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Paris vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 93-104
26-32 28-25 16-26 23-21
Position#14
Record1-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game90.8
Paris
vs
Valencia 🏆
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game91.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7· Adidas Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Paris v Valencia
23 Oct 2026
PRS93
VAL104
13 Nov 2025
PRS90
VAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best odds2.79
Implied34.5%
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.53
Implied65.5%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
61avg 86
A24/09
Euroleague
Nancy
#13
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 86
A27/09
LNB
Partizan
#11
L
79-92
79
92
-13
73avg 86
H29/09
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
W
82-78
82
78
+4
74avg 86
H01/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#3
W
103-101
103
101
+2
99avg 86
A04/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
96-98
96
98
-2
80avg 86
H07/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
97avg 86
H11/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
94-96
94
96
-2
86avg 86
H14/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
77avg 86
A16/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
83avg 86
H18/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
14-11
13-27
28-22
21-15
14-17
16-24
27-17
18-15
22-29
23-23
16-25
17-19
24-19
20-15
21-25
17-21
29-20
25-33
32-27
21-14
22-32
34-28
19-24
29-20
32-18
20-25
17-21
26-26
12-20
27-18
29-32
18-28
18-18
22-31
23-13
18-24
23-20
21-15
28-16
175.1Avg total
87.3Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.090.8174.8-6.817%
Season at home (4)87.891.0178.8-3.225%
Season away (2)76.590.5167.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)87.387.8175.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)91.888.6180.4+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.687.2165.8-8.620%
vs Similar (11)96.393.7190.0+2.545%
vs Weaker (14)92.283.0175.2+9.279%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
W
96-94
96
94
+2
89avg 92
A25/09
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
L
100-105
100
105
-5
86avg 92
H27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
111-88
111
88
+23
101avg 92
H29/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-92
105
92
+13
104avg 92
A02/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
97-82
97
82
+15
90avg 92
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 92
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 92
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 92
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 92
H18/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
26-24
27-20
15-23
20-26
33-24
19-26
28-29
26-10
26-23
31-27
28-28
21-33
29-28
26-16
29-15
21-22
15-17
30-28
31-15
29-17
18-23
27-17
19-25
26-19
14-20
20-29
26-21
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
190.7Avg total
98.9Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)98.391.5189.8+6.867%
Season at home (4)97.290.8188.0+6.550%
Season away (2)100.593.0193.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)98.991.8190.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)96.091.4187.4+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)92.291.8184.0+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)97.987.8185.6+10.175%
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 184.5Actual: Over 184.5
Over 184.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
Under 184.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.75
Marathon Be
1.74
Betano
1.67
WilliamHill
1.67
Bet365
1.64
Under
Bet365
2.12
WilliamHill
2.10
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Marathon Be
2.05
Over/Under 189.5 · main lineActual: Over 189.5
Over 189.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under 189.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathon Be
2.06
1xBet
2.06
Bet365
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.71
Betano
1.67
WilliamHill
1.67
Over/Under 194.5Actual: Over 194.5
Over 194.5
no forecast
@ 2.67
Under 194.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Bet365
2.62
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.40
Marathon Be
1.38

📊 3. Team Totals

Paris total 87.5Actual: Paris over 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.45
Paris total 91.5 · main lineActual: Paris over 91.5
Over 91.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under 91.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Be
1.89
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.88
1xBet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Paris total 95.5Actual: Paris under 95.5
Over 95.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
Under 95.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.42
Valencia total 91.5Actual: Valencia over 91.5
Over 91.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
Under 91.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.42
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.50
Valencia total 95.5 · main lineActual: Valencia over 95.5
Over 95.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under 95.5
no forecast
@ 1.89
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
Valencia total 99.5Actual: Valencia over 99.5
Over 99.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
Under 99.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Paris +2Actual: Valencia -2
PRS +2
no forecast
@ 2.22
VAL -2
no forecast
@ 1.62
Best 5 market prices
PRS
1xBet
2.22
Bet365
2.22
Marathon Be
2.19
VAL
1xBet
1.62
Marathon Be
1.60
Bet365
1.58
Spread Paris +5 · main lineActual: Valencia -5
PRS +5
no forecast
@ 1.94
VAL -5
no forecast
@ 2.03
Best 5 market prices
PRS
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
Bet365
1.80
VAL
1xBet
2.03
Marathon Be
1.99
SBO
1.97
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Spread Paris +8Actual: Valencia -8
PRS +8
no forecast
@ 1.52
VAL -8
no forecast
@ 2.42
Best 5 market prices
PRS
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Be
1.47
1xBet
1.47
VAL
Marathon Be
2.42
1xBet
2.42
Bet365
2.40

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
ParisValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A24/09
Euroleague
Nancy
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/09
LNB
Partizan
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/09
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H11/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H18/10
LNB
82.9Avg total
41.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 95.5
Last 30 (30)45.746.592.2-0.933%33%
Last 30 at home (16)46.845.492.2+1.431%31%
Last 30 away (14)44.447.892.1-3.436%36%
Last 10 (10)41.241.782.9-0.540%10%
Last 5 (5)43.844.087.8-0.220%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.644.683.2-6.020%20%
vs Similar (11)47.849.196.9-1.327%45%
vs Weaker (14)46.545.291.7+1.343%29%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A25/09
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H29/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A02/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
93.0Avg total
49.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 95.5
Last 30 (30)47.941.189.1+6.873%37%
Last 30 at home (17)49.141.090.1+8.165%41%
Last 30 away (13)46.441.387.7+5.185%31%
Last 10 (10)49.743.393.0+6.470%40%
Last 5 (5)50.439.890.2+10.680%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)49.040.789.7+8.367%33%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)47.741.288.9+6.475%38%
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Valencia win
PRS win
no forecast
@ 2.59
VAL win
no forecast
@ 1.58
1st half Spread Paris +2.5 · main lineActual: Valencia -2.5
PRS +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.96
VAL -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Over/Under 95.5 · main lineActual: Over 95.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
Paris 1st half total 46 · main lineActual: Paris over 46
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Valencia 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: Valencia over 47.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 2.04
1st half: PRS + total 95.5
PRS & over
no forecast
@ 4.75
PRS & under
no forecast
@ 4.50
1st half: Draw + total 95.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: VAL + total 95.5
VAL & over
no forecast
@ 3.20
VAL & under
no forecast
@ 3.05
1st half Over/Under 94Actual: Over 94
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Spread Paris +1.5Actual: Valencia -1.5
PRS +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.16
VAL -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.77
1st half Spread Paris +3.5Actual: Paris +3.5
PRS +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.81
VAL -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 97.5Actual: Over 97.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.25
Under
no forecast
@ 1.61
1st half Over/Under 92.5Actual: Over 92.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Spread Paris +0.5Actual: Valencia -0.5
PRS +0.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
VAL -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Paris +4.5Actual: Paris +4.5
PRS +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.59
VAL -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Valencia (regulation)
PRS
no forecast
@ 2.40
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
VAL
no forecast
@ 1.65

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
PRS win + total 189.5
🔒 Pro
VAL win + total 189.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PRS leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VAL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.3
56.9%
55.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.111.6
33.0%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.3
70.2%
77.1%11.3
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.923.1
55.1%
55.2%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.2
37.5%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.718.0
75.9%
77.1%18.0
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WLLWLWWLWL
Valencia
WLLLWWWWLW
#14
League position
#3
-1.1
Net rating
+7.0
95.9
Offensive rating
106.4
97.0
Defensive rating
99.4
53.2%
Effective FG%
55.6%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
10.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.0%
3-point %
37.5%
63.9%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 106.4Defence97.0 · 99.4Shooting53.2% · 55.6%3-point %33.0% · 37.5%Ball care15.1% · 10.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Paris   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paris wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
20/01/26Valencia v Paris98-84
13/11/25Paris v Valencia90-86
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HBoulazac90-75
16/10/26ACrvena zvezda81-90
14/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-96
11/10/26HStrasbourg98-84
07/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne96-98
04/10/26ALe Mans103-101
01/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-78
29/09/26HPartizan79-92
27/09/26ANancy78-73
24/09/26APanathinaikos72-91
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
11/10/26ABarcelona86-89
08/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
04/10/26ABasket Zaragoza97-82
02/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne105-92
29/09/26HBaskonia111-88
27/09/26HForca Lleida100-105
25/09/26ABesiktas96-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game84.087.876.5
Allowed / game90.891.090.5
Point differential-6.8-3.2-14.0
Avg total174.8178.8167.0
Over 189.533%50%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game98.397.2100.5
Allowed / game91.590.893.0
Point differential+6.8+6.5+7.5
Avg total189.8188.0193.5
Over 189.567%50%100%
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos76186%87.673.9+13.7
2 Fenerbahce76186%80.772.6+8.1
3 Olympiacos75271%92.986.1+6.7
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv75271%90.085.9+4.1
5 Dubai75271%85.383.4+1.9
6 Valencia64267%98.391.5+6.8
7 Real Madrid74357%95.390.0+5.3
8 Crvena zvezda74357%81.077.4+3.6
9 Barcelona74357%90.188.4+1.7
10 Partizan74357%78.779.0-0.3
11 Virtus Bologna74357%86.686.9-0.3
12 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%85.086.0-1.0
13 Anadolu Efes73443%83.084.3-1.3
14 Besiktas73443%90.692.0-1.4
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv72529%86.993.3-6.4
16 Bayern72529%87.494.1-6.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne72529%87.496.7-9.3
18 Paris61517%84.090.8-6.8
19 Olimpia Milano71614%83.692.6-9.0
20 Baskonia71614%83.392.7-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2628162393
Valencia32252621104
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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