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Parnu vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 63-71
15-21 18-15 16-15 14-20
Position#9
Record3-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#2
Record4-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2022
Meetings · Parnu v VEF Riga
13 Mar 2027
PAR v VRI
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
PAR62
VRI72
01 Mar 2025
PAR83
VRI96
13 Jan 2024
PAR78
VRI88
05 Nov 2022
PAR63
VRI71
20 Nov 2021
PAR77
VRI80
08 Nov 2018
PAR72
VRI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#20
L
80-82
80
82
-2
78avg 78
A21/09
Champions League
Viimsi
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
no box
H01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
FC Porto
#16
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Den Bosch
#26
L
55-87
55
87
-32
no box
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Prometey
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
L
64-82
64
82
-18
no box
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
59-73
59
73
-14
no box
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
FC Porto
#16
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
21-19
20-24
20-20
21-28
21-16
21-20
24-22
26-20
23-24
18-27
25-19
28-13
21-26
17-16
29-28
23-14
21-21
24-20
17-16
16-16
10-22
12-25
17-24
13-24
16-17
25-18
17-18
21-19
14-19
14-23
15-21
18-19
15-21
14-18
12-15
24-25
11-22
12-26
17-14
157.0Avg total
75.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.879.4158.2-0.660%
Season at home (3)81.078.0159.0+3.067%
Season away (2)75.581.5157.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)75.281.8157.0-6.640%
Last 5 (5)62.681.2143.8-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.581.4155.9-6.836%
vs Similar (4)78.876.8155.5+2.075%
vs Weaker (14)86.077.2163.2+8.879%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
93-98
93
98
-5
no box
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Benfica
#8
L
76-89
76
89
-13
77avg 70
H04/10
Champions League
Ventspils
#5
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
H07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Manresa
#14
L
59-88
59
88
-29
47avg 70
A11/10
Champions League
Prometey
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
no box
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
89-53
89
53
+36
no box
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Limoges
#28
W
71-51
71
51
+20
69avg 70
H25/10
Champions League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
22-31
17-32
34-15
27-25
11-17
27-29
11-18
26-22
25-16
22-22
27-21
18-25
11-22
17-27
13-14
16-21
18-17
12-26
25-17
16-17
28-12
17-29
28-19
16-14
27-11
21-18
25-10
14-11
24-17
21-13
12-10
21-24
12-22
20-12
13-20
17-10
26-24
17-12
21-16
155.3Avg total
79.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.175.7159.9+8.457%
Season at home (4)89.868.2158.0+21.5100%
Season away (3)76.785.7162.3-9.00%
Last 10 (10)79.575.8155.3+3.750%
Last 5 (5)79.264.2143.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.277.2146.5-8.025%
vs Similar (1)66.078.0144.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)94.072.5166.5+21.484%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.9+4.9
ParnuVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#20
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A21/09
Champions League
Viimsi
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
FC Porto
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Den Bosch
#26
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Prometey
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
FC Porto
#16
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
78.6Avg total
38.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.481.3+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.541.886.3+2.654%-
Last 30 away (17)38.139.477.4-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.640.872.4-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.541.977.4-6.527%-
vs Similar (4)41.838.280.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker (14)44.940.184.9+4.864%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Benfica
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/10
Champions League
Ventspils
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Manresa
#14
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A11/10
Champions League
Prometey
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Limoges
#28
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H25/10
Champions League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
77.3Avg total
39.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.936.581.5+8.476%-
Last 30 away (13)41.942.284.2-0.338%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.877.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.232.472.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.838.873.5-4.025%-
vs Similar (1)33.046.079.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.538.884.2+6.768%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.021.0
46.7%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.09.0
45.0%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.09.0
81.8%
69.3%9.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.814.9
53.6%
53.0%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.4
34.6%
32.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.312.2
70.5%
69.3%12.2
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLLLLWWWWL
VEF Riga
WLWWWLLWLL
#9
League position
#2
-5.6
Net rating
-4.8
108.5
Offensive rating
102.3
114.1
Defensive rating
107.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
62.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
15.3%
Turnover %
23.9%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.30
45.0%
3-point %
34.6%
83.3%
Assist %
76.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 102.3Defence114.1 · 107.1Shooting53.1% · 52.7%3-point %45.0% · 34.6%Ball care15.3% · 23.9%Off. rebounds26.5% · 32.5%Free throws0.17 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Parnu   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Parnu wins
3
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
20/11/21Parnu v VEF Riga77-80
16/10/21VEF Riga v Parnu92-95
26/12/18VEF Riga v Parnu91-56
08/11/18Parnu v VEF Riga72-76
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/22AFC Porto64-87
30/10/22ALatvijas Universitate59-73
25/10/22AFribourg Olympic64-82
22/10/22HPrometey71-77
19/10/22ADen Bosch55-87
15/10/22HBK Ogre85-71
12/10/22HFC Porto95-83
07/10/22AKeila KK92-90
01/10/22HViimsi87-86
21/09/22ASwans Gmunden80-82
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/22HRapla81-62
30/10/22ABC Kalev/Cramo66-78
25/10/22HLimoges71-51
21/10/22HValmiera Glass Via89-53
18/10/22HTartu Ulikool89-77
15/10/22APrometey71-81
11/10/22AManresa59-88
07/10/22HVentspils100-81
04/10/22HBenfica76-89
30/09/22ABK Liepaja93-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game78.881.075.5
Allowed / game79.478.081.5
Point differential-0.6+3.0-6.0
Avg total158.2159.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game84.189.876.7
Allowed / game75.768.285.7
Point differential+8.4+21.5-9.0
Avg total159.9158.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey660100%98.261.7+36.5
2 Ventspils76186%88.775.4+13.3
3 BK Liepaja64267%82.383.0-0.7
4 BK Ogre85362%77.276.4+0.9
5 BC Kalev/Cramo53260%85.473.2+12.2
6 Parnu53260%78.879.4-0.6
7 Latvijas Universitate74357%81.672.7+8.9
8 VEF Riga74357%84.175.7+8.4
9 Viimsi74357%77.075.9+1.1
10 Rapla74357%78.978.3+0.6
11 Tartu Ulikool74357%76.080.3-4.3
12 Keila KK52340%89.686.6+3.0
13 Tallinna Kalev72529%77.078.3-1.3
14 Tal Tech71614%75.680.9-5.3
15 Valmiera Glass Via81712%67.995.8-27.9
16 Rakvere Tarvas7070%65.096.7-31.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1518161463
VEF Riga2115152071
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