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Panathinaikos vs Lefkadas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#11
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game85.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11· Telekom Center Athens
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Lefkadas
20 Dec 2026
PAO v LEF
upcoming
15 Feb 2017
PAO90
LEF61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lefkadas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#14
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H04/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H08/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#12
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
72-55
72
55
+17
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#5
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#8
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
23-17
24-11
24-26
27-24
19-17
21-14
25-19
21-7
22-19
27-14
14-19
16-16
19-12
20-9
17-18
25-29
21-19
15-20
20-23
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
156.7Avg total
83.8Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.068.0158.0+22.0100%
Season at home (3)92.071.0163.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)84.059.0143.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.872.9156.7+10.980%
Last 5 (5)81.275.2156.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar (6)83.285.3168.5-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.575.4165.9+15.289%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LefkadasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A07/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H14/03
A2
Koroivos
#9
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#12
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#9
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
H24/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
21-19
29-16
14-20
9-8
19-15
13-20
23-10
13-23
19-17
27-18
14-10
17-19
11-18
11-11
16-15
30-26
25-21
13-18
19-13
16-20
20-8
22-13
7-13
13-24
24-22
20-21
18-24
18-22
13-20
23-22
19-22
25-17
20-23
18-27
16-13
19-18
22-23
18-26
19-11
148.3Avg total
74.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.285.8166.0-5.525%
Season at home (2)86.583.0169.5+3.550%
Season away (2)74.088.5162.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)74.573.8148.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.279.4156.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)80.787.7168.3-7.033%
vs Similar (14)77.073.2150.2+3.879%
vs Weaker (13)74.566.5141.1+8.085%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
PanathinaikosLefkadas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#14
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H04/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#12
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#5
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
42.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.180.4+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.437.381.7+7.268%-
Last 30 away (11)38.539.678.2-1.145%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.079.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.078.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar (6)39.340.880.2-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.936.881.7+8.174%-
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H14/03
A2
Koroivos
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/10
Basket League
75.7Avg total
37.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.276.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.338.477.8+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.835.874.6+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.775.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.477.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.343.079.3-6.70%-
vs Similar (14)40.838.979.7+1.964%-
vs Weaker (13)37.834.071.8+3.862%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.1
57.6%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.5
36.0%
34.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.417.3
73.9%
70.8%17.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.3%
51.0%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.6%
34.2%21.8
🏀 Free throws22.515.0
66.7%
70.8%15.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWWWLWWWW
Lefkadas
WLLLWWLWWW
#1
League position
#11
+17.4
Net rating
-10.1
101.9
Offensive rating
91.6
84.5
Defensive rating
101.6
56.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.0%
3-point %
32.6%
67.9%
Assist %
48.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 91.6Defence84.5 · 101.6Shooting56.0% · 50.4%3-point %36.0% · 32.6%Ball care14.7% · 14.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Lefkadas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Panathinaikos wins
0
Lefkadas wins
DateGameScore
15/02/17Panathinaikos v Lefkadas90-61
07/11/16Lefkadas v Panathinaikos46-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
16/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-91
13/10/26APartizan72-55
10/10/26APromitheas84-59
08/10/26HFenerbahce92-74
04/10/26HVikos103-74
Lefkadaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HIraklis94-86 OT
17/10/26HPromitheas79-80
10/10/26APAOK73-86
03/10/26AKolossos Rhodes75-91
04/04/26ADafni65-54
28/03/26HPsychikou87-78
21/03/26HPeiramatiko Machites55-63
18/03/26AKoroivos73-68
14/03/26HVolos64-53
07/03/26APanerythraikos80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.092.084.0
Allowed / game68.071.059.0
Point differential+22.0+21.0+25.0
Avg total158.0163.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lefkadas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.286.574.0
Allowed / game85.883.088.5
Point differential-5.5+3.5-14.5
Avg total166.0169.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos440100%90.068.0+22.0
2 Olympiacos440100%85.266.0+19.2
3 PAOK440100%81.876.0+5.8
4 Aris43175%79.565.2+14.2
5 Peristeri43175%85.888.2-2.5
6 Kolossos Rhodes42250%84.583.0+1.5
7 AEK Athens42250%73.875.5-1.8
8 AS Karditsas42250%69.072.8-3.8
9 Iraklis41325%78.579.0-0.5
10 Mykonos41325%79.584.8-5.2
11 Lefkadas41325%80.285.8-5.5
12 Promitheas41325%68.085.5-17.5
13 Maroussi4040%71.882.5-10.8
14 Vikos4040%71.586.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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