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Pau-Orthez vs JL Bourg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-79
16-14 31-26 12-19 28-20
Position#17
Record9-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#5
Record17-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game84.4
FranceLNBRound 24
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v JL Bourg
09 Jan 2027
POR v JBO
upcoming
23 Apr 2023
POR87
JBO79
02 Oct 2021
POR71
JBO79
16 Jan 2021
POR76
JBO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JL Bourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Paris
#10
W
101-97
101
97
+4
98avg 79
A12/02
LNB
Le Portel
#12
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
H15/02
French Cup
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 79
H07/03
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 79
A14/03
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
no box
H18/03
French Cup
Ada Blois
#16
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
no box
H25/03
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
64-85
64
85
-21
no box
A28/03
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
89-81
89
81
+8
78avg 79
A01/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
68avg 79
H09/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
58-70
58
70
-12
42avg 79
A15/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
32-18
18-31
27-20
20-27
25-18
22-19
25-19
23-25
27-21
11-15
15-17
12-22
21-16
18-19
19-21
17-23
20-24
16-30
25-21
27-20
16-20
12-11
16-20
22-22
17-17
16-13
9-33
14-17
23-21
26-20
26-23
20-17
16-29
13-21
23-27
10-18
15-24
19-20
14-8
162.7Avg total
78.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.783.0161.7-4.332%
Season at home (13)79.178.6157.7+0.546%
Season away (15)78.386.8165.1-8.520%
Last 10 (10)78.084.7162.7-6.730%
Last 5 (5)72.682.6155.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.684.6163.2-6.031%
vs Similar (14)79.682.2161.9-2.636%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
A15/03
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#11
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H18/03
French Cup
Ulm
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
73avg 79
H22/03
Eurocup
Dijon
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
69avg 79
H26/03
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
88-75
88
75
+13
90avg 79
A29/03
Eurocup
Nancy
#13
W
96-82
96
82
+14
92avg 79
A01/04
LNB
Le Portel
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H04/04
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
111-108
111
108
+3
111avg 79
A07/04
LNB
Promitheas
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A12/04
Eurocup
Nanterre
#14
W
93-81
93
81
+12
91avg 79
H15/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
20-26
26-27
20-22
21-23
18-24
20-24
12-17
24-27
11-27
24-11
19-20
20-15
12-20
14-16
23-24
20-17
15-27
29-13
24-18
28-15
20-20
28-22
20-25
23-14
17-24
17-8
19-25
24-26
32-26
24-21
31-35
13-24
20-17
22-20
20-28
23-19
27-17
27-21
16-24
168.9Avg total
83.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.584.4170.9+2.161%
Season at home (15)86.880.5167.3+6.373%
Season away (13)86.188.8174.9-2.846%
Last 10 (10)83.985.0168.9-1.150%
Last 5 (5)90.286.2176.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.486.4165.8-7.040%
vs Similar (15)83.386.7169.9-3.427%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.274.6159.9+10.675%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
Pau-OrthezJL Bourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A12/02
LNB
Le Portel
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H15/02
French Cup
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H07/03
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A14/03
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H18/03
French Cup
Ada Blois
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/03
LNB
Nanterre
#14
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/03
LNB
Limoges
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H09/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A15/04
LNB
82.8Avg total
40.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.180.2-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.581.3+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)37.241.879.0-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.782.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.077.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.442.280.6-3.831%-
vs Similar (14)39.839.979.7-0.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A15/03
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H18/03
French Cup
Ulm
#6
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H22/03
Eurocup
Dijon
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H26/03
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A29/03
Eurocup
Nancy
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A01/04
LNB
Le Portel
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/04
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A07/04
LNB
Promitheas
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/04
Eurocup
Nanterre
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H15/04
LNB
83.3Avg total
40.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.881.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.180.6+0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)41.441.482.8+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.983.3-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.485.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.446.085.4-6.620%-
vs Similar (15)39.742.382.0-2.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.834.676.4+7.162%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
53.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.7
32.5%
35.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.311.7
76.5%
75.2%11.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.8
57.5%
53.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.4
37.5%
35.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
75.2%14.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LLWLLLLLWW
JL Bourg
WLWWWWLLLL
#17
League position
#5
-9.1
Net rating
+6.6
103.9
Offensive rating
113.6
113.0
Defensive rating
107.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
57.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.5%
3-point %
37.5%
66.2%
Assist %
66.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 113.6Defence113.0 · 107.0Shooting52.7% · 57.0%3-point %32.5% · 37.5%Ball care19.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds26.9% · 29.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ JL Bourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pau-Orthez wins
4
JL Bourg wins
DateGameScore
08/10/22JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez92-77
05/02/22JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez73-83
02/10/21Pau-Orthez v JL Bourg71-79
16/03/21JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez88-58
16/01/21Pau-Orthez v JL Bourg76-83
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23AGravelines-Dunkerque58-70
09/04/23HMonaco72-94
01/04/23ALimoges89-81
28/03/23ANanterre64-85
25/03/23HAda Blois80-83 OT
18/03/23HMonaco78-98
14/03/23ALe Portel70-78
07/03/23HBoulogne-Levallois76-78
15/02/23HLe Portel92-83
12/02/23AParis101-97
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23HNanterre93-81
12/04/23APromitheas75-89
07/04/23ARoanne111-108
04/04/23HLe Portel76-71
01/04/23ANancy96-82
29/03/23ACedevita Olimpija88-75
26/03/23HDijon69-75
22/03/23HUlm78-85
18/03/23HStrasbourg71-88
15/03/23APrometey82-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLWLLL46%
AwayWLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %32%46%20%
Points / game78.779.178.3
Allowed / game83.078.686.8
Point differential-4.3+0.5-8.5
Avg total161.7157.7165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
JL Bourg
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %61%73%46%
Points / game86.586.886.1
Allowed / game84.480.588.8
Point differential+2.1+6.3-2.8
Avg total170.9167.3174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)71% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %14%20%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco3125681%89.479.5+9.8
2 Boulogne-Levallois29191066%86.384.0+2.3
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne28181064%84.776.5+8.1
4 JL Bourg28171161%86.584.4+2.1
5 Cholet28171161%83.282.0+1.2
6 Dijon30181260%86.884.6+2.2
7 Le Mans29151452%87.684.0+3.5
8 Gravelines-Dunkerque30151550%79.280.4-1.3
9 Roanne29141548%91.390.4+0.9
10 Paris29141548%87.289.4-2.2
11 Strasbourg29131645%81.383.2-1.9
12 Limoges29131645%77.579.9-2.3
13 Le Portel29121741%78.879.4-0.7
14 Nanterre29121741%80.683.6-3.0
15 Ada Blois29111838%81.687.5-5.9
16 Nancy29101934%81.885.3-3.6
17 Pau-Orthez2891932%78.783.0-4.3
18 Fos-sur-Mer2992031%76.982.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez1631122887
JL Bourg1426192079
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