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Parma Perm vs Samara Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 109-68
23-13 29-19 25-21 32-15
Position#5
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game86.7
Vs
98%
■ PPE 98%■ SAM 2%
Pythia win probability
Projected 97-69
Projected total 166.4
Position#11
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game95.4
RussiaVTB United League· Molot Sports Hall
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Parma Perm v Samara
03 Nov 2026
PPE109
SAM68
08 Apr 2026
PPE76
SAM65
22 Oct 2025
PPE103
SAM81
29 Mar 2025
PPE105
SAM69
27 Oct 2024
PPE92
SAM89
04 Feb 2024
PPE68
SAM77
09 Mar 2023
PPE72
SAM67
02 Dec 2022
PPE81
SAM83
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Parma Perm will host Samara on 3 November 2026 in the VTB United League, and the Pythia model names Parma Perm the clear favourite with a 98% chance of victory, reflecting their 3-3 record and 87.3 points per game compared to Samara's 0-7 record and 69.6 points per game. Parma Perm have scored an average of 87.3 points while allowing 86.7, and their lone home game saw 108 points scored and 90 allowed, showing a strong offensive burst. Samara, meanwhile, have struggled on the road, going 0-2 with 69.5 points per game and 84.0 points allowed, and their last five games have yielded no wins. In head-to-head history Parma Perm lead 7-3, most recently defeating Samara 76-65 on 8 April 2026. Pythia projects a 97-69 score, 166.4 total points, and a 49% chance that Parma Perm will cover the -28.5 spread, while the over on the 169.0 line has a 43% probability.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parma Perm winWon
98.4%fair 1.02
Best odds1.01
Implied95.0%
Edge+3.4pp
Samara winLost
1.6%fair 61.60
Best odds19.50
Implied5.0%
Edge-3.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Parma PermRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A18/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A27/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A29/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H03/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#4
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A26/09
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A07/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#6
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A10/10
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#8
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A13/10
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#9
W
108-90
108
90
+18
H17/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A27/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
24-25
14-27
26-18
12-28
21-19
27-21
20-25
19-23
23-23
19-12
15-21
27-16
21-17
23-26
11-28
20-17
28-25
21-26
28-20
19-23
25-20
19-25
22-31
25-17
20-27
23-17
18-10
31-14
17-31
21-31
22-17
26-23
24-23
29-22
29-22
14-14
12-11
15-25
16-29
172.4Avg total
85.0Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.386.7174.0+0.750%
Season at home (1)108.090.0198.0+18.0100%
Season away (5)83.286.0169.2-2.840%
Last 10 (10)85.087.4172.4-2.430%
Last 5 (5)85.486.4171.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.682.4159.0-5.825%
vs Similar (8)83.088.9171.9-5.912%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.273.4155.6+8.871%
This opponent (Samara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamaraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#6
L
74-99
74
99
-25
H15/04
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H20/04
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A22/04
VTB United League
Saratov
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A26/09
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#9
L
84-98
84
98
-14
H04/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#4
L
62-117
62
117
-55
H07/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A14/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#6
L
75-94
75
94
-19
H17/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
65-99
65
99
-34
H21/10
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
62-92
62
92
-30
H25/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
19-18
10-29
17-22
17-24
18-25
23-13
18-16
22-20
14-21
16-21
9-17
19-7
17-24
9-27
24-19
23-34
27-20
19-26
15-18
15-25
14-25
21-34
12-33
20-25
16-14
14-30
20-22
23-17
17-29
16-20
19-28
19-31
13-17
19-27
14-24
17-21
14-28
15-24
16-19
162.2Avg total
69.8Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.695.4165.0-25.90%
Season at home (5)69.6100.0169.6-30.40%
Season away (2)69.584.0153.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)69.892.4162.2-22.60%
Last 5 (5)66.898.6165.4-31.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)70.694.4165.0-23.83%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1251%1302%1354%1406%1458%15010%15512%16012%16511%17010%1758%1806%1854%1902%1951%2001%205
1%1252%1356%14510%15512%16510%1756%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 166 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 167.
Over/Under 162Actual: Over 162
Over 162
61.1%
@ 1.52
Under 162
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.52
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167 · main lineActual: Over 167
Over 167
48.4%
@ 1.93-1.6pp
Under 167
51.6%
@ 1.87+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Over/Under 172Actual: Over 172
Over 172
35.9%
@ 2.20-6.4pp
Under 172
64.1%
@ 1.58+6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Marathon Be
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Parma Perm total 93.5Actual: Parma Perm over 93.5
Over 93.5
64.6%
Under 93.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma Perm total 97.5 · main lineActual: Parma Perm over 97.5
Over 97.5
49.2%
@ 1.89-0.3pp
Under 97.5
50.8%
@ 1.85+0.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Parma Perm total 99.5Actual: Parma Perm over 99.5
Over 99.5
41.6%
@ 1.95-5.8pp
Under 99.5
58.4%
@ 1.76+5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Under
Marathon Be
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Samara total 65.5Actual: Samara over 65.5
Over 65.5
63.9%
Under 65.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samara total 69 · main lineActual: Samara under 69
Over 69
50.3%
@ 1.87+0.3pp
Under 69
49.7%
@ 1.87-0.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Samara total 73Actual: Samara under 73
Over 73
34.3%
Under 73
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-61%-31%+02%+32%+63%+95%+126%+157%+188%+219%+2410%+279%+308%+337%+367%+395%+423%+453%+482%+511%+541%+57
1%-32%+33%+96%+158%+2110%+278%+337%+393%+452%+511%+57
Margin from Parma Perm's side (positive = Parma Perm win). Pythia's expected margin is +28.2; Parma Perm win by 1+ in 98% of simulations.
Spread Parma Perm -31Actual: Parma Perm -31
PPE -31
40.6%
@ 2.33+0.9pp
SAM +31
59.4%
@ 1.60-0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
PPE
Pinnacle
2.33
Marathon Be
2.19
1xBet
2.19
SAM
Marathon Be
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.53
Spread Parma Perm -28 · main lineActual: Parma Perm -28
PPE -28
50.5%
@ 1.89-0.4pp
SAM +28
49.5%
@ 1.90+0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
PPE
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.83
SAM
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Spread Parma Perm -25Actual: Parma Perm -25
PPE -25
60.6%
@ 1.57+2.4pp
SAM +25
39.4%
@ 2.19-2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
PPE
Marathon Be
1.57
1xBet
1.57
SAM
Marathon Be
2.19
1xBet
2.19

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -8.9-8.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -5.4-5.4
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -8.9-8.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -5.4-5.4
Parma PermSamara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Parma PermLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A18/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A27/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A29/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H03/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A26/09
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A07/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A10/10
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/10
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#9
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H17/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A27/10
VTB United League
85.3Avg total
43.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 83
Last 30 (30)41.438.880.2+2.557%40%
Last 30 at home (11)41.137.578.6+3.555%36%
Last 30 away (19)41.539.681.1+1.958%42%
Last 10 (10)43.242.185.3+1.170%70%
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.0100%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.640.281.9+1.475%62%
vs Similar (8)41.240.581.8+0.850%38%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.337.178.4+4.250%29%
This opponent (Samara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/04
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H20/04
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/04
VTB United League
Saratov
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A26/09
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#9
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#4
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H07/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A14/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H17/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H21/10
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H25/10
VTB United League
82.7Avg total
37.2Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 83
Last 30 (30)35.247.382.5-12.117%50%
Last 30 at home (18)35.148.683.7-13.611%50%
Last 30 away (12)35.445.480.8-10.025%50%
Last 10 (10)37.245.582.7-8.310%40%
Last 5 (5)33.646.480.0-12.80%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)35.247.382.5-12.117%50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Parma Perm -15 · main lineActual: Parma Perm -15
PPE -15
47.0%
@ 1.88-2.7pp
SAM +15
53.0%
@ 1.86+2.7pp
1st half Over/Under 83 · main lineActual: Over 83
Over
51.7%
@ 1.88+2.0pp
Under
48.3%
@ 1.86-2.0pp
Parma Perm 1st half total 49 · main lineActual: Parma Perm over 49
Over
49.8%
@ 1.89+0.3pp
Under
50.2%
@ 1.85-0.3pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Parma Perm (regulation)
PPE
92.5%
@ 1.03+3.7pp
Draw
1.4%
@ 28.00-1.9pp
SAM
6.1%
@ 11.50-1.8pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 3 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
2nd half: Parma Perm (regulation)91.6%1.08
Marathon Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
---+7.0ppWon
Q3: Parma Perm (regulation)80.9%1.22
Marathon Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
---+5.8ppWon
Q1: Parma Perm (regulation)82.5%1.17
Marathon Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
---+4.2ppWon
1st half: Parma Perm (regulation)92.5%1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathon Bet
1.03
---+3.7ppWon
Q2: Parma Perm (regulation)82.3%1.16
Marathon Bet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
---+3.6ppWon
Parma Perm win98.4%1.01
Marathon Bet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+3.4ppWon
Q1: Parma Perm or draw86.0%1.10
Marathon Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-----
Q2: Parma Perm or draw85.7%1.06
1xBet
1.10
Marathon Bet
1.01
-----
Q3: Parma Perm or draw84.6%1.14
Marathon Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-----
Under 177.575.8%1.35
Marathon Bet
1.35
-----Won
Under 17775.3%1.36
Marathon Bet
1.36
-----Push
Samara +36.574.4%1.27
Marathon Bet
1.27
-----Lost
Samara +3673.8%1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28
-----Lost
Under 176.573.8%1.35
Marathon Bet
1.35
-----Lost
Parma Perm -20.573.5%1.31
Marathon Bet
1.31
-----Won
Under 17673.2%1.36
Marathon Bet
1.36
-----Lost
Parma Perm -2172.8%1.32
Marathon Bet
1.32
-----Won
Samara +35.571.9%1.32
Marathon Bet
1.32
-----Lost
Under 175.571.7%1.39
Marathon Bet
1.39
-----Lost
Samara +3571.2%1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33
-----Lost
Under 17571.0%1.40
Marathon Bet
1.40
-----Lost
Parma Perm -21.570.8%1.35
Marathon Bet
1.35
-----Won
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parma Permtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parma Perm: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.8
50.0%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
-25.8
🏀 Free throws18.212.5
68.7%
-12.5
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samaratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Parma Perm wins
3
Samara wins
DateGameScore
08/04/26Parma Perm v Samara76-65
29/01/26Samara v Parma Perm74-93
22/10/25Parma Perm v Samara103-81
11/10/25Samara v Parma Perm57-107
29/03/25Parma Perm v Samara105-69
01/02/25Samara v Parma Perm86-78
21/12/24Samara v Parma Perm73-81
27/10/24Parma Perm v Samara92-89
04/02/24Parma Perm v Samara68-77
22/11/23Samara v Parma Perm85-83
Parma Permlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26ACSKA Moscow57-79
17/10/26HDynamo Vladivostok108-90
13/10/26AMBA Moscow91-93
10/10/26AUralmash Ekaterinburg86-71
07/10/26AZenit Petersburg85-99
26/09/26AUnics Kazan97-88
03/05/26HLokomotiv Kuban82-87
29/04/26ALokomotiv Kuban76-79
27/04/26ALokomotiv Kuban80-93
18/04/26ALokomotiv Kuban88-95
Samaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HLokomotiv Kuban62-92
21/10/26HZenit Petersburg65-99
17/10/26HUralmash Ekaterinburg75-94
14/10/26AEnisey70-91
07/10/26HUnics Kazan62-117
04/10/26HDynamo Vladivostok84-98
26/09/26ASaratov69-77
22/04/26AMBA Moscow61-79
20/04/26HNizhny Novgorod76-78
15/04/26HUralmash Ekaterinburg74-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parma Perm
VTB United League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %50%100%40%
Points / game87.3108.083.2
Allowed / game86.790.086.0
Point differential+0.7+18.0-2.8
Avg total174.0198.0169.2
Over 16767%100%60%
Win by 10+33%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samara
VTB United League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.669.669.5
Allowed / game95.4100.084.0
Point differential-25.9-30.4-14.5
Avg total165.0169.6153.5
Over 16743%60%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow770100%91.970.4+21.4
2 Lokomotiv Kuban76186%89.375.4+13.9
3 Zenit Petersburg86275%86.276.9+9.4
4 Unics Kazan75271%96.477.3+19.1
5 Parma Perm63350%87.386.7+0.7
6 Uralmash Ekaterinburg73443%81.484.6-3.1
7 Saratov83538%74.188.2-14.1
8 MBA Moscow62433%81.790.2-8.5
9 Dynamo Vladivostok72529%85.793.7-8.0
10 Enisey61517%78.885.0-6.2
11 Samara7070%69.695.4-25.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parma Perm23292532109
Samara1319211568
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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