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Paris vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 84-75
23-21 23-20 17-14 21-20
Position#1
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game88.0
Paris 🏆
France
vs
La Rochelle
France
Position#16
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game71.0
FranceLNBRound 3· Adidas Arena
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
80avg 91
A28/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
117avg 91
A30/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
98-92
98
92
+6
105avg 91
H02/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
89avg 91
A04/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
77-70
77
70
+7
83avg 91
A06/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
60avg 91
H09/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
76-115
76
115
-39
77avg 91
H12/06
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
85-89
85
89
-4
69avg 91
A22/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
102-87
102
87
+15
110avg 91
A28/09
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
60avg 91
H04/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
18-30
15-21
14-22
20-20
25-23
23-20
19-24
32-24
18-19
26-28
22-21
18-23
12-23
23-27
27-17
25-11
13-25
17-15
22-19
14-28
21-18
10-18
14-24
18-37
19-26
18-30
21-22
22-24
24-20
23-25
16-20
27-23
26-17
27-27
22-20
18-17
25-18
15-23
19-22
172.9Avg total
83.4Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.588.0181.5+5.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)93.588.0181.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)83.489.5172.9-6.140%
Last 5 (5)79.891.8171.6-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)83.086.2169.2-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.374.9165.2+15.489%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
52-65
52
65
-13
69avg 86
A10/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
68-54
68
54
+14
79avg 86
H16/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
87avg 86
A19/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
75-54
75
54
+21
86avg 86
H22/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
73-70
73
70
+3
79avg 86
H25/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
70-61
70
61
+9
83avg 86
A28/05
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
67-49
67
49
+18
86avg 86
H03/06
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
82avg 86
A06/06
Pro B
Nancy
#9
L
56-64
56
64
-8
70avg 86
A21/09
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
72avg 86
H27/09
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-9
11-18
16-11
13-27
19-12
22-19
13-10
14-13
27-20
16-22
18-19
12-19
26-20
16-8
16-12
17-14
25-16
14-20
19-14
15-20
24-6
13-18
16-16
17-21
18-10
9-15
25-12
15-12
16-13
17-10
12-21
15-16
18-16
10-17
18-14
10-17
9-17
18-20
20-24
17-17
131.2Avg total
67.0Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)60.071.0131.0-11.00%
Season at home (1)64.078.0142.0-14.00%
Season away (1)56.064.0120.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)67.064.2131.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)65.863.8129.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)60.071.0131.0-11.00%
vs Similar (1)87.074.0161.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker (27)73.668.0141.6+5.574%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
ParisLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A30/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H02/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A04/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A06/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H09/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
37-63
37
63
-26
H12/06
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A22/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A28/09
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/10
Euroleague
86.4Avg total
42.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.685.1+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.941.387.2+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)42.739.682.3+3.177%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.986.4-1.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.688.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)41.343.785.0-2.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.738.585.2+8.278%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A10/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H16/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A19/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H22/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A28/05
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H03/06
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A06/06
Pro B
Nancy
#9
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A21/09
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/09
LNB
64.6Avg total
34.0Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.033.671.7+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.733.574.2+7.288%-
Last 30 away (14)35.033.868.8+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)34.030.664.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)30.428.458.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)27.535.062.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (1)48.039.087.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)38.433.371.8+5.178%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.8
53.4%
54.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.5
33.5%
35.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.514.7
71.7%
74.9%14.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.515.3
47.1%
54.3%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.95.8
24.3%
35.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws23.118.0
77.9%
74.9%18.0
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LWLLLWLWWL
La Rochelle
LLWWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#16
-8.0
Net rating
+3.5
111.9
Offensive rating
89.5
119.9
Defensive rating
86.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
42.6%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
40.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
19.3%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.5%
3-point %
24.3%
48.1%
Assist %
79.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 89.5Defence119.9 · 86.0Shooting52.0% · 42.6%3-point %33.5% · 24.3%Ball care15.1% · 19.3%Off. rebounds30.6% · 19.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Paris   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Paris wins
0
La Rochelle wins
No previous meetings.
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24HCrvena zvezda77-80
28/09/24AChalon/Saone102-87
22/09/24AGravelines-Dunkerque85-89
12/06/24HMonaco76-115
09/06/24HMonaco59-88
06/06/24AMonaco77-70
04/06/24AMonaco80-90
02/06/24HLyon-Villeurbanne98-92
30/05/24ALyon-Villeurbanne103-98 OT
28/05/24ALyon-Villeurbanne77-86
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/24HCholet64-78
21/09/24ANancy56-64
06/06/24ABoulazac72-67 OT
03/06/24HBoulazac67-49
28/05/24ARouen70-61
25/05/24HRouen73-70
22/05/24HASA75-54
19/05/24AASA73-80
16/05/24HASA68-54
10/05/24APau-Orthez52-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game93.5-93.5
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential+5.5-+5.5
Avg total181.5-181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.064.056.0
Allowed / game71.078.064.0
Point differential-11.0-14.0-8.0
Avg total131.0142.0120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet220100%92.069.0+23.0
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne220100%89.578.0+11.5
3 Saint Quentin220100%75.567.5+8.0
4 JL Bourg32167%88.373.3+15.0
5 Limoges32167%77.776.7+1.0
6 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%77.782.3-4.7
7 Paris21150%93.588.0+5.5
8 Monaco21150%71.566.5+5.0
9 Nancy21150%74.074.5-0.5
10 Dijon21150%83.085.5-2.5
11 Strasbourg31233%78.784.0-5.3
12 Nanterre31233%74.080.3-6.3
13 Le Mans31233%78.385.3-7.0
14 Le Portel31233%72.383.0-10.7
15 Chalon/Saone3030%82.790.7-8.0
16 La Rochelle2020%60.071.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2323172184
La Rochelle2120142075
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