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Palencia vs Zamora Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 02 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#13
Record2-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game81.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 28
Other2026-27
Meetings · Palencia v Zamora
02 Apr 2027
PAL v ZAMO
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
PAL77
ZAMO66
10 Jan 2025
PAL79
ZAMO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zamora win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 76
A22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 76
A24/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 76
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 76
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 76
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#12
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 76
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 76
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#1
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 76
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 76
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
15-24
22-27
30-19
16-13
22-21
22-22
12-22
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
13-25
22-20
25-16
24-19
19-17
19-14
24-21
23-21
157.2Avg total
81.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.775.2158.8+8.583%
Season at home (3)81.774.3156.0+7.3100%
Season away (3)85.776.0161.7+9.767%
Last 10 (10)81.276.0157.2+5.260%
Last 5 (5)81.476.4157.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.784.7156.3-13.00%
vs Similar (2)90.089.5179.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.270.3154.4+13.992%
This opponent (Zamora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZamoraSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZamora
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
W
78-64
78
64
+14
72avg 65
A22/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 65
H26/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
64avg 65
A02/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
68avg 65
H08/05
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#12
L
57-72
57
72
-15
42avg 65
A26/09
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H03/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#6
L
69-84
69
84
-15
53avg 65
A11/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#7
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H17/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
67avg 65
A24/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
18-19
24-13
22-11
22-17
22-37
17-19
25-16
17-21
25-23
18-29
20-17
24-14
19-18
26-23
14-21
18-22
13-15
12-19
14-16
22-24
29-13
10-22
12-21
15-18
18-21
17-23
19-22
30-15
18-18
19-16
22-32
15-19
23-24
17-20
22-18
15-18
25-24
29-15
21-32
158.8Avg total
78.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.881.2157.0-5.333%
Season at home (3)84.083.3167.3+0.767%
Season away (3)67.779.0146.7-11.30%
Last 10 (10)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)79.683.0162.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.786.7163.4-9.920%
vs Similar (9)81.781.3163.0+0.367%
vs Weaker (6)88.883.0171.8+5.867%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
PalenciaZamora
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A31/10
Primera FEB
74.6Avg total
39.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.276.6+6.383%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.335.879.1+7.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.634.574.1+5.187%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.874.6+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.875.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.039.379.3+0.767%-
vs Similar (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.434.576.0+6.984%-
This opponent (Zamora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZamoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H26/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H08/05
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A26/09
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H03/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#7
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H17/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A24/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H31/10
Primera FEB
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.281.5-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.142.182.2-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.642.380.9-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.880.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.143.080.1-5.920%-
vs Similar (9)40.840.781.4+0.144%-
vs Weaker (6)42.742.585.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
53.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.2%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zamoratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zamora: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.0
47.4%
53.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.0
28.3%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.8
77.4%
74.2%16.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWLWWWLWLL
Zamora
WLWLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#13
+6.0
Net rating
-4.0
110.8
Offensive rating
104.4
104.8
Defensive rating
108.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
45.6%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
28.3%
58.9%
Assist %
45.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 104.4Defence104.8 · 108.4Shooting50.3% · 45.6%3-point %35.4% · 28.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Palencia   ■ Zamora
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Palencia wins
1
Zamora wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26Palencia v Zamora77-66
08/11/25Zamora v Palencia77-102
30/03/25Zamora v Palencia84-77
10/01/25Palencia v Zamora79-75
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AEstela85-73
24/10/26HOurense84-80
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51
24/05/26AFuenlabrada72-78
22/05/26AFuenlabrada81-88
Zamoralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HAlbacete90-89
24/10/26AOviedo77-81
17/10/26HGranada89-81
11/10/26APalmer Basket69-84
03/10/26HEstudiantes73-80
26/09/26ACordoba57-72
08/05/26HAlicante83-76
02/05/26AOviedo80-90
26/04/26HEstela86-89
22/04/26ACartagena78-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game83.781.785.7
Allowed / game75.274.376.0
Point differential+8.5+7.3+9.7
Avg total158.8156.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zamora
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game75.884.067.7
Allowed / game81.283.379.0
Point differential-5.3+0.7-11.3
Avg total157.0167.3146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Estudiantes660100%91.074.8+16.2
2 Alicante660100%89.874.0+15.8
3 Palencia65183%83.775.2+8.5
4 Gran Canaria64267%89.577.2+12.3
5 Estela64267%82.779.3+3.3
6 Palmer Basket64267%86.584.7+1.8
7 Granada64267%80.078.8+1.2
8 Ourense63350%84.883.0+1.8
9 Caja 8763350%76.376.7-0.3
10 Albacete63350%83.387.7-4.3
11 Oviedo63350%82.788.0-5.3
12 Cordoba62433%71.877.2-5.3
13 Zamora62433%75.881.2-5.3
14 Gipuzkoa62433%79.290.8-11.7
15 Fuenlabrada61517%76.580.5-4.0
16 Tizona Burgos61517%87.595.0-7.5
17 Fibwi Palma61517%79.887.7-7.8
18 Hestia Menorca6060%70.079.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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