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Palencia vs Zamora Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-66
22-18 14-17 16-16 25-15
Position#3
Record15-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#9
Record9-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game88.6
SpainPrimera FEBRound 23
Other2025-26
Meetings · Palencia v Zamora
02 Apr 2027
PAL v ZAMO
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
PAL77
ZAMO66
10 Jan 2025
PAL79
ZAMO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zamora winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
85avg 76
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 76
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
81avg 76
H28/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
76avg 76
H04/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H16/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
82-63
82
63
+19
81avg 76
A31/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 76
A08/02
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
85-69
85
69
+16
83avg 76
H11/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
76-61
76
61
+15
71avg 76
A15/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
96avg 76
H20/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
26-25
27-17
22-19
17-25
14-15
17-18
19-15
25-23
29-14
22-25
15-14
29-26
20-20
21-13
15-28
16-22
23-17
13-26
31-12
28-16
14-17
23-15
17-15
15-17
30-15
25-16
24-24
18-22
25-18
26-11
16-18
18-8
15-22
26-14
17-17
23-19
30-22
20-16
24-17
159.1Avg total
85.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.072.8156.7+11.271%
Season at home (11)83.173.4156.5+9.773%
Season away (10)84.972.1157.0+12.870%
Last 10 (10)85.373.8159.1+11.580%
Last 5 (5)86.867.8154.6+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
vs Similar (3)79.375.7155.0+3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.174.4159.5+10.773%
This opponent (Zamora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZamoraSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZamora
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
80-106
80
106
-26
68avg 74
A16/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
90avg 74
H21/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
63avg 74
A28/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
97-88
97
88
+9
84avg 74
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
61-79
61
79
-18
40avg 74
A11/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
89avg 74
A01/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
62avg 74
H07/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 74
A11/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 74
A15/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
70-101
70
101
-31
53avg 74
H21/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
22-27
17-32
20-18
14-24
22-28
33-16
22-23
13-27
24-16
21-26
19-17
27-20
24-21
26-28
20-19
18-28
13-16
17-23
13-12
27-23
21-22
27-29
20-18
21-19
11-33
24-24
21-16
14-18
25-21
18-21
19-21
23-29
28-17
19-18
31-29
10-30
19-21
22-30
19-20
175.8Avg total
83.8Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.988.6173.5-3.743%
Season at home (10)86.890.2177.0-3.450%
Season away (11)83.287.2170.4-4.036%
Last 10 (10)83.892.0175.8-8.240%
Last 5 (5)83.891.8175.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.389.1167.4-10.823%
vs Similar (12)82.585.7168.2-3.233%
vs Weaker (5)95.479.8175.2+15.6100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
PalenciaZamora
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H28/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H16/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A31/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A08/02
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A15/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H20/02
Primera FEB
82.1Avg total
43.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.137.081.1+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.136.181.2+9.088%-
Last 30 away (14)42.937.980.9+5.057%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.882.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.278.4+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.046.095.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (3)44.739.083.7+5.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.836.480.2+7.573%-
This opponent (Zamora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZamoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A16/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H21/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A28/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A11/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A01/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H07/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A11/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A15/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H21/02
Primera FEB
86.6Avg total
39.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.745.485.1-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.445.483.8-7.129%-
Last 30 away (16)40.845.486.2-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.746.986.6-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.686.4-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.046.282.2-10.215%-
vs Similar (12)39.347.286.5-7.825%-
vs Weaker (5)50.039.289.2+10.8100%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.6
54.6%
51.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.9
36.4%
33.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
73.4%12.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zamoratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zamora: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.2
47.8%
51.5%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.6%
33.9%23.2
🏀 Free throws26.019.0
73.1%
73.4%19.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWWWWLWLW
Zamora
LWLLWLWLWL
#3
League position
#9
-1.5
Net rating
-12.1
111.8
Offensive rating
105.9
113.3
Defensive rating
118.1
54.6%
Effective FG%
47.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
12.2%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.4%
3-point %
31.6%
64.7%
Assist %
38.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 105.9Defence113.3 · 118.1Shooting54.6% · 47.7%3-point %36.4% · 31.6%Ball care12.2% · 0.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Palencia   ■ Zamora
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Palencia wins
1
Zamora wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Zamora v Palencia77-102
30/03/25Zamora v Palencia84-77
10/01/25Palencia v Zamora79-75
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HFuenlabrada97-74
15/02/26AOviedo76-61
11/02/26HPalmer Basket85-69
08/02/26AEstudiantes94-72
31/01/26AAlicante82-63
16/01/26HOurense83-77
04/01/26HObradoiro CAB85-87
28/12/25HTizona Burgos91-76
20/12/25AFuenlabrada67-73
17/12/25AFibwi Palma93-86
Zamoralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HGipuzkoa70-101
15/02/26ATizona Burgos101-93
11/02/26ALeyma Coruna76-81
07/02/26HObradoiro CAB77-92
01/02/26APalmer Basket95-92
11/01/26AFuenlabrada61-79
04/01/26HMelilla97-88
28/12/25AEstudiantes77-86
21/12/25HOviedo104-102 OT
16/12/25AObradoiro CAB80-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%73%70%
Points / game84.083.184.9
Allowed / game72.873.472.1
Point differential+11.2+9.7+12.8
Avg total156.7156.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%55%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zamora
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game84.986.883.2
Allowed / game88.690.287.2
Point differential-3.7-3.4-4.0
Avg total173.5177.0170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2120195%93.077.8+15.1
2 Obradoiro CAB2017385%91.878.3+13.5
3 Palencia2115671%84.072.8+11.2
4 Gipuzkoa2113862%80.674.0+6.6
5 Hestia Menorca2012860%82.577.3+5.2
6 Estudiantes2012860%84.782.0+2.6
7 Alicante2112957%83.280.3+2.9
8 Fuenlabrada2112957%79.882.0-2.2
9 Oviedo21101148%82.280.2+2.0
10 Ourense21101148%82.281.2+1.0
11 Zamora2191243%84.988.6-3.7
12 Fibwi Palma2191243%77.181.0-3.9
13 Estela2181338%78.084.9-6.9
14 Cartagena2051525%73.084.9-11.9
15 Tizona Burgos2151624%83.089.2-6.2
16 Palmer Basket2041620%71.584.9-13.4
17 Melilla2131814%75.988.0-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2214162577
Zamora1817161566
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