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Paris vs Gravelines-Dunkerque Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Projected 101-80
Projected total 181.0
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game85.9
Vs
95%
■ PRS 95%■ GDU 5%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record1-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game89.5
FranceLNBRound 9· Adidas Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Paris v Gravelines-Dunkerque
22 Nov 2026
PRS v GDU
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PRS109
GDU115
30 Mar 2025
PRS109
GDU66
25 Nov 2023
PRS97
GDU78
27 Dec 2022
PRS98
GDU96
02 Apr 2022
PRS91
GDU87
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Paris host Gravelines-Dunkerque in the LNB Elite. Pythia makes Paris the favourite at 95% and projects 101-80, about 181 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Paris are 8-1 this season (97.2 scored, 85.9 allowed a game), form LWWWW; Gravelines-Dunkerque are 1-7 this season (79.1 scored, 89.5 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris win
94.7%fair 1.06
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gravelines-Dunkerque win
5.3%fair 18.76
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 86
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 86
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 86
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 86
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#11
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
23-14
27-29
22-29
20-20
24-17
23-22
34-25
16-18
193.3Avg total
100.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.285.9183.1+11.389%
Season at home (4)102.887.0189.8+15.8100%
Season away (5)92.885.0177.8+7.880%
Last 10 (10)100.393.0193.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)100.090.4190.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.394.0180.3-7.733%
vs Similar (11)95.696.1191.7-0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.082.5176.5+11.585%
This opponent (Gravelines-Dunkerque) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gravelines-DunkerqueFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGravelines-Dunkerque
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
75avg 76
H09/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
L
78-95
78
95
-17
70avg 76
A16/05
LNB
Le Mans
#2
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
86avg 76
H26/09
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
65-70
65
70
-5
60avg 76
H04/10
LNB
Nanterre
#4
L
73-101
73
101
-28
67avg 76
A10/10
LNB
Dijon
#3
L
83-92
83
92
-9
75avg 76
H18/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 76
A24/10
LNB
Roanne
#7
L
69-89
69
89
-20
64avg 76
H31/10
LNB
Boulazac
#10
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A06/11
LNB
Nancy
#12
W
96-89
96
89
+7
no box
H15/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
17-16
20-20
17-15
19-23
19-24
22-24
18-24
28-22
15-19
23-16
20-29
19-12
15-21
18-21
13-16
19-21
20-22
17-28
17-30
20-30
22-23
26-21
15-18
28-33
25-15
15-18
13-23
16-17
13-22
18-24
22-26
23-15
11-22
15-17
20-29
21-19
26-16
22-24
27-30
168.7Avg total
79.1Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.189.5168.6-10.412%
Season at home (5)82.088.6170.6-6.620%
Season away (3)74.391.0165.3-16.70%
Last 10 (10)79.189.6168.7-10.510%
Last 5 (5)79.688.4168.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)82.791.0173.7-8.319%
vs Similar (3)78.084.0162.0-6.033%
vs Weaker (1)100.078.0178.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1401%1452%1504%1556%1609%16511%17012%17512%18012%18510%1908%1955%2004%2052%2101%2151%220
1%1402%1506%16011%17012%18010%1905%2002%2101%220
Pythia expects about 181 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 180-184 (12%).
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
81.4%
Under 166.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
72.0%
Under 171.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176.5
Over 176.5
60.7%
Under 176.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Paris total 83.5
Over 83.5
94.9%
Under 83.5
5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris total 87.5
Over 87.5
89.6%
Under 87.5
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris total 91.5
Over 91.5
81.1%
Under 91.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gravelines-Dunkerque total 80
Over 80
50.6%
Under 80
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gravelines-Dunkerque total 84
Over 84
34.5%
Under 84
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gravelines-Dunkerque total 88
Over 88
21.0%
Under 88
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-121%-91%-62%-32%+04%+36%+67%+98%+129%+159%+189%+219%+248%+277%+305%+334%+363%+392%+421%+451%+481%+51
0%-121%-62%+06%+68%+129%+189%+247%+304%+362%+421%+48
Margin from Paris's side (positive = Paris win). Pythia's expected margin is +20.4; Paris win by 1+ in 92% of simulations.
Spread Paris -3
PRS -3
92.7%
GDU +3
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
PRS
No market prices yet.
GDU
No market prices yet.
Spread Paris 0
PRS 0
94.7%
GDU 0
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
PRS
No market prices yet.
GDU
No market prices yet.
Spread Paris +3
PRS +3
96.5%
GDU -3
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
PRS
No market prices yet.
GDU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -5.8-5.8
ParisGravelines-Dunkerque
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/11
LNB
92.5Avg total
47.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.290.5+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.892.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.087.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (11)45.248.493.5-3.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.942.689.5+4.354%-
This opponent (Gravelines-Dunkerque) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gravelines-DunkerqueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H09/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A16/05
LNB
Le Mans
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/09
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H04/10
LNB
Nanterre
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A10/10
LNB
Dijon
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H18/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A24/10
LNB
Roanne
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H31/10
LNB
Boulazac
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/11
LNB
Nancy
#12
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H15/11
LNB
80.3Avg total
39.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.983.6-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.241.882.9-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)40.144.384.4-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.180.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.483.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)40.643.283.8-2.535%-
vs Similar (3)37.042.379.3-5.333%-
vs Weaker (1)53.039.092.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
34.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
74.2%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gravelines-Dunkerquetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gravelines-Dunkerque: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.4
55.3%
55.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.7
31.9%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.2
74.5%
74.2%15.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWWWLWWWWL
Gravelines-Dunkerque
WLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#16
+4.0
Net rating
-13.3
103.4
Offensive rating
91.4
99.4
Defensive rating
104.7
57.9%
Effective FG%
51.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.7%
3-point %
31.9%
59.2%
Assist %
70.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 91.4Defence99.4 · 104.7Shooting57.9% · 51.9%3-point %36.7% · 31.9%Ball care14.7% · 16.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Paris   ■ Gravelines-Dunkerque
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Paris wins
3
Gravelines-Dunkerque wins
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALimoges97-82
11/11/26HFenerbahce111-109 OT
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNancy96-89
06/11/26ABoulazac69-83
31/10/26HRoanne69-89
24/10/26AJL Bourg81-89
18/10/26HDijon83-92
10/10/26ANanterre73-101
04/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne65-70
26/09/26HLe Mans97-103 OT
16/05/26AJL Bourg78-95
09/05/26HNanterre80-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game97.2102.892.8
Allowed / game85.987.085.0
Point differential+11.3+15.8+7.8
Avg total183.1189.8177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %22%25%20%
Gravelines-Dunkerque
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %12%20%0%
Points / game79.182.074.3
Allowed / game89.588.691.0
Point differential-10.4-6.6-16.7
Avg total168.6170.6165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Le Mans87188%99.988.5+11.4
3 Dijon86275%92.984.1+8.8
4 Nanterre86275%88.581.1+7.4
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne86275%91.487.5+3.9
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
12 Nancy82625%80.585.4-4.9
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque81712%79.189.5-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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