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Palmer Basket vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-83
24-19 19-20 18-19 25-25
Position#15
Record5-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#12
Record9-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game84.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 25
Other2025-26
Meetings · Palmer Basket v Estela
03 Jan 2027
PALM v ESTE
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PALM86
ESTE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palmer Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palmer BasketSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
80-82
80
82
-2
49avg 59
A28/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
63-71
63
71
-8
44avg 59
H04/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
76-73
76
73
+3
71avg 59
A10/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
79-88 OT
79
88
-9
no box
H18/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
81avg 59
H01/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 59
A11/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
53avg 59
H15/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 59
A21/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
80avg 59
H08/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 59
A11/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
24-19
26-23
12-21
24-17
16-23
13-14
10-17
15-17
20-18
21-20
20-18
13-22
21-15
17-19
21-16
23-27
22-21
29-27
18-20
22-18
18-25
11-26
18-16
9-26
17-22
22-20
17-17
24-15
19-18
19-16
20-17
24-18
30-22
17-15
17-17
19-23
24-25
18-26
13-15
157.4Avg total
76.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.384.5156.8-12.223%
Season at home (11)71.181.6152.7-10.527%
Season away (11)73.587.4160.9-13.818%
Last 10 (10)76.880.6157.4-3.830%
Last 5 (5)75.679.4155.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)71.186.8157.9-15.711%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.874.2152.0+3.575%
vs Weaker (8)78.464.9143.2+13.575%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 70
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
67-102
67
102
-35
57avg 70
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 70
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 70
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 70
A07/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
75avg 70
H11/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 70
H15/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 70
A22/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 70
A08/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
25-17
17-19
21-23
17-30
17-20
13-20
20-32
17-15
18-20
20-21
18-20
24-20
25-23
11-16
14-22
24-16
15-25
24-12
15-19
16-34
22-17
22-21
21-17
18-26
23-23
23-7
15-31
34-20
15-26
20-15
22-29
22-23
22-17
16-21
17-22
20-24
14-11
20-14
19-19
160.6Avg total
77.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.884.1162.0-6.341%
Season at home (11)78.082.0160.0-4.055%
Season away (11)77.686.3163.9-8.627%
Last 10 (10)77.083.6160.6-6.630%
Last 5 (5)80.283.4163.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.688.3165.8-10.732%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.774.2152.9+4.573%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.2-5.2
Palmer BasketEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Palmer BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A28/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H04/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H18/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H15/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A21/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H08/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A11/03
Primera FEB
81.2Avg total
40.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.078.2-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.639.177.7-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)37.641.178.7-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.081.2-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.483.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.344.982.2-7.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.235.273.5+3.050%-
vs Weaker (8)40.031.471.4+8.675%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A07/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A08/03
Primera FEB
83.8Avg total
40.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.581.7-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.740.681.2+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.642.682.1-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.683.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.285.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.845.084.8-5.237%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.735.576.2+5.355%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palmer Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palmer Basket: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.2
48.4%
51.5%34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.0
33.1%
33.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws28.220.8
74.0%
73.4%20.8
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.4
57.1%
51.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.2
28.6%
33.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.2
75.0%
73.4%13.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palmer Basket
LWWLLLLWLL
Estela
WLWLLWLLLL
#15
League position
#12
+2.1
Net rating
-9.6
110.1
Offensive rating
106.6
108.0
Defensive rating
116.1
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.47
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
28.6%
53.0%
Assist %
52.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 106.6Defence108.0 · 116.1Shooting48.9% · 51.0%3-point %33.1% · 28.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.47 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Palmer Basket   ■ Estela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Palmer Basket wins
0
Estela wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Estela v Palmer Basket73-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AHestia Menorca74-89
08/03/26HTizona Burgos88-72
21/02/26ACartagena82-66
15/02/26HLeyma Coruna65-85
11/02/26APalencia69-85
01/02/26HZamora92-95
18/01/26HFuenlabrada79-88 OT
10/01/26AEstela76-73
04/01/26HGipuzkoa63-71
28/12/25AFibwi Palma80-82
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AFibwi Palma73-68
22/02/26AMelilla77-83
15/02/26HGipuzkoa91-90
11/02/26HOviedo79-87
07/02/26AHestia Menorca81-89
31/01/26HCartagena78-72
18/01/26AEstudiantes74-81
10/01/26HPalmer Basket73-76
04/01/26ALeyma Coruna67-102
28/12/25AGipuzkoa77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palmer Basket
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL23%
HomeLLLLW27%
AwayLWLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%27%18%
Points / game72.371.173.5
Allowed / game84.581.687.4
Point differential-12.2-10.5-13.8
Avg total156.8152.7160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%55%27%
Points / game77.878.077.6
Allowed / game84.182.086.3
Point differential-6.3-4.0-8.6
Avg total162.0160.0163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2422292%91.577.8+13.8
2 Obradoiro CAB2320387%92.977.0+15.9
3 Palencia2418675%84.673.1+11.5
4 Estudiantes2315865%85.080.9+4.1
5 Gipuzkoa2415962%80.674.9+5.7
6 Hestia Menorca2213959%82.677.5+5.1
7 Oviedo24131154%83.279.8+3.4
8 Alicante24131154%83.682.3+1.3
9 Fuenlabrada23121152%79.483.0-3.6
10 Ourense24111346%81.080.7+0.2
11 Estela2291341%77.884.1-6.3
12 Zamora2391439%83.788.0-4.3
13 Fibwi Palma2491538%77.382.0-4.7
14 Cartagena2361726%72.785.2-12.5
15 Palmer Basket2251723%72.384.5-12.2
16 Tizona Burgos2451921%82.088.8-6.9
17 Melilla2332013%75.787.7-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palmer Basket2419182586
Estela1920192583
← all games of the day
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