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Palencia vs Valladolid Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 10:00
Postponed
Position#7
Record15-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#2
Record18-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game75.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 28
Other2019-20
Meetings · Palencia v Valladolid
29 Mar 2020
PAL v VALL
upcoming
16 Nov 2018
PAL101
VALL97
15 Dec 2017
PAL76
VALL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valladolid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huesca
#14
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A29/12
Primera FEB
Peixegalego
#18
W
90-58
90
58
+32
H03/01
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#17
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A10/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#6
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A17/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#8
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H24/01
Primera FEB
Breogan
#5
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A01/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H07/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A14/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
106-77
106
77
+29
H28/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#10
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A06/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
19-24
17-20
37-28
16-13
27-8
20-21
27-16
16-16
14-22
32-18
18-21
15-13
18-18
10-24
23-19
15-17
23-17
12-21
18-24
20-20
26-21
16-16
12-18
21-17
16-20
24-19
26-24
24-20
22-16
20-23
24-15
28-17
25-20
24-17
29-23
21-20
25-16
18-20
23-26
160.0Avg total
83.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.577.9160.4+4.662%
Season at home (11)86.178.9165.0+7.273%
Season away (13)79.577.1156.5+2.454%
Last 10 (10)83.276.8160.0+6.460%
Last 5 (5)88.877.6166.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.278.5153.8-3.250%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.279.2154.3-4.033%
vs Weaker (14)86.776.9163.6+9.879%
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#13
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A28/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#1
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H05/01
Primera FEB
Huesca
#14
W
100-80
100
80
+20
A10/01
Primera FEB
Peixegalego
#18
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A18/01
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H24/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#6
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
A31/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#8
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H09/02
Primera FEB
Breogan
#5
L
71-95
71
95
-24
A15/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H28/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A06/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-8
18-19
14-18
21-18
19-20
18-17
28-21
16-19
22-17
32-14
23-23
23-26
15-20
19-18
19-18
22-13
29-24
27-16
16-26
17-18
10-18
23-17
21-21
15-13
17-15
30-20
11-15
16-16
16-29
19-17
15-29
21-20
22-14
22-24
10-14
20-21
6-14
21-16
21-33
19-15
155.9Avg total
78.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.975.1155.0+4.875%
Season at home (11)82.073.9155.9+8.1100%
Season away (13)78.176.1154.2+2.054%
Last 10 (10)78.677.3155.9+1.370%
Last 5 (5)74.280.0154.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.176.2155.3+2.869%
vs Weaker (14)79.371.8151.1+7.579%
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
PalenciaValladolid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huesca
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A29/12
Primera FEB
Peixegalego
#18
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H03/01
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#17
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A10/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A17/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#8
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/01
Primera FEB
Breogan
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A01/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A14/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H28/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A06/03
Primera FEB
75.7Avg total
40.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.577.5+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.738.180.8+4.679%-
Last 30 away (16)37.836.974.7+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.575.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.483.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.039.078.0+0.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.936.775.6+2.275%-
vs Weaker (14)41.437.779.1+3.664%-
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#13
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A28/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H05/01
Primera FEB
Huesca
#14
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A10/01
Primera FEB
Peixegalego
#18
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/01
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#17
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H24/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A31/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H09/02
Primera FEB
Breogan
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A15/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A06/03
Primera FEB
75.9Avg total
40.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.134.975.0+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.333.977.1+9.479%-
Last 30 away (16)37.435.873.2+1.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.775.9+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.874.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.436.574.9+1.950%-
vs Weaker (14)42.133.175.1+9.071%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Palencia wins
1
Valladolid wins
DateGameScore
01/12/19Valladolid v Palencia86-79
08/03/19Valladolid v Palencia76-80
16/11/18Palencia v Valladolid101-97 OT
06/04/18Valladolid v Palencia67-72
15/12/17Palencia v Valladolid76-73
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/20ACastello87-82
28/02/20HAlmansa106-77
14/02/20AForca Lleida90-74
07/02/20HOurense87-80
01/02/20ABreogan74-75
24/01/20HFibwi Palma68-79
17/01/20AMelilla66-74
10/01/20AReal Canoe80-77
03/01/20HPeixegalego90-58
29/12/19AHuesca84-92
Valladolidlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/20AForca Lleida67-78
28/02/20HOurense74-73
15/02/20ABreogan71-95
09/02/20HFibwi Palma74-66
31/01/20AMelilla85-88 OT
24/01/20HReal Canoe89-84
18/01/20APeixegalego75-69
10/01/20AHuesca100-80
05/01/20HGipuzkoa81-77
28/12/19AGranada70-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLWLWW73%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%73%54%
Points / game82.586.179.5
Allowed / game77.978.977.1
Point differential+4.6+7.2+2.4
Avg total160.4165.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Valladolid
Primera FEB 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %75%100%54%
Points / game79.982.078.1
Allowed / game75.173.976.1
Point differential+4.8+8.1+2.0
Avg total155.0155.9154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gipuzkoa2418675%75.969.1+6.8
2 Valladolid2418675%79.975.1+4.8
3 Alicante2416867%80.574.4+6.0
4 Leyma Coruna2416867%74.274.3-0.0
5 Breogan2415962%81.275.5+5.7
6 Melilla2415962%76.171.2+4.9
7 Palencia2415962%82.577.9+4.6
8 Fibwi Palma2415962%76.672.2+4.5
9 Caceres24141058%76.572.9+3.7
10 Castello24101442%79.281.7-2.5
11 Ourense24101442%71.274.8-3.5
12 Almansa24101442%76.681.3-4.7
13 Granada2491538%72.273.0-0.8
14 Huesca2491538%73.377.2-3.9
15 Forca Lleida2491538%72.977.3-4.5
16 Oviedo2481633%70.175.8-5.7
17 Real Canoe2451921%76.880.9-4.1
18 Peixegalego2442017%67.178.3-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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