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Bayreuth vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-61
24-11 20-25 22-13 18-12
Position#12
Record5-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#24
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
H05/10
German Cup
Chemnitz
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 79
A09/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
100-70
100
70
+30
no box
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
68avg 79
A17/10
BBL
Donar Groningen
#24
W
71-64
71
64
+7
no box
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 79
H23/10
BBL
London Lions
#18
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 79
H31/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#14
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A06/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
26-23
30-12
16-25
23-18
15-16
30-24
18-14
24-18
25-19
24-15
27-18
12-23
23-17
26-20
9-17
22-12
17-19
19-18
13-15
23-22
11-25
19-19
21-20
21-22
15-30
26-21
19-18
16-22
30-22
16-27
16-16
24-21
22-17
20-28
17-13
22-25
21-15
22-33
24-14
162.2Avg total
82.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.276.0159.2+7.283%
Season at home (3)82.377.0159.3+5.3100%
Season away (3)84.075.0159.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)82.579.7162.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)81.086.0167.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.385.8164.1-7.411%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.681.0163.6+1.664%
vs Weaker (9)91.677.2168.8+14.389%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Benfica
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hague
#11
W
91-52
91
52
+39
no box
A06/10
DBL
Zwolle
#3
L
67-69 OT
67
69
-2
no box
H09/10
DBL
London Lions
#18
L
60-79
60
79
-19
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#10
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A16/10
DBL
Bayreuth
#12
L
64-71
64
71
-7
no box
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
no box
H23/10
DBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
no box
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#3
W
75-63
75
63
+12
no box
A31/10
DBL
London Lions
#18
L
67-85
67
85
-18
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
15-15
20-22
21-22
22-17
22-15
27-14
20-6
17-24
9-6
25-22
9-8
13-13
9-26
22-21
16-19
18-19
20-24
29-20
21-15
12-22
19-17
18-19
15-13
19-21
18-14
19-21
6-12
21-19
14-16
19-18
22-23
12-16
12-14
27-16
24-17
18-16
19-16
14-29
16-24
146.7Avg total
73.6Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.275.7147.8-3.533%
Season at home (3)65.777.0142.7-11.30%
Season away (3)78.774.3153.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)73.673.1146.7+0.540%
Last 5 (5)71.474.4145.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.975.6146.4-4.722%
vs Weaker (19)88.575.1163.6+13.468%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
BayreuthDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/10
German Cup
Chemnitz
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A09/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A17/10
BBL
Donar Groningen
#24
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/10
BBL
London Lions
#18
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H31/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/11
BBL
82.3Avg total
41.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.440.084.4+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.883.3-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.082.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.285.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.044.385.3-3.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.239.182.3+4.182%-
vs Weaker (9)44.239.083.2+5.256%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hague
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A06/10
DBL
Zwolle
#3
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H09/10
DBL
London Lions
#18
L
22-39
22
39
-17
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/10
DBL
Bayreuth
#12
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H23/10
DBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#3
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A31/10
DBL
London Lions
#18
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
67.8Avg total
32.6Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.475.9-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.139.073.1-4.931%-
Last 30 away (17)40.138.078.1+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)32.635.267.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.267.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.037.069.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.238.670.8-6.333%-
vs Weaker (19)39.537.977.4+1.542%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.7
54.6%
52.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.8
38.8%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
73.2%17.0
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.0
46.2%
52.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.5
31.1%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws8.57.0
82.4%
73.2%7.0
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
WWLLLWLWWW
Donar Groningen
LWWLLWLLWL
#12
League position
#24
+3.4
Net rating
+23.2
111.2
Offensive rating
103.5
107.9
Defensive rating
80.4
56.0%
Effective FG%
46.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
12.4%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.12
38.8%
3-point %
31.1%
67.4%
Assist %
65.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 103.5Defence107.9 · 80.4Shooting56.0% · 46.4%3-point %38.8% · 31.1%Ball care18.8% · 12.4%Off. rebounds27.4% · 31.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.12Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayreuth wins
0
Donar Groningen wins
DateGameScore
19/10/21Donar Groningen v Bayreuth64-71
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/21AHeidelberg89-87
03/11/21HKapfenberg Bulls83-79
31/10/21HBayern78-87
27/10/21ALondon Lions81-91
23/10/21HCrailsheim Merlins74-86
19/10/21ADonar Groningen71-64
17/10/21AHamburg70-77
13/10/21AKapfenberg Bulls100-70
09/10/21AChemnitz86-72
05/10/21HHamburg93-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/21ALondon Lions67-85
31/10/21AZwolle75-63
27/10/21AKapfenberg Bulls89-85 OT
23/10/21HDen Bosch62-68
19/10/21HBayreuth64-71
16/10/21ADen Helder88-78
13/10/21HLondon Lions60-79
09/10/21HZwolle67-69 OT
06/10/21AHague91-52
01/10/21HBenfica73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game83.282.384.0
Allowed / game76.077.075.0
Point differential+7.2+5.3+9.0
Avg total159.2159.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%0%67%
Points / game72.265.778.7
Allowed / game75.777.074.3
Point differential-3.5-11.3+4.3
Avg total147.8142.7153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saratov440100%96.278.0+18.2
2 London Lions550100%84.669.4+15.2
3 Legia550100%76.065.8+10.2
4 Bahcesehir Kol.550100%79.870.4+9.4
5 Bayreuth65183%83.276.0+7.2
6 Benfica65183%82.877.0+5.8
7 Sporting CP43175%78.563.0+15.5
8 Parma Perm43175%81.070.5+10.5
9 Reggiana43175%85.074.5+10.5
10 Crailsheim Merlins53260%83.276.6+6.6
11 Bakken Bears53260%86.284.2+2.0
12 Ironi Eilat53260%82.881.0+1.8
13 Antwerp Giants53260%77.877.2+0.6
14 Kyiv Basket53260%72.675.6-3.0
15 FC Porto74357%69.068.3+0.7
16 Mornar Bar42250%82.277.2+5.0
17 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
18 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
19 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
20 Leiden42250%76.578.0-1.5
21 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
22 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
23 Trefl Sopot73443%78.974.9+4.0
24 CSM Oradea52340%67.868.4-0.6
25 Peristeri52340%78.279.8-1.6
26 Rilski Sportist52340%82.686.2-3.6
27 Den Bosch52340%73.077.6-4.6
28 Minsk52340%80.687.6-7.0
29 Ionikos52340%75.483.6-8.2
30 Donar Groningen62433%72.275.7-3.5
31 Iraklis72529%72.778.3-5.6
32 Belfius Mons41325%70.076.0-6.0
33 Basket Zaragoza41325%81.089.5-8.5
34 Szolnoki Olaj51420%68.274.6-6.4
35 Opava51420%81.289.2-8.0
36 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
37 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
38 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
39 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
40 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
41 Kapfenberg Bulls5050%74.688.0-13.4
42 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
43 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
44 Gilboa Galil4040%73.093.2-20.2
45 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth2420221884
Donar Groningen1125131261
← all games of the day
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