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Paris vs Nanterre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 96-92
20-25 26-35 27-15 23-17
Position#2
Record17-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game84.6
Paris 🏆
France
vs
Position#3
Record18-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game80.8
FranceLNBRound 25· Adidas Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Paris v Nanterre
04 Apr 2026
PRS96
NAN92
20 Oct 2024
PRS102
NAN86
31 Mar 2024
PRS102
NAN68
18 Feb 2024
PRS90
NAN85
17 Mar 2023
PRS85
NAN79
23 Jan 2022
PRS80
NAN83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nanterre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Limoges
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
88avg 90
A08/03
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-104
87
104
-17
83avg 90
H10/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 90
H12/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
109-115 OT
109
115
-6
100avg 90
H15/03
LNB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
71avg 90
A17/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 90
H19/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
L
85-95
85
95
-10
74avg 90
H22/03
LNB
Dijon
#11
W
92-76
92
76
+16
90avg 90
A27/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-82
103
82
+21
102avg 90
A31/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
103-93
103
93
+10
98avg 90
H02/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
19-21
17-22
20-14
22-33
33-30
16-24
16-17
17-23
14-17
29-13
30-28
16-26
26-22
17-27
38-22
30-24
23-28
16-23
13-18
20-17
23-29
14-20
24-24
23-16
21-22
21-31
20-26
21-22
25-16
26-20
20-18
19-20
34-27
23-16
27-19
30-19
34-22
23-35
16-17
182.7Avg total
91.8Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)98.984.6183.5+14.371%
Season at home (12)100.988.5189.4+12.467%
Season away (12)96.880.7177.5+16.275%
Last 10 (10)91.890.9182.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)92.887.2180.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.798.0187.7-8.333%
vs Similar (12)90.988.3179.2+2.658%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)95.487.0182.4+8.460%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#12
W
95-84
95
84
+11
99avg 86
A24/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
88-82
88
82
+6
84avg 86
H31/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
77-64
77
64
+13
75avg 86
A08/02
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 86
H15/02
LNB
Ada Blois
#4
W
109-80
109
80
+29
111avg 86
A17/02
French Cup
Le Mans
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
63avg 86
A07/03
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
84avg 86
H10/03
French Cup
Strasbourg
#8
W
102-88
102
88
+14
104avg 86
H15/03
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
90-59
90
59
+31
89avg 86
A21/03
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
80-75
80
75
+5
82avg 86
H28/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
23-28
22-23
24-17
33-13
17-26
14-19
24-24
14-17
17-18
22-15
24-14
24-17
14-28
18-23
20-13
21-33
30-13
30-18
28-16
19-22
18-22
24-13
10-22
19-24
20-21
22-26
22-17
24-19
23-27
26-16
29-26
25-20
22-8
24-16
19-15
19-20
27-18
18-22
16-15
165.1Avg total
87.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.780.8168.4+6.975%
Season at home (12)89.682.2171.8+7.483%
Season away (12)85.879.3165.1+6.467%
Last 10 (10)87.178.0165.1+9.170%
Last 5 (5)85.277.8163.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)99.083.0182.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (11)84.582.5167.0+1.955%
vs Weaker (18)92.078.1170.1+13.983%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
ParisNanterre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A08/03
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H10/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/03
LNB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A17/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H19/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/03
LNB
Dijon
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A31/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H02/04
Euroleague
93.7Avg total
48.0Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.543.990.4+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.345.191.3+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)46.742.789.4+4.160%-
Last 10 (10)48.045.793.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)50.042.092.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.051.7100.7-2.733%-
vs Similar (12)47.244.091.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.442.287.6+3.253%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#12
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A24/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H31/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A08/02
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H15/02
LNB
Ada Blois
#4
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A17/02
French Cup
Le Mans
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A07/03
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/03
French Cup
Strasbourg
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H15/03
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A21/03
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/03
LNB
84.5Avg total
43.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.285.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.941.486.3+3.577%-
Last 30 away (17)43.341.084.3+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.084.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.283.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)47.041.088.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (11)41.241.082.2+0.245%-
vs Weaker (18)45.641.386.8+4.372%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀55%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers13.111.7
89.3%
54.8%23.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.712.2
35.2%
34.2%36.6
🏀 Free throws8.86.8
77.3%
75.1%6.8
They take 47.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 73% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.4
53.0%
54.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.8
37.3%
34.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
75.1%16.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWWLLLLWLW
Nanterre
WWWLLWLWWW
#2
League position
#3
+0.6
Net rating
+10.2
55.9
Offensive rating
99.0
55.3
Defensive rating
88.8
62.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
62.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
20.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.2%
3-point %
37.3%
82.4%
Assist %
76.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence55.9 · 99.0Defence55.3 · 88.8Shooting62.8% · 54.2%3-point %35.2% · 37.3%Ball care20.8% · 15.8%Free throws0.18 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Paris   ■ Nanterre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Paris wins
3
Nanterre wins
DateGameScore
26/12/25Nanterre v Paris99-83
01/02/25Nanterre v Paris78-92
20/10/24Paris v Nanterre102-86
31/03/24Paris v Nanterre102-68
18/02/24Paris v Nanterre90-85
21/10/23Nanterre v Paris67-98
17/03/23Paris v Nanterre85-79
27/09/22Nanterre v Paris97-83
25/03/22Nanterre v Paris104-107 OT
23/01/22Paris v Nanterre80-83
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/26HOlimpia Milano103-93
31/03/26AVirtus Bologna103-82
27/03/26ADijon92-76
22/03/26HJL Bourg85-95
19/03/26HPartizan81-90
17/03/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv82-93
15/03/26HGravelines-Dunkerque109-115 OT
12/03/26HLyon-Villeurbanne90-81
10/03/26HOlympiacos87-104
08/03/26ALimoges86-80
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HSaint Quentin80-75
21/03/26ALe Portel90-59
15/03/26HStrasbourg102-88
10/03/26HMonaco83-88
07/03/26ALe Mans71-79
17/02/26AAda Blois109-80
15/02/26HMonaco76-81
08/02/26ALyon-Villeurbanne77-64
31/01/26HChalon/Saone88-82
24/01/26ABoulazac95-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game98.9100.996.8
Allowed / game84.688.580.7
Point differential+14.3+12.4+16.2
Avg total183.5189.4177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%58%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Nanterre
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game87.789.685.8
Allowed / game80.882.279.3
Point differential+6.9+7.4+6.4
Avg total168.4171.8165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2421388%94.683.6+11.0
2 Nanterre2418675%87.780.8+6.9
3 Paris2417771%98.984.6+14.3
4 Strasbourg2416867%84.884.7+0.2
5 JL Bourg2315865%87.782.8+4.9
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne2314961%87.879.8+8.0
7 Cholet25151060%87.184.6+2.4
8 Le Mans25141156%89.086.8+2.2
9 Chalon/Saone24121250%84.684.8-0.2
10 Nancy25111444%86.288.2-2.0
11 Boulazac25101540%82.584.0-1.5
12 Dijon2491538%89.090.3-1.3
13 Gravelines-Dunkerque2471729%83.190.6-7.5
14 Limoges2471729%82.390.0-7.7
15 Saint Quentin2561924%80.187.2-7.1
16 Le Portel231224%73.496.2-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2026272396
Nanterre2535151792
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