Breogan vs Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 95-71

29-16 17-19 29-15 20-21

Position#5

Record13-8

FormLWLWL

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game76.3

Breogan 🏆

Valladolid

Position#2

Record17-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game74.1

Primera FEBRound 22

Other2019-20

Meetings · Breogan v Valladolid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Breogan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

88-84

H07/12

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

84-102

102

-18

A15/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

97-55

+42

H21/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#11

85-52

+33

H28/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#15

64-61

A03/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

85-86

-1

H10/01

Primera FEB

Castello

#10

87-69

+18

H18/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#16

66-72 OT

-6

A25/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

75-74

H01/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

66-83

-17

A07/02

Primera FEB

29-16

27-24

13-23

19-21

21-23

23-25

25-23

15-31

25-9

15-18

29-9

28-19

18-12

23-19

20-9

24-12

18-15

10-14

23-22

13-10

25-14

14-22

26-29

20-21

20-15

22-16

28-21

17-17

17-23

17-14

8-16

19-8

20-20

21-26

16-16

18-12

13-22

17-22

14-20

22-19

153.5Avg total

79.7Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	80.6	76.3	156.9	+4.3	62%
Season at home (11)	82.5	73.0	155.5	+9.5	73%
Season away (10)	78.6	79.9	158.5	-1.3	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	73.8	153.5	+5.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	76.8	152.6	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	82.8	86.6	169.4	-3.9	25%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	77.9	89.5	167.4	-11.6	30%
vs Weaker (12)	81.3	66.8	148.2	+14.5	83%

This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

81-77

A06/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

81-83

-2

A15/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

77-76

H20/12

Primera FEB

Granada

#13

70-63

A28/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

81-77

H05/01

Primera FEB

Huesca

#14

100-80

100

+20

A10/01

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

75-69

A18/01

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#17

89-84

H24/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

85-88 OT

-3

A31/01

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

74-66

H09/02

Primera FEB

23-20

14-17

23-18

21-22

22-21

27-20

17-20

15-22

23-14

17-23

21-14

16-25

17-8

18-19

14-18

21-18

19-20

18-17

28-21

16-19

22-17

32-14

23-23

23-26

15-20

19-18

22-13

29-24

27-16

16-26

17-18

10-18

23-17

21-21

15-13

17-15

30-20

11-15

16-16

157.6Avg total

81.3Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	81.2	74.1	155.3	+7.1	81%
Season at home (10)	82.8	74.0	156.8	+8.8	100%
Season away (11)	79.7	74.2	153.9	+5.5	64%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	76.3	157.6	+5.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	77.4	162.0	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	79.6	75.6	155.2	+3.9	69%
vs Weaker (14)	80.9	71.6	152.4	+9.3	86%

This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BreoganValladolid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	16.9	37.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	20.9	40.6	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.9	23.1	43.0	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.4	16.4	38.8	+6.0	92%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	17.9	38.7	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.5	18.2	37.8	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.5	40.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.1	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.3	38.3	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	16.6	38.7	+5.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.1	40.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	17.0	43.2	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.9	16.3	39.1	+6.6	71%	-

BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

56-40

+16

H07/12

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

44-48

-4

A15/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

40-27

+13

H21/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#11

41-31

+10

H28/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#15

28-29

-1

A03/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

39-36

H10/01

Primera FEB

Castello

#10

42-31

+11

H18/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#16

34-37

-3

A25/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

41-46

-5

H01/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

30-44

-14

A07/02

Primera FEB

76.4Avg total

39.5Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	39.6	80.0	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	38.9	79.6	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	40.2	80.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	36.9	76.4	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.8	76.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.1	42.9	83.0	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.4	45.7	85.1	-6.3	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.6	32.2	73.8	+9.3	75%	-

This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

37-37

A06/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

49-41

A15/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

40-37

H20/12

Primera FEB

Granada

#13

35-27

A28/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

37-37

H05/01

Primera FEB

Huesca

#14

54-31

+23

A10/01

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

34-38

-4

A18/01

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#17

56-40

+16

H24/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

33-35

-2

A31/01

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

47-35

+12

H09/02

Primera FEB

78.0Avg total

42.2Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	35.1	75.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.0	34.4	77.4	+8.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	35.7	74.1	+2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	35.8	78.0	+6.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	35.8	80.6	+9.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.8	36.5	75.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.6	33.5	76.1	+9.1	71%	-

This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.7	38.7	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.7	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.3	40.3	-0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	15.4	34.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.4	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.1	22.6	41.7	-3.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.8	16.3	36.2	+3.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.4	18.3	37.8	+1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	39.7	79.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	37.5	78.6	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	41.9	80.7	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	35.8	75.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	35.8	73.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.6	43.8	86.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.5	43.8	82.3	-5.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.3	33.7	73.0	+5.7	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.5	76.4	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	38.6	77.3	+0.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	36.6	75.6	+2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	38.6	76.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	37.8	74.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.4	37.1	76.4	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	38.3	38.1	76.4	+0.2	36%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	23.0	50.8%	51.8%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.1	31.6%	33.7%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.3	70.0%	73.6%	13.3

They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valladolidtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.4	56.8%	51.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.9	38.7%	33.7%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.1	75.3%	73.6%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	19.4	47.8%	51.8%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.0	32.1%	33.7%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.9	72.3%	73.6%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	19.5	52.8%	51.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.1	37.0%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.7%	73.6%	15.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Breogan wins

Valladolid wins

Date	Game	Score
25/10/19	Valladolid v Breogan	94-82
19/01/18	Breogan v Valladolid	96-74
01/11/17	Valladolid v Breogan	84-85

Breoganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/02/20	A	Alicante	66-83
01/02/20	H	Palencia	75-74
25/01/20	A	Oviedo	66-72 OT
18/01/20	H	Castello	87-69
10/01/20	H	Almansa	85-86
03/01/20	A	Forca Lleida	64-61
28/12/19	H	Ourense	85-52
21/12/19	H	Leyma Coruna	97-55
15/12/19	A	Fibwi Palma	84-102
07/12/19	H	Melilla	88-84

Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/20	H	Fibwi Palma	74-66
31/01/20	A	Melilla	85-88 OT
24/01/20	H	Real Canoe	89-84
18/01/20	A	Peixegalego	75-69
10/01/20	A	Huesca	100-80
05/01/20	H	Gipuzkoa	81-77
28/12/19	A	Granada	70-63
20/12/19	H	Caceres	77-76
15/12/19	A	Leyma Coruna	81-83
06/12/19	A	Alicante	81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan

Primera FEB 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	62%
Home	WWLWW	73%
Away	WLWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	62%	73%	50%
Points / game	80.6	82.5	78.6
Allowed / game	76.3	73.0	79.9
Point differential	+4.3	+9.5	-1.3
Avg total	156.9	155.5	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	45%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	75% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Valladolid

Primera FEB 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	81%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	81%	100%	64%
Points / game	81.2	82.8	79.7
Allowed / game	74.1	74.0	74.2
Point differential	+7.1	+8.8	+5.5
Avg total	155.3	156.8	153.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	30%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	100% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	10%	0%	18%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valladolid	21	17	4	81%	81.2	74.1	+7.1
2	Gipuzkoa	22	17	5	77%	76.8	69.4	+7.4
3	Leyma Coruna	22	15	7	68%	74.7	74.3	+0.4
4	Fibwi Palma	21	14	7	67%	78.0	72.7	+5.2
5	Melilla	22	14	8	64%	76.3	71.7	+4.5
6	Alicante	21	13	8	62%	81.2	75.6	+5.7
7	Breogan	21	13	8	62%	80.6	76.3	+4.3
8	Palencia	22	13	9	59%	81.2	77.8	+3.5
9	Caceres	21	11	10	52%	76.1	73.1	+3.0
10	Ourense	21	10	11	48%	71.2	74.5	-3.3
11	Almansa	21	9	12	43%	76.4	80.6	-4.2
12	Castello	22	9	13	41%	79.0	81.7	-2.7
13	Granada	22	8	14	36%	72.9	72.7	+0.1
14	Forca Lleida	22	8	14	36%	73.5	78.3	-4.8
15	Huesca	21	7	14	33%	74.0	77.8	-3.9
16	Oviedo	21	7	14	33%	69.2	75.5	-6.3
17	Real Canoe	22	5	17	23%	77.0	80.9	-3.9
18	Peixegalego	21	3	18	14%	67.1	79.6	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Breogan	29	17	29	20	95
Valladolid	16	19	15	21	71

← all games of the day

Breogan vs Valladolid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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