Home	WWWWL	78%
Away	LWWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	18	16
Win %	76%	78%	75%
Points / game	73.2	71.9	74.8
Allowed / game	66.7	64.6	69.0
Point differential	+6.6	+7.3	+5.8
Avg total	139.9	136.5	143.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	22%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (18)	67% (12)	67% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	26	21	5	81%	84.9	73.3	+11.5
2	Palencia	34	26	8	76%	73.2	66.7	+6.6
3	Burgos	33	25	8	76%	79.8	70.5	+9.3
4	Breogan	32	20	12	62%	73.8	70.8	+3.1
5	Oviedo	32	17	15	53%	75.8	76.9	-1.1
6	Leyma Coruna	28	14	14	50%	72.4	72.9	-0.5
7	Huesca	29	14	15	48%	71.6	70.9	+0.7
8	Clavijo	28	13	15	46%	75.1	77.6	-2.5
9	Forca Lleida	26	11	15	42%	75.8	76.5	-0.7
10	Rincon	28	11	17	39%	69.1	71.9	-2.8
11	Melilla	26	10	16	38%	72.3	74.7	-2.4
12	Ourense	26	8	18	31%	69.7	73.3	-3.7
13	Barcelona B	26	5	21	19%	65.5	76.0	-10.6
14	Navarra	26	5	21	19%	68.8	80.4	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Burgos	9	22	28	14	73
Palencia	16	17	17	14	64

← all games of the day

Burgos vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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