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Palencia vs Obradoiro CAB Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-87
29-26 20-20 21-13 15-28
Position#3
Record9-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game73.2
Palencia
Spain
vs
Obradoiro CAB 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game77.6
SpainPrimera FEBRound 15
Other2025-26
Meetings · Palencia v Obradoiro CAB
04 Jan 2026
PAL85
OKA87
05 Dec 2024
PAL91
OKA83
09 May 2024
PAL75
OKA81
21 Nov 2010
PAL67
OKA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Obradoiro CAB winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
75-80
75
80
-5
50avg 75
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
59-79
59
79
-20
44avg 75
H31/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
102-77
102
77
+25
91avg 75
A08/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
79avg 75
H14/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
83-52
83
52
+31
no box
H22/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 75
A07/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
64-76
64
76
-12
40avg 75
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
85avg 75
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 75
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
81avg 75
H28/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
16-20
17-10
19-28
21-14
20-17
12-27
6-21
18-23
42-10
18-27
24-17
32-20
12-16
19-19
25-25
22-18
20-11
19-12
22-11
22-22
25-24
12-12
16-24
11-20
13-24
15-16
25-16
18-25
26-25
27-17
22-19
17-25
14-15
17-18
19-15
25-23
29-14
22-25
15-14
155.8Avg total
79.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.973.2156.1+9.764%
Season at home (7)80.671.4152.0+9.171%
Season away (7)85.375.0160.3+10.357%
Last 10 (10)79.776.1155.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)78.078.6156.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.082.8166.8+1.225%
vs Weaker (25)85.677.6163.1+8.068%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
79-59
79
59
+20
74avg 80
H18/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 80
A26/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
70avg 80
A01/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
91avg 80
H08/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
94-68
94
68
+26
88avg 80
A15/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
99-89
99
89
+10
96avg 80
H23/11
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
97-69
97
69
+28
92avg 80
H06/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
106-80
106
80
+26
104avg 80
H16/12
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
115-45
115
45
+70
122avg 80
A21/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
103-99
103
99
+4
103avg 80
H28/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-16
24-9
16-18
24-18
16-21
17-21
22-18
27-20
13-17
18-20
21-18
30-12
24-21
18-17
21-18
28-15
23-17
26-20
17-16
29-26
23-21
24-24
23-18
23-25
23-12
26-12
25-20
29-21
27-22
32-17
18-20
30-9
31-20
29-9
25-7
31-26
21-19
24-28
27-26
167.4Avg total
94.4Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.277.6169.8+14.685%
Season at home (7)94.178.7172.9+15.486%
Season away (6)90.076.3166.3+13.783%
Last 10 (10)94.473.0167.4+21.4100%
Last 5 (5)104.076.4180.4+27.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.095.0177.0-13.00%
vs Similar (4)78.277.5155.8+0.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)89.874.2164.0+15.588%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +8.4+8.4Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +8.4+8.4Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
PalenciaObradoiro CAB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H31/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A08/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H22/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A07/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H28/12
Primera FEB
81.4Avg total
42.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.483.2+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.434.578.9+9.993%-
Last 30 away (15)45.342.287.5+3.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.881.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.483.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)44.039.083.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (4)48.044.092.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker (25)44.437.481.8+7.072%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H08/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A15/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H23/11
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H16/12
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
61-29
61
29
+32
A21/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H28/12
Primera FEB
86.5Avg total
49.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.180.6+6.587%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.635.380.9+10.3100%-
Last 30 away (14)41.139.180.2+2.171%-
Last 10 (10)49.137.486.5+11.7100%-
Last 5 (5)53.440.293.6+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.049.085.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (4)38.234.572.8+3.8100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.737.081.7+7.788%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.4%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.6
53.2%
51.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.8
34.2%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.815.2
85.4%
73.4%15.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WLWLLWWWLL
Obradoiro CAB
WWWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
-11.7
Net rating
+0.4
106.7
Offensive rating
113.5
118.4
Defensive rating
113.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.5%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.1%
3-point %
34.2%
64.2%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 113.5Defence118.4 · 113.1Shooting51.8% · 52.5%3-point %34.1% · 34.2%Ball care16.8% · 15.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Palencia   ■ Obradoiro CAB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Palencia wins
5
Obradoiro CAB wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25Obradoiro CAB v Palencia77-76
05/12/24Palencia v Obradoiro CAB91-83
09/05/24Palencia v Obradoiro CAB75-81
23/09/23Obradoiro CAB v Palencia84-64
06/03/11Obradoiro CAB v Palencia86-59
21/11/10Palencia v Obradoiro CAB67-81
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HTizona Burgos91-76
20/12/25AFuenlabrada67-73
17/12/25AFibwi Palma93-86
12/12/25HGipuzkoa64-76
07/12/25ALeyma Coruna75-82
22/11/25HEstudiantes83-52
14/11/25HOviedo88-80
08/11/25AZamora102-77
31/10/25HAlicante59-79
26/10/25AMelilla75-80
Obradoiro CABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HLeyma Coruna103-99
21/12/25APalmer Basket115-45
16/12/25HZamora106-80
06/12/25HFuenlabrada97-69
23/11/25HFibwi Palma99-89
15/11/25ACartagena94-68
08/11/25HTizona Burgos93-68
01/11/25AOviedo79-75
26/10/25AEstudiantes79-78
18/10/25HMelilla79-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW64%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game82.980.685.3
Allowed / game73.271.475.0
Point differential+9.7+9.1+10.3
Avg total156.1152.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Obradoiro CAB
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%86%83%
Points / game92.294.190.0
Allowed / game77.678.776.3
Point differential+14.6+15.4+13.7
Avg total169.8172.9166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1413193%92.678.1+14.5
2 Obradoiro CAB1311285%92.277.6+14.6
3 Estudiantes1411379%87.179.4+7.6
4 Alicante1410471%87.179.1+8.1
5 Palencia149564%82.973.2+9.7
6 Gipuzkoa148657%79.575.6+3.9
7 Hestia Menorca147750%82.277.9+4.4
8 Oviedo147750%83.480.6+2.9
9 Fibwi Palma147750%77.981.1-3.3
10 Zamora157847%86.988.2-1.3
11 Ourense136746%82.281.3+0.8
12 Fuenlabrada136746%80.285.2-5.0
13 Estela146843%77.686.1-8.5
14 Tizona Burgos1441029%84.589.1-4.6
15 Melilla1421214%76.187.1-11.1
16 Cartagena1421214%71.285.9-14.7
17 Palmer Basket1421214%69.086.1-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2920211585
Obradoiro CAB2620132887
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