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Pau-Orthez vs Chalon/Saone Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#4
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game77.4
FranceLNBRound 12· Palais des Sports de Pau
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Chalon/Saone
19 Dec 2026
POR v CSA
upcoming
06 Jun 2021
POR99
CSA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chalon/Saone win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H03/06
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A06/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
82-106
82
106
-24
H12/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#6
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#3
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#13
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H25/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
23-16
27-25
25-11
29-24
23-17
10-25
28-19
21-28
19-34
22-23
20-21
21-22
18-23
25-18
17-9
25-22
19-17
18-24
24-10
14-23
12-18
18-14
20-23
14-19
14-20
19-31
14-19
17-22
16-22
25-22
21-19
30-34
31-16
14-22
27-17
28-20
24-19
16-22
17-20
165.0Avg total
82.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.284.4162.6-6.240%
Season at home (3)82.786.3169.0-3.767%
Season away (2)71.581.5153.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)82.083.0165.0-1.060%
Last 5 (5)78.284.4162.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.089.0162.0-16.025%
vs Similar (11)87.381.2168.5+6.182%
vs Weaker (15)86.576.7163.2+9.787%
This opponent (Chalon/Saone) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chalon/SaoneFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#8
L
81-102
81
102
-21
A23/05
LNB
Limoges
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H26/09
LNB
JL Bourg
#8
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A03/10
LNB
Manchester Basketball
#36
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nancy
#12
W
108-67
108
67
+41
H10/10
LNB
Korfez Basket
#7
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A17/10
LNB
Valmiera Glass Via
#40
W
109-77
109
77
+32
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Strasbourg
#7
W
106-79
106
79
+27
H24/10
LNB
Bashkimi
#35
W
94-66
94
66
+28
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
19-28
23-16
17-32
21-22
11-12
32-12
18-28
11-30
22-27
22-17
22-16
16-16
16-12
20-22
27-22
28-24
29-18
23-10
28-15
18-17
20-22
10-17
17-18
25-23
16-27
27-16
18-11
31-26
26-19
28-19
24-13
28-13
22-26
31-22
25-18
34-18
22-18
23-7
15-23
166.5Avg total
88.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.877.4169.2+14.480%
Season at home (3)98.773.3172.0+25.3100%
Season away (2)81.583.5165.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)88.777.8166.5+10.970%
Last 5 (5)92.074.6166.6+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.592.0176.5-7.533%
vs Similar (12)85.889.4175.2-3.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.971.8164.8+21.192%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
Pau-OrthezChalon/Saone
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/06
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A06/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
40-62
40
62
-22
H12/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#6
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/10
LNB
84.9Avg total
41.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.082.3+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.839.983.6+3.981%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.280.9-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.684.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.543.580.0-7.025%-
vs Similar (11)43.644.387.9-0.655%-
vs Weaker (15)41.037.978.9+3.173%-
This opponent (Chalon/Saone) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chalon/SaoneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A23/05
LNB
Limoges
#13
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H26/09
LNB
JL Bourg
#8
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A03/10
LNB
Manchester Basketball
#36
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nancy
#12
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H10/10
LNB
Korfez Basket
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A17/10
LNB
Valmiera Glass Via
#40
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Strasbourg
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H24/10
LNB
Bashkimi
#35
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
86.1Avg total
43.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.485.7+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.938.682.4+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)42.746.789.4-4.029%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.486.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)48.441.890.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.343.784.0-3.317%-
vs Similar (12)42.845.288.1-2.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.338.884.2+6.575%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
48%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.5
52.3%
55.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.2
29.4%
33.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.817.4
73.1%
74.0%17.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chalon/Saonetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chalon/Saone: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
48%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.7
58.2%
55.3%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.1
31.9%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.616.6
73.5%
74.0%16.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WWLLLWWLWW
Chalon/Saone
WWWWLWWLWL
#11
League position
#4
-0.7
Net rating
+11.7
91.4
Offensive rating
97.2
92.1
Defensive rating
85.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.4%
3-point %
31.9%
68.3%
Assist %
71.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 97.2Defence92.1 · 85.5Shooting49.2% · 54.2%3-point %29.4% · 31.9%Ball care14.9% · 16.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Chalon/Saone
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pau-Orthez wins
0
Chalon/Saone wins
DateGameScore
06/06/21Pau-Orthez v Chalon/Saone99-86
26/09/20Chalon/Saone v Pau-Orthez76-78
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HLimoges85-81
17/10/26HSaint Quentin102-89
10/10/26ACholet79-85
03/10/26HDijon61-89
26/09/26ANanterre64-78
18/06/26HPoitiers86-73
15/06/26APoitiers81-72
12/06/26HPoitiers82-106
06/06/26AOrleans90-85
03/06/26HOrleans90-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ABashkimi94-66
24/10/26HStrasbourg106-79
20/10/26HValmiera Glass Via109-77
17/10/26ACholet86-77
14/10/26AKorfez Basket65-74
10/10/26HNancy108-67
07/10/26HManchester Basketball79-72
03/10/26AJL Bourg77-90
26/09/26HLimoges82-74
23/05/26AStrasbourg81-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game78.282.771.5
Allowed / game84.486.381.5
Point differential-6.2-3.7-10.0
Avg total162.6169.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chalon/Saone
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game91.898.781.5
Allowed / game77.473.383.5
Point differential+14.4+25.3-2.0
Avg total169.2172.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris550100%93.081.6+11.4
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne550100%87.679.0+8.6
3 Dijon65183%92.583.5+9.0
4 Chalon/Saone54180%91.877.4+14.4
5 Le Mans54180%98.089.8+8.2
6 Nanterre53260%82.675.8+6.8
7 Strasbourg63350%82.087.3-5.3
8 JL Bourg52340%89.087.8+1.2
9 Cholet52340%80.284.8-4.6
10 Roanne52340%79.285.2-6.0
11 Pau-Orthez52340%78.284.4-6.2
12 Nancy62433%79.784.7-5.0
13 Limoges51420%87.489.4-2.0
14 Boulazac51420%77.085.6-8.6
15 Saint Quentin61517%88.797.3-8.7
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque5050%79.891.0-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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