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Paris vs Nanterre Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 09 May 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game75.8
FranceLNBRound 30· Adidas Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Paris v Nanterre
04 Apr 2026
PRS96
NAN92
20 Oct 2024
PRS102
NAN86
31 Mar 2024
PRS102
NAN68
18 Feb 2024
PRS90
NAN85
17 Mar 2023
PRS85
NAN79
23 Jan 2022
PRS80
NAN83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nanterre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#5
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A04/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H07/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#7
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H11/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
94-96
94
96
-2
H14/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A16/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#14
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H18/10
LNB
Valencia
#5
L
93-104
93
104
-11
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#10
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#8
W
99-93
99
93
+6
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
29-20
25-33
32-27
21-14
22-32
34-28
19-24
29-20
32-18
20-25
17-21
26-26
12-20
27-18
29-32
18-28
18-18
22-31
23-13
18-24
23-20
21-15
28-16
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
185.9Avg total
94.9Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.081.6174.6+11.4100%
Season at home (2)94.079.5173.5+14.5100%
Season away (3)92.383.0175.3+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)94.991.0185.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)95.488.2183.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.491.2176.6-5.840%
vs Similar (11)94.894.8189.6+0.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.582.2174.7+10.379%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H06/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H08/06
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#11
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H26/09
LNB
Roanne
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A02/10
LNB
Trabzonspor
#13
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
A07/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
101-73
101
73
+28
H10/10
LNB
Rytas
#14
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H13/10
Champions League
Nancy
#12
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A17/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H24/10
LNB
Sabah Baku
#38
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A27/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
8-23
18-21
15-19
24-17
13-32
19-18
22-22
23-14
18-12
14-18
23-20
23-24
24-23
17-19
19-27
19-18
22-27
13-19
22-12
21-19
22-20
28-17
30-17
21-17
14-13
31-15
27-20
20-19
18-27
16-19
11-15
23-17
21-17
22-17
20-18
21-23
19-26
22-20
18-18
160.4Avg total
80.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.675.8158.4+6.860%
Season at home (3)88.368.7157.0+19.7100%
Season away (2)74.086.5160.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)80.879.6160.4+1.240%
Last 5 (5)85.074.8159.8+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)92.096.0188.0-4.00%
vs Similar (12)78.380.9159.2-2.642%
vs Weaker (17)87.277.8165.0+9.471%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
ParisNanterre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#7
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H11/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H18/10
LNB
Valencia
#5
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
44.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.946.091.0-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.446.693.0-0.225%-
Last 30 away (14)43.345.488.6-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.489.2+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)44.845.490.2-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.246.089.2-2.840%-
vs Similar (11)44.247.791.9-3.518%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.144.790.9+1.443%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H06/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H08/06
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#11
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H26/09
LNB
Roanne
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A02/10
LNB
Trabzonspor
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/10
LNB
Rytas
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H13/10
Champions League
Nancy
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/10
LNB
Sabah Baku
#38
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A27/10
Champions League
80.2Avg total
39.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.782.9+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.279.7+3.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.843.386.1-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.679.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)60.046.0106.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar (12)39.141.780.8-2.642%-
vs Weaker (17)43.339.883.1+3.571%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
33.9%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
74.2%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.9
52.9%
55.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.1
29.5%
33.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.0
69.0%
74.2%14.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWWLWLLWLW
Nanterre
LWLWWLLWLL
#1
League position
#6
+4.0
Net rating
+0.6
103.4
Offensive rating
91.5
99.4
Defensive rating
90.9
57.9%
Effective FG%
49.3%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.7%
3-point %
29.5%
59.2%
Assist %
70.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 91.5Defence99.4 · 90.9Shooting57.9% · 49.3%3-point %36.7% · 29.5%Ball care14.7% · 15.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Paris   ■ Nanterre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Paris wins
2
Nanterre wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Paris v Nanterre96-92
26/12/25Nanterre v Paris99-83
01/02/25Nanterre v Paris78-92
20/10/24Paris v Nanterre102-86
31/03/24Paris v Nanterre102-68
18/02/24Paris v Nanterre90-85
21/10/23Nanterre v Paris67-98
17/03/23Paris v Nanterre85-79
27/09/22Nanterre v Paris97-83
25/03/22Nanterre v Paris104-107 OT
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104
18/10/26HBoulazac90-75
16/10/26ACrvena zvezda81-90
14/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-96
11/10/26HStrasbourg98-84
07/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne96-98
04/10/26ALe Mans103-101
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26ASabah Baku80-87
24/10/26HCholet86-69
17/10/26ANancy65-80
13/10/26HRytas93-65
10/10/26HGravelines-Dunkerque101-73
07/10/26ATrabzonspor83-93 OT
02/10/26ARoanne83-93
26/09/26HPau-Orthez78-64
08/06/26HMonaco78-89
06/06/26HMonaco61-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.094.092.3
Allowed / game81.679.583.0
Point differential+11.4+14.5+9.3
Avg total174.6173.5175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nanterre
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game82.688.374.0
Allowed / game75.868.786.5
Point differential+6.8+19.7-12.5
Avg total158.4157.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris550100%93.081.6+11.4
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne550100%87.679.0+8.6
3 Dijon65183%92.583.5+9.0
4 Chalon/Saone54180%91.877.4+14.4
5 Le Mans54180%98.089.8+8.2
6 Nanterre53260%82.675.8+6.8
7 Strasbourg63350%82.087.3-5.3
8 JL Bourg52340%89.087.8+1.2
9 Cholet52340%80.284.8-4.6
10 Roanne52340%79.285.2-6.0
11 Pau-Orthez52340%78.284.4-6.2
12 Nancy62433%79.784.7-5.0
13 Limoges51420%87.489.4-2.0
14 Boulazac51420%77.085.6-8.6
15 Saint Quentin61517%88.797.3-8.7
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque5050%79.891.0-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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