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Parnu vs Fribourg Olympic Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-99
25-23 25-25 25-24 19-27
Position#32
Record2-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#18
Record2-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game76.4
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fribourg Olympic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Den Bosch
#26
L
55-87
55
87
-32
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Prometey
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
FC Porto
#16
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Den Bosch
#26
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapla
#6
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H26/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
21-21
24-20
17-16
16-16
10-22
12-25
17-24
13-24
16-17
25-18
17-18
21-19
14-19
14-23
15-21
18-19
15-21
14-18
12-15
24-25
11-22
12-26
17-14
15-21
18-15
16-15
14-20
29-13
14-31
21-19
18-20
26-18
17-20
9-15
23-14
15-27
19-9
15-17
17-28
146.3Avg total
68.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.681.2151.8-10.640%
Season at home (2)85.075.0160.0+10.0100%
Season away (3)61.085.3146.3-24.30%
Last 10 (10)68.477.9146.3-9.520%
Last 5 (5)70.077.8147.8-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.779.5153.2-5.838%
vs Similar (4)74.277.8152.0-3.550%
vs Weaker (12)84.277.2161.5+7.083%
This opponent (Fribourg Olympic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fribourg OlympicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#16
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sdent BBC Nyon
#8
W
95-60
95
60
+35
H23/10
SB League
Parnu
#32
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
SAM Massagno
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A29/10
SB League
Den Bosch
#26
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Boncourt
#9
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H05/11
SB League
Swiss Central Basket
#11
W
102-61
102
61
+41
H16/11
SB League
Geneva Lions
#3
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H19/11
SB League
FC Porto
#16
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
H23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vevey Riviera
#4
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A26/11
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
6-23
24-24
23-22
25-16
30-14
28-14
12-16
19-21
19-14
23-14
21-15
15-18
18-21
25-17
18-25
14-18
19-19
13-15
19-25
19-16
22-21
21-6
24-12
22-12
30-14
22-17
28-18
20-27
24-16
29-14
13-24
14-17
15-20
25-15
16-18
15-19
22-15
17-18
15-18
152.1Avg total
80.9Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.676.4152.0-0.840%
Season at home (3)80.072.7152.7+7.367%
Season away (2)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)80.971.2152.1+9.750%
Last 5 (5)83.668.6152.2+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)74.079.5153.5-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.264.6148.7+19.684%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
ParnuFribourg Olympic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Den Bosch
#26
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Prometey
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
FC Porto
#16
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Den Bosch
#26
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapla
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H26/11
Latvia-Estonian League
74.8Avg total
35.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.580.1-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.040.983.9+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)35.740.175.8-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)35.539.374.8-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.277.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.841.277.0-5.331%-
vs Similar (4)38.238.877.0-0.525%-
vs Weaker (12)44.140.684.7+3.550%-
This opponent (Fribourg Olympic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fribourg OlympicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#16
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sdent BBC Nyon
#8
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H23/10
SB League
Parnu
#32
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
SAM Massagno
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/10
SB League
Den Bosch
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Boncourt
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H05/11
SB League
Swiss Central Basket
#11
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H16/11
SB League
Geneva Lions
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H19/11
SB League
FC Porto
#16
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vevey Riviera
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A26/11
SB League
74.7Avg total
38.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.932.774.7+9.277%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.933.378.2+11.682%-
Last 30 away (13)38.032.070.0+6.069%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.974.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.476.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)32.538.070.5-5.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.431.374.7+12.188%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.021.0
46.7%
52.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.09.0
45.0%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.09.0
81.8%
73.2%9.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fribourg Olympictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fribourg Olympic: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.5 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.3%
52.5%39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.0
30.0%
34.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.212.2
75.4%
73.2%12.2
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/4 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LWLLLLLLLW
Fribourg Olympic
LLWWWLLWWL
#32
League position
#18
-5.6
Net rating
-10.5
108.5
Offensive rating
98.1
114.1
Defensive rating
108.6
53.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
62.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
22.8%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.28
45.0%
3-point %
30.0%
83.3%
Assist %
60.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 98.1Defence114.1 · 108.6Shooting53.1% · 49.8%3-point %45.0% · 30.0%Ball care15.3% · 22.8%Off. rebounds26.5% · 29.1%Free throws0.17 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Parnu   ■ Fribourg Olympic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parnu wins
1
Fribourg Olympic wins
DateGameScore
25/10/22Fribourg Olympic v Parnu82-64
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22HRapla66-81
23/11/22HDen Bosch75-67
18/11/22AValmiera Glass Via82-83
05/11/22HVEF Riga63-71
02/11/22AFC Porto64-87
30/10/22ALatvijas Universitate59-73
25/10/22AFribourg Olympic64-82
22/10/22HPrometey71-77
19/10/22ADen Bosch55-87
15/10/22HBK Ogre85-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22AVevey Riviera69-70
23/11/22HFC Porto75-76 OT
19/11/22HGeneva Lions86-81
16/11/22HSwiss Central Basket102-61
05/11/22HBC Boncourt86-55
02/11/22ADen Bosch65-77
29/10/22ASAM Massagno76-81
25/10/22HParnu82-64
23/10/22HSdent BBC Nyon95-60
18/10/22AFC Porto73-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game70.685.061.0
Allowed / game81.275.085.3
Point differential-10.6+10.0-24.3
Avg total151.8160.0146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fribourg Olympic
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game75.680.069.0
Allowed / game76.472.782.0
Point differential-0.8+7.3-13.0
Avg total152.0152.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo87188%86.068.4+17.6
2 Hapoel Haifa87188%69.865.2+4.5
3 CSM Oradea54180%89.073.8+15.2
4 Karhu Basket54180%89.483.4+6.0
5 Cholet86275%86.172.0+14.1
6 SCM Craiova86275%73.868.0+5.8
7 Sporting CP75271%89.991.4-1.6
8 Chemnitz53260%86.673.4+13.2
9 Crailsheim Merlins53260%84.074.4+9.6
10 Anwil Wloclawek53260%91.081.6+9.4
11 Brindisi53260%81.875.0+6.8
12 Den Bosch53260%76.069.2+6.8
13 Gaziantep53260%77.872.6+5.2
14 Mechelen53260%87.682.4+5.2
15 FC Porto53260%80.275.6+4.6
16 Bamberg53260%85.682.8+2.8
17 Budivelnyk53260%76.274.4+1.8
18 Balkan53260%77.275.8+1.4
19 Galil Elyon53260%84.083.0+1.0
20 Opava53260%76.676.2+0.4
21 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
22 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
23 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
24 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
25 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
26 Keravnos52340%79.279.0+0.2
27 Fribourg Olympic52340%75.676.4-0.8
28 Levice52340%76.078.0-2.0
29 Voluntari52340%66.870.0-3.2
30 Parnu52340%70.681.2-10.6
31 Antwerp Giants83538%76.178.0-1.9
32 Swans Gmunden51420%75.881.0-5.2
33 Norrkoping51420%70.082.2-12.2
34 Golden Eagle Ylli51420%72.489.4-17.0
35 Rilski Sportist81712%69.690.1-20.5
36 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
37 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
38 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
39 Kormend5050%78.288.6-10.4
40 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
41 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
42 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
43 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
44 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
45 Donar Groningen5050%57.882.2-24.4
46 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
47 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2525251994
Fribourg Olympic2325242799
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