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Parnu vs Den Bosch Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-67
26-18 17-20 9-15 23-14
Position#32
Record1-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game84.8
Parnu 🏆
vs
Position#26
Record3-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game67.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
FC Porto
#16
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Den Bosch
#26
L
55-87
55
87
-32
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Prometey
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
FC Porto
#16
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
23-24
18-27
25-19
28-13
21-26
17-16
29-28
23-14
21-21
24-20
17-16
16-16
10-22
12-25
17-24
13-24
16-17
25-18
17-18
21-19
14-19
14-23
15-21
18-19
15-21
14-18
12-15
24-25
11-22
12-26
17-14
15-21
18-15
16-15
14-20
29-13
14-31
21-19
18-20
153.4Avg total
73.0Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.584.8154.2-15.225%
Season at home (1)95.083.0178.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)61.085.3146.3-24.30%
Last 10 (10)73.080.4153.4-7.430%
Last 5 (5)66.479.2145.6-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.680.5154.1-6.933%
vs Similar (4)78.876.8155.5+2.075%
vs Weaker (13)84.378.4162.7+5.977%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#20
W
112-50
112
50
+62
A08/10
BNXT League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H15/10
BNXT League
Parnu
#32
W
87-55
87
55
+32
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leiden
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A23/10
BNXT League
FC Porto
#16
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#19
W
96-61
96
61
+35
H30/10
BNXT League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#14
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A06/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H20/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-16
28-12
27-11
21-11
20-23
17-19
18-20
23-21
19-14
21-20
21-18
24-18
16-16
22-10
25-12
24-17
22-28
26-10
15-21
25-22
25-19
13-19
11-18
22-12
23-19
22-15
26-16
25-11
18-14
19-19
15-13
25-19
18-25
22-20
24-17
21-22
16-23
31-14
22-13
25-9
154.9Avg total
87.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.267.8146.0+10.575%
Season at home (2)82.060.0142.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)87.367.6154.9+19.790%
Last 5 (5)84.667.4152.0+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.181.7151.8-11.644%
vs Similar (12)78.975.0153.9+3.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.363.1154.4+28.1100%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +7.3+7.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +7.3+7.3
ParnuDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
FC Porto
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Den Bosch
#26
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Prometey
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
FC Porto
#16
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
77.8Avg total
37.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.780.9-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.485.1+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)37.240.077.2-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.277.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.076.8-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.241.476.7-6.225%-
vs Similar (4)41.838.280.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker (13)44.440.985.3+3.554%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#20
W
64-28
64
28
+36
A08/10
BNXT League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H15/10
BNXT League
Parnu
#32
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leiden
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A23/10
BNXT League
FC Porto
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#19
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/10
BNXT League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A06/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H20/11
BNXT League
78.9Avg total
43.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.977.4+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.134.274.3+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.080.9+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.435.578.9+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.478.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.241.979.1-4.744%-
vs Similar (12)39.435.875.2+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.335.079.3+9.371%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.021.0
46.7%
52.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.09.0
45.0%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.09.0
81.8%
73.2%9.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.5
47.1%
52.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.5
37.3%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws11.59.0
78.3%
73.2%9.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLLLLLLWWW
Den Bosch
WWWWWWWWLW
#32
League position
#26
-5.6
Net rating
-30.1
108.5
Offensive rating
96.4
114.1
Defensive rating
126.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
50.8%
62.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
22.1%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.19
45.0%
3-point %
37.3%
83.3%
Assist %
69.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 96.4Defence114.1 · 126.5Shooting53.1% · 50.8%3-point %45.0% · 37.3%Ball care15.3% · 22.1%Off. rebounds26.5% · 25.7%Free throws0.17 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Parnu   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parnu wins
1
Den Bosch wins
DateGameScore
19/10/22Den Bosch v Parnu87-55
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/22AValmiera Glass Via82-83
05/11/22HVEF Riga63-71
02/11/22AFC Porto64-87
30/10/22ALatvijas Universitate59-73
25/10/22AFribourg Olympic64-82
22/10/22HPrometey71-77
19/10/22ADen Bosch55-87
15/10/22HBK Ogre85-71
12/10/22HFC Porto95-83
07/10/22AKeila KK92-90
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22HDonar Groningen94-59
06/11/22AQSTA Utd85-84
02/11/22HFribourg Olympic77-65
30/10/22HDen Helder96-61
25/10/22AFC Porto71-68
23/10/22ALeiden88-81
19/10/22HParnu87-55
15/10/22HLWD Basket85-70
12/10/22AFribourg Olympic78-83
08/10/22AAmsterdam112-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game69.595.061.0
Allowed / game84.883.085.3
Point differential-15.2+12.0-24.3
Avg total154.2178.0146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Den Bosch
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game78.282.074.5
Allowed / game67.860.075.5
Point differential+10.5+22.0-1.0
Avg total146.0142.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo76186%87.668.7+18.9
2 SCM Craiova76186%72.763.1+9.6
3 Hapoel Haifa76186%69.065.4+3.6
4 Karhu Basket54180%89.483.4+6.0
5 CSM Oradea43175%88.876.8+12.0
6 Den Bosch43175%78.267.8+10.5
7 Gaziantep43175%78.569.0+9.5
8 Galil Elyon43175%85.580.0+5.5
9 Balkan43175%79.274.0+5.2
10 Budivelnyk43175%78.874.2+4.5
11 Cholet75271%84.171.6+12.6
12 Sporting CP64267%90.092.7-2.7
13 Anwil Wloclawek53260%91.081.6+9.4
14 Mechelen53260%87.682.4+5.2
15 Chemnitz42250%83.073.8+9.2
16 Crailsheim Merlins42250%79.572.8+6.8
17 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
18 FC Porto42250%81.275.8+5.5
19 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
20 Brindisi42250%82.079.5+2.5
21 Bamberg42250%83.284.0-0.8
22 Fribourg Olympic42250%75.876.5-0.8
23 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
24 Opava42250%75.078.0-3.0
25 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
26 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
27 Keravnos52340%79.279.0+0.2
28 Levice52340%76.078.0-2.0
29 Antwerp Giants62433%76.379.0-2.7
30 Voluntari41325%64.270.0-5.8
31 Norrkoping41325%70.083.5-13.5
32 Golden Eagle Ylli41325%72.586.5-14.0
33 Parnu41325%69.584.8-15.2
34 Swans Gmunden51420%75.881.0-5.2
35 Rilski Sportist61517%70.088.5-18.5
36 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
37 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
38 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
39 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
40 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
41 Kormend4040%76.888.5-11.8
42 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
43 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
44 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
45 Donar Groningen4040%58.082.5-24.5
46 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
47 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu261792375
Den Bosch1820151467
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