Palmeiras vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 89-83

26-19 19-17 21-16 23-31

Position#13

Record9-20

FormWWLLW

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game83.7

Palmeiras 🏆

Bauru

Position#5

Record20-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game77.6

NBBRound 32

Other2012-13

Meetings · Palmeiras v Bauru

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palmeiras winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bauru winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palmeiras

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

82-87

-5

A07/02

NBB

Vila Velha

#16

87-65

+22

H14/02

NBB

Minas

#10

96-87

H16/02

NBB

Sao Jose

65-77

-12

A19/02

NBB

Mogi

#15

86-77 OT

H23/02

NBB

Unitri Universo

112-104 OT

112

104

H07/03

NBB

Franca

87-77

+10

H09/03

NBB

Brasilia

81-99

-18

A15/03

NBB

Cearense

83-85 OT

-2

A16/03

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

85-77

H21/03

NBB

21-24

32-12

15-22

14-29

18-17

23-16

25-16

21-16

15-18

30-22

17-21

34-26

14-16

11-24

28-19

12-18

17-15

19-15

20-13

13-26

24-16

11-18

16-24

22-15

17-18

27-12

24-28

19-19

24-26

15-25

19-24

23-24

10-17

19-21

22-19

20-14

20-20

15-22

25-17

25-18

169.9Avg total

86.4Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	78.0	83.7	161.7	-5.8	31%
Season at home (14)	84.6	84.1	168.7	+0.4	57%
Season away (15)	71.8	83.3	155.1	-11.5	7%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	83.5	169.9	+2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	88.4	178.0	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	76.7	86.8	163.5	-10.1	18%
vs Similar (10)	77.5	78.8	156.3	-1.3	40%
vs Weaker (2)	91.0	82.5	173.5	+8.5	100%

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bauru

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unitri Universo

83-94

-11

A05/02

NBB

Franca

82-80

A07/02

NBB

Cearense

95-84

+11

H16/02

NBB

Brasilia

79-90

-11

H18/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

85-94

-9

H21/02

NBB

Tijuca

#17

79-71

A07/03

NBB

Flamengo

89-74

+15

A09/03

NBB

Joinville

#14

114-91

114

+23

H14/03

NBB

Limeira

#11

83-82

H16/03

NBB

Suzano

#18

87-82

A21/03

NBB

30-23

10-20

21-22

22-29

19-21

28-13

15-15

20-31

23-19

18-31

24-15

30-19

19-20

17-20

24-25

19-25

22-24

18-15

25-24

20-31

23-9

20-21

18-23

18-18

22-26

18-15

21-19

28-14

28-25

27-20

29-14

30-32

19-20

26-25

22-20

16-17

20-18

20-25

25-26

22-13

171.8Avg total

87.6Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	84.0	77.6	161.6	+6.4	69%
Season at home (15)	87.2	78.2	165.4	+9.0	67%
Season away (14)	80.6	76.9	157.5	+3.6	71%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	84.2	171.8	+3.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	80.0	170.4	+10.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	93.0	88.0	181.0	+5.0	50%
vs Similar (14)	80.7	81.9	162.6	-1.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	86.5	73.3	159.8	+13.2	86%

This opponent (Palmeiras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalmeirasBauru

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	19.2	35.9	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.5	24%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	19.3	41.6	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.2	17.7	41.9	+6.5	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	19.7	37.3	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.0	20.3	35.3	-5.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.7	38.8	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.5	38.1	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.0	19.5	44.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.7	50%	-

PalmeirasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

53-36

+17

A07/02

NBB

Vila Velha

#16

41-33

H14/02

NBB

Minas

#10

45-40

H16/02

NBB

Sao Jose

25-40

-15

A19/02

NBB

Mogi

#15

36-30

H23/02

NBB

Unitri Universo

35-34

H07/03

NBB

Franca

44-30

+14

H09/03

NBB

Brasilia

39-51

-12

A15/03

NBB

Cearense

29-38

-9

A16/03

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

35-42

-7

H21/03

NBB

75.6Avg total

38.2Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.4	39.1	74.5	-3.8	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.3	38.8	78.1	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	31.7	39.5	71.2	-7.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	37.4	75.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.0	75.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.6	40.9	75.5	-6.2	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.0	37.1	72.1	-2.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.5	34.5	78.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unitri Universo

40-43

-3

A05/02

NBB

Franca

47-34

+13

A07/02

NBB

Cearense

41-50

-9

H16/02

NBB

Brasilia

36-40

-4

H18/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

40-39

H21/02

NBB

Tijuca

#17

43-30

+13

A07/03

NBB

Flamengo

40-41

-1

A09/03

NBB

Joinville

#14

55-45

+10

H14/03

NBB

Limeira

#11

45-45

H16/03

NBB

Suzano

#18

40-43

-3

A21/03

NBB

83.7Avg total

42.7Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	38.0	80.3	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.2	37.7	81.9	+6.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	38.3	78.7	+2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	41.0	83.7	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	40.8	85.4	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.0	42.0	87.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.7	40.1	80.8	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.6	35.4	78.9	+8.2	86%	-

This opponent (Palmeiras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.2	21.6	41.9	-1.4	41%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.8	41.0	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.9	42.3	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.3	42.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	19.4	41.4	+2.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	22.3	40.6	-4.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	26.5	53.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.9	45.4	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.9	18.1	38.1	+1.8	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.0	42.3	82.3	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	41.6	82.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	42.9	82.2	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	40.8	82.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	40.4	83.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.6	42.4	81.1	-3.8	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.8	40.9	81.7	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	48.0	95.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	39.3	80.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	39.4	81.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	39.1	78.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	43.2	88.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	39.2	85.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.5	38.0	80.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.4	41.2	80.6	-1.8	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.0	37.5	79.5	+4.5	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palmeiras wins

Bauru wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/13	Bauru v Palmeiras	91-67

Palmeiraslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/13	H	Sorocabana	85-77
16/03/13	A	Cearense	83-85 OT
15/03/13	A	Brasilia	81-99
09/03/13	H	Franca	87-77
07/03/13	H	Unitri Universo	112-104 OT
23/02/13	H	Mogi	86-77 OT
19/02/13	A	Sao Jose	65-77
16/02/13	H	Minas	96-87
14/02/13	H	Vila Velha	87-65
07/02/13	A	Pinheiros	82-87

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/13	A	Suzano	87-82
16/03/13	H	Limeira	83-82
14/03/13	H	Joinville	114-91
09/03/13	A	Flamengo	89-74
07/03/13	A	Tijuca	79-71
21/02/13	H	Sorocabana	85-94
18/02/13	H	Brasilia	79-90
16/02/13	H	Cearense	95-84
07/02/13	A	Franca	82-80
05/02/13	A	Unitri Universo	83-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palmeiras

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	31%
Home	WWWWW	57%
Away	LLLLL	7%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	31%	57%	7%
Points / game	78.0	84.6	71.8
Allowed / game	83.7	84.1	83.3
Point differential	-5.8	+0.4	-11.5
Avg total	161.7	168.7	155.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (5)	0% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	14%	21%	7%

Bauru

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	69%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	LWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	69%	67%	71%
Points / game	84.0	87.2	80.6
Allowed / game	77.6	78.2	76.9
Point differential	+6.4	+9.0	+3.6
Avg total	161.6	165.4	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	47%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	60% (5)	67% (6)
Overtime %	10%	7%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	29	26	3	90%	90.6	75.1	+15.4
2	Brasilia	29	25	4	86%	89.3	78.7	+10.6
3	Bauru	29	20	9	69%	84.0	77.6	+6.4
4	Unitri Universo	29	20	9	69%	84.2	78.4	+5.8
5	Pinheiros	27	18	9	67%	87.6	83.9	+3.7
6	Franca	28	18	10	64%	79.5	72.6	+6.9
7	Sao Jose	30	19	11	63%	81.5	77.4	+4.1
8	Paulistano	30	15	15	50%	80.7	81.6	-0.9
9	Minas	29	14	15	48%	83.2	82.7	+0.5
10	Sorocabana	29	14	15	48%	77.2	80.6	-3.4
11	Cearense	28	13	15	46%	79.4	81.8	-2.4
12	Limeira	30	12	18	40%	80.4	79.3	+1.1
13	Mogi	30	11	19	37%	74.5	82.0	-7.5
14	Vila Velha	28	9	19	32%	80.1	85.0	-4.9
15	Palmeiras	29	9	20	31%	78.0	83.7	-5.8
16	Joinville	30	9	21	30%	75.3	80.4	-5.2
17	Tijuca	28	4	24	14%	69.5	78.8	-9.2
18	Suzano	28	4	24	14%	74.6	90.4	-15.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palmeiras	26	19	21	23	89
Bauru	19	17	16	31	83

← all games of the day

Palmeiras vs Bauru Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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