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Fuenlabrada vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 73-67
25-17 15-14 18-17 15-19
Position#6
Record4-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#3
Record8-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game73.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 13
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fuenlabrada v Palencia
13 Mar 2027
FUE v PAL
upcoming
24 May 2026
FUE78
PAL72
22 May 2026
FUE88
PAL81
20 Dec 2025
FUE73
PAL67
11 Dec 2024
FUE82
PAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuenlabrada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
82-73
82
73
+9
81avg 77
H04/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
93-89
93
89
+4
85avg 77
A10/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
90-75
90
75
+15
81avg 77
H18/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 77
H25/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
75-101
75
101
-26
74avg 77
A31/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
49avg 77
H08/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
76-99
76
99
-23
61avg 77
A16/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
H22/11
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
58avg 77
A06/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 77
A16/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
20-25
20-12
18-18
22-23
22-19
23-25
26-22
21-15
25-21
27-20
17-19
20-21
31-20
21-24
27-16
16-28
21-23
15-28
23-22
19-20
15-29
24-19
13-24
28-24
15-30
17-22
16-23
12-23
15-21
20-23
23-20
25-23
12-23
12-26
20-25
15-29
26-16
22-17
23-29
169.6Avg total
81.1Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.188.5169.6-7.440%
Season at home (5)82.481.6164.0+0.860%
Season away (5)79.895.4175.2-15.620%
Last 10 (10)81.188.5169.6-7.440%
Last 5 (5)74.493.2167.6-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.593.8166.3-21.30%
vs Similar (8)88.684.5173.1+4.162%
vs Weaker (16)86.377.0163.3+9.388%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Estela
#12
W
107-58
107
58
+49
106avg 76
A11/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
89-64
89
64
+25
86avg 76
H17/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
L
75-80
75
80
-5
50avg 76
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
59-79
59
79
-20
44avg 76
H31/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
102-77
102
77
+25
91avg 76
A08/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
79avg 76
H14/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
83-52
83
52
+31
no box
H22/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 76
A07/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
64-76
64
76
-12
40avg 76
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
85avg 76
A17/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
32-13
22-24
25-10
18-18
30-13
17-21
24-12
23-22
16-20
17-10
19-28
21-14
20-17
12-27
6-21
18-23
42-10
18-27
24-17
32-20
12-16
19-19
25-25
22-18
20-11
19-12
22-11
22-22
25-24
12-12
16-24
11-20
13-24
15-16
25-16
18-25
26-25
27-17
22-19
156.9Avg total
83.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.673.0156.6+10.667%
Season at home (6)78.870.7149.5+8.267%
Season away (6)88.375.3163.7+13.067%
Last 10 (10)83.573.4156.9+10.160%
Last 5 (5)80.675.2155.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
vs Similar (5)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.077.0163.0+9.071%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
FuenlabradaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H04/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A10/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H18/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H25/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A31/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H08/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A16/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H22/11
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A06/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/12
Primera FEB
85.5Avg total
40.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.882.5-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.938.278.1+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.745.987.6-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.445.185.5-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.447.684.0-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.848.284.0-12.30%-
vs Similar (8)43.242.085.2+1.238%-
vs Weaker (16)41.439.280.6+2.162%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#12
W
60-24
60
24
+36
A11/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H31/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A08/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H22/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A07/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
Primera FEB
81.5Avg total
44.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.838.283.0+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.834.778.5+9.193%-
Last 30 away (15)45.741.787.5+4.053%-
Last 10 (10)44.936.681.5+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.039.083.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (5)47.443.290.6+4.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.237.281.4+7.175%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.7
48.1%
51.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.96.7
33.7%
33.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.415.3
71.5%
73.4%15.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.4%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fuenlabrada
LLLLLLWWWW
Palencia
WLLWWWLLWW
#6
League position
#3
-24.7
Net rating
-11.7
91.4
Offensive rating
106.7
116.1
Defensive rating
118.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.8%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
24.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.7%
3-point %
34.1%
58.7%
Assist %
64.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 106.7Defence116.1 · 118.4Shooting48.9% · 51.8%3-point %33.7% · 34.1%Ball care24.3% · 16.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Fuenlabrada   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fuenlabrada wins
1
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Palencia v Fuenlabrada89-88
11/12/24Fuenlabrada v Palencia82-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25AAlicante86-91
06/12/25AObradoiro CAB69-97
22/11/25HGipuzkoa70-87
16/11/25AEstudiantes76-99
08/11/25HOviedo71-92
31/10/25ALeyma Coruna75-101
25/10/25HFibwi Palma99-81
18/10/25HEstela90-75
10/10/25ATizona Burgos93-89
04/10/25HMelilla82-73
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25AFibwi Palma93-86
12/12/25HGipuzkoa64-76
07/12/25ALeyma Coruna75-82
22/11/25HEstudiantes83-52
14/11/25HOviedo88-80
08/11/25AZamora102-77
31/10/25HAlicante59-79
26/10/25AMelilla75-80
17/10/25HHestia Menorca89-64
11/10/25AEstela107-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game81.182.479.8
Allowed / game88.581.695.4
Point differential-7.4+0.8-15.6
Avg total169.6164.0175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.678.888.3
Allowed / game73.070.775.3
Point differential+10.6+8.2+13.0
Avg total156.6149.5163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna11110100%91.576.7+14.8
2 Obradoiro CAB119282%89.278.6+10.5
3 Estudiantes129375%86.880.0+6.8
4 Alicante118373%88.479.7+8.6
5 Palencia128467%83.673.0+10.6
6 Ourense106460%84.380.1+4.2
7 Fibwi Palma116555%79.981.5-1.5
8 Gipuzkoa115645%78.676.5+2.2
9 Oviedo115645%82.580.6+1.9
10 Estela115645%78.686.4-7.7
11 Zamora125742%85.487.2-1.8
12 Fuenlabrada104640%81.188.5-7.4
13 Hestia Menorca114736%81.480.6+0.7
14 Tizona Burgos124833%86.289.3-3.1
15 Palmer Basket112918%70.785.3-14.5
16 Cartagena112918%69.584.6-15.1
17 Melilla1221017%76.085.7-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fuenlabrada2515181573
Palencia1714171967
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