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Parma Perm vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 92-78
32-26 26-18 22-18 12-16
Position#6
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#12
Record7-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parma Perm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Parma PermLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerm
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#31
W
67-52
67
52
+15
no box
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Unics Kazan
#3
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
H01/11
VTB United League
Opava
#35
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
65-79
65
79
-14
61avg 72
A08/11
VTB United League
Benfica
#5
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
80-53
80
53
+27
81avg 72
A15/11
VTB United League
Den Bosch
#31
W
92-75
92
75
+17
no box
A17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Zielona Gora
#11
W
83-72
83
72
+11
85avg 72
H06/12
VTB United League
Legia
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
83avg 72
H11/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-7
20-18
10-16
20-11
21-20
12-17
24-19
9-17
21-11
22-19
20-18
19-15
14-21
21-16
22-17
8-25
24-15
18-22
17-21
19-20
22-16
23-8
18-15
17-14
22-26
23-21
23-21
24-7
22-11
20-16
27-20
14-25
33-12
19-17
10-22
10-19
27-14
25-24
17-20
16-32
150.0Avg total
78.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.474.1156.6+8.371%
Season at home (3)87.376.0163.3+11.367%
Season away (4)78.872.8151.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)78.171.9150.0+6.260%
Last 5 (5)82.472.0154.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.082.4149.4-15.412%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.080.5155.5-5.512%
vs Weaker (12)83.068.9151.9+14.192%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 80
H31/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#14
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A06/11
BBL
Donar Groningen
#24
W
84-61
84
61
+23
no box
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
57-84
57
84
-27
no box
H13/11
German Cup
London Lions
#18
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
100-68
100
68
+32
99avg 80
H20/11
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
78avg 80
A04/12
BBL
Leiden
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
85-72
85
72
+13
73avg 80
H11/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
30-22
16-27
16-16
24-21
22-17
20-28
17-13
22-25
21-15
22-33
24-14
24-11
20-25
22-13
18-12
8-30
17-17
18-20
14-17
31-29
27-13
21-22
18-14
28-11
19-16
27-22
26-19
20-15
21-25
21-15
25-29
25-13
20-24
17-30
22-22
26-25
17-22
16-18
26-7
163.3Avg total
84.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.976.0160.9+8.978%
Season at home (6)85.376.5161.8+8.883%
Season away (3)84.075.0159.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)84.478.9163.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)90.678.2168.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.585.6162.1-9.112%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.979.3163.1+4.667%
vs Weaker (6)92.875.2168.0+17.7100%
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
Parma PermBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Parma PermLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#31
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Unics Kazan
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H01/11
VTB United League
Opava
#35
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/11
VTB United League
Benfica
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A15/11
VTB United League
Den Bosch
#31
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Zielona Gora
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H06/12
VTB United League
Legia
#3
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H11/12
VTB United League
75.7Avg total
42.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.177.5+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.938.177.9+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.277.1+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.633.175.7+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.233.080.2+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.942.878.6-6.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.538.678.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker (12)42.234.977.1+7.275%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H31/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/11
BBL
Donar Groningen
#24
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H13/11
German Cup
London Lions
#18
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H20/11
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/12
BBL
Leiden
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H11/12
BBL
83.6Avg total
43.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.383.7+3.070%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.639.984.4+4.772%-
Last 30 away (12)41.541.082.5+0.567%-
Last 10 (10)43.839.883.6+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.685.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.244.683.9-5.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.538.481.9+5.180%-
vs Weaker (6)47.738.386.0+9.383%-
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parma Permtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parma Perm: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.4
49.7%
52.5%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.7
35.3%
34.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.611.6
74.4%
73.2%11.6
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.3
52.9%
52.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.4
39.8%
34.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
73.2%15.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parma Perm
LWWWWLLWLW
Bayreuth
WLWWWLWWWL
#6
League position
#12
+1.3
Net rating
+2.6
103.9
Offensive rating
112.6
102.7
Defensive rating
110.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
55.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
20.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.3%
3-point %
39.8%
75.5%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 112.6Defence102.7 · 110.0Shooting51.2% · 55.6%3-point %35.3% · 39.8%Ball care20.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.4% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Parma Perm   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parma Perm wins
0
Bayreuth wins
No previous meetings.
Parma Permlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21HLokomotiv Kuban85-90
08/12/21ALegia72-70
06/12/21HZielona Gora83-72
17/11/21ADen Bosch92-75
15/11/21ABC Kalev/Cramo80-53
11/11/21HBenfica89-92 OT
08/11/21ANizhny Novgorod65-79
04/11/21AOpava82-63
01/11/21HUnics Kazan66-73
27/10/21HDen Bosch67-52
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21HFrankfurt85-72
08/12/21HLeiden84-89
04/12/21ABamberg87-84
20/11/21HSyntainics MBC100-68
17/11/21HLondon Lions97-78
13/11/21HAlba Berlin57-84
10/11/21HDonar Groningen84-61
06/11/21AHeidelberg89-87
03/11/21HKapfenberg Bulls83-79
31/10/21HBayern78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parma Perm
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game82.487.378.8
Allowed / game74.176.072.8
Point differential+8.3+11.3+6.0
Avg total156.6163.3151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Bayreuth
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL78%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game84.985.384.0
Allowed / game76.076.575.0
Point differential+8.9+8.8+9.0
Avg total160.9161.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.880100%85.071.4+13.6
2 Saratov76186%94.079.7+14.3
3 Legia76186%76.068.9+7.1
4 Bayreuth97278%84.976.0+8.9
5 Benfica97278%81.278.1+3.1
6 Sporting CP75271%78.769.3+9.4
7 Parma Perm75271%82.474.1+8.3
8 Reggiana75271%83.076.7+6.3
9 London Lions75271%83.378.7+4.6
10 Kyiv Basket75271%76.774.6+2.1
11 Crailsheim Merlins74357%82.074.6+7.4
12 CSM Oradea74357%69.366.9+2.4
13 Leiden74357%76.379.0-2.7
14 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
15 Bakken Bears84450%86.985.9+1.0
16 FC Porto84450%70.570.0+0.5
17 Ironi Eilat63350%82.882.3+0.5
18 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
19 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
20 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
21 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
22 Ionikos63350%78.382.8-4.5
23 Trefl Sopot94544%79.276.7+2.6
24 Antwerp Giants73443%79.080.3-1.3
25 Donar Groningen83538%72.474.6-2.2
26 Iraklis83538%74.078.8-4.8
27 Mornar Bar62433%80.778.3+2.3
28 Belfius Mons62433%72.376.8-4.5
29 Basket Zaragoza62433%80.785.8-5.2
30 Peristeri62433%74.379.5-5.2
31 Den Bosch62433%73.380.0-6.7
32 Rilski Sportist62433%79.285.8-6.7
33 Minsk62433%80.588.5-8.0
34 Szolnoki Olaj61517%68.575.2-6.7
35 Opava61517%81.788.7-7.0
36 Gilboa Galil61517%73.891.8-18.0
37 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
38 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
39 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
40 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
41 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
42 Kapfenberg Bulls6060%72.087.5-15.5
43 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
44 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
45 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parma Perm3226221292
Bayreuth2618181678
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